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Tuesday, October 16, 2007

The Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance Aligns Against Jerusalem - David J. Jonsson

David J. Jonsson
October 16, 2007

The West has a worldview based on the analysis and actions influenced by looking through the lenses of politics and economics, whereas the Islamists looks at the world through the lens of ideology. It is time for the West to place importance on looking at events happening around the world through the lens of ideologies. In the case of the Muslims, their worldview and subsequent actions are shaped by their vision for world domination, the establishment of Islamic kingdom of God on Earth – the creation of worldwide Caliphate and the End Times.

An inability to understand the ideology behind political Islam could spell disaster for the West.

The Two Phase Plan

It may be instructive to view the common motivator as a conflict of ideologies. The Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance war may be composed of two phases.

The first phase was to gain as much as possible through the inexpensive use of negotiation, politics, and economics including the oil weapon while simultaneously weakening the West through leftist, anti-Semitic, anti-American propaganda and strengthening the Islamist coalition. The Chinese Communist Party dominance of both the political and business landscape has made it more powerful than ever. On the eve of its five-yearly congress, which opens in Beijing on October 15, Chinese leaders sit atop not only the biggest political party in the world but the richest as well. Similarly, the Russian Communists under Putin continue to gain strategic and economic wealth. The juggernaut when combined with Islamists is a force to contend with. It is time for our leaders to view the current events through the prism of the Judeo-Christian ideology as presented in Bible Prophesy.

Phase two, after no more can be gained, is to go to war.

Mohammed's prophecies mostly involve the events to come at the end of the world and the Day of Judgment (Qiyamah), and are recorded in the Hadiths. The fighting against Jews is one of the many "signs" of the final days. Islamist ideologues are fully aware of the end-time prophecies, and are working to implement them. Belief in the end-times or the last days is mandatory in Islam. It is listed as the fifth article of faith.

The Last Day: the Day of Judgment, when all will be judged according to their deeds, and admitted to Paradise or to hell.

Also, playing a prominent role in end times events for all three faiths, is the appearance of Gog and Magog. These nations are mentioned in the Old Testament (Ezekiel 38 & 39), in the book of Revelation (Chapter 20) and in the Quran (Surah 18:94,97, 21:96). Gog and Magog head a group of nations opposed to God in the end of days.

Another character playing a prominent role in Islam, especially in the Shia sect is the Mahdi. Mahdi comes either before or with the return of Jesus, to set things in order. There is dispute within Islam regarding his nature and function. The Shia sect views this individual as the 12th Imam, hidden until the time when he should appear.

Shiite and Sunni Apocalyptic Teaching

As I wrote in my article Iraq, Iran, Global Warming and The Apocalypse “It is important to recognize that both the Shiites and Sunni sects have teaching related to the End Times. While the teaching of Shiite Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad considers that the return of the Mahdi, the 12th Imam as ushering in the End Times, the Sunni scholar, Sheikh Al-Qaradhawi, in a fatwa posted on the website http://www.islamonline.net/, (December 2, 2002) in response to a reader’s question, wrote of the “signs of the victory of Islam,” citing a well-known Hadith: “…

The Prophet Muhammad was asked: ‘What city will be conquered first, Constantinople or Romiyya?’ He answered: ‘The city of Hirqil [i.e. the Byzantine emperor Heraclius] will be conquered first’ - that is, Constantinople… Romiyya is the city called today ‘Rome,’ the capital of Italy. The city of Hirqil [that is, Constantinople] was conquered by the young 23-year-old Ottoman Muhammad bin Morad, known in history as Muhammad the Conqueror, in 1453. The other city, Romiyya, remains, and we hope and believe [that it too will be conquered].” (See: Al-Qaradhawi: “Islam will Return to Europe as a Conqueror” MEMRI Special Dispatch No. 447, December 6, 2002.)

“This means that Islam will return to Europe as a conqueror and victor, after being expelled from it twice - once from the South, from Andalusia, and a second time from the East, when it knocked several times on the door of Athens.”

Sheikh Al-Qaradhawi qualified his statement: “I maintain that the conquest this time will not be by the sword but by preaching and ideology…” http://www.islamonline.net/fatwa/arabic/FatwaDisplay.asp?hFatwaID=2042

Al-Qaradhawi made similar statements on other occasions, on his weekly religious program on Al-Jazeera. He declared: “This means that the friends of the Prophet heard that two cities would be conquered by Islam, Romiyya and Constantinople, and the Prophet said that ‘Hirqil [i.e. Constantinople] would be conquered first.’ Romiyya is Rome, the capital of Italy, and Constantinople was the capital of the state of Byzantine Rome, which today is Istanbul. He said that Hirqil which is Constantinople would be conquered first and this is what happened…””

“Let’s Have a New Andalusia”

Al Qaeda has often mentioned Andalusia (southern Spain) as the western anchor of its dream pan-Islamic Caliphate--a territory stretching from Spain in the West to Indonesia in the East. Following the tragic events of 9/11, Osama bin Laden’s internationally televised speech mesmerized many Muslims with its religious and historical imagery, a powerful combination that magnified his standing with people who wanted to see him as a heroic spokesman for the weak against the strong. In the same broadcast, Ayman al Zawahiri, bin Laden’s deputy and the leader of the Islamic Jihad group, vowed that “the tragedy of al Andalus” would not be repeated. He was referring to the period widely considered the Islamic golden age in Andalusia, in Spain, which ended with Muslims being driven out of Europe by Christian armies in the fifteenth century.

More importantly, bin Laden believes that Andalusia is shorthand for Islamizing the world or, at least, for forcibly restoring the imperial glories and religious dynamism of Islam’s earlier centuries. Spain, he feels, was treacherously ripped from the hands of its rightful Muslim owners, and humiliatingly remains gripped in the talons of the Christians. Likewise, Palestine (obviously) must be reclaimed; the compromised crypto-Muslims running Arab/Muslim states must be purged (always remember that real Islamists think Nasser, of all people, was a Western stooge); and the borders of Islam must be returned to their greatest extent. History must be reversed: no more disgraceful retreats from the Andalusias of this world. Reference: Clash of Ideologies —The Making of the Christian and Islamic Worlds

In the October 11, 2007 Jerusalem Issue Brief: Al-Qaeda: The Next Goal Is to Liberate Spain from the Infidels Lt. Col. (res.) Jonathan Dahoah-Halevi wrote:

· Osama bin Laden has written: "We request of Allah...that the [Islamic] nation should regain its honor and prestige, should raise again the unique flag of Allah on all stolen Islamic land, from Palestine to Andalus." Bin Laden's mentor, Abdullah Azzam, established that the Islamic obligation to wage jihad in order to recover lost Islamic territories applies to Andalusia.
· Sheikh Yusuf Qaradawi, the spiritual head of the Muslim Brotherhood, has written that while Islam was twice evicted from Europe - from al-Andalus and from Greece - it is now in the process of returning.
· A children's magazine published by Hamas, the Palestinian branch of the Muslim Brotherhood, called on Palestinian children to restore the city of Seville to Islamic rule as well as the rest of what was once Islamic Spain.
· Israel, therefore, is a small link in the greater confrontation between radical Islam and the West. Accepting the Arabs' terms for a Middle East settlement, or even going so far as "liberating" Palestine from Israeli rule, will not be the last stop in the radical Islamic journey being led by the Muslim Brotherhood and al-Qaeda, which share the vision of spreading Islam all over the world.

Ayman al-Zawahiri, deputy of Osama bin Laden in the al-Qaeda leadership, in a new tape publicized on 20 September 2007, referred to the global aspirations of the Islamic Revolution:

O, our Muslim nation in the Maghreb [North Africa], zone of deployment for battle and jihad! The return of Andalus [today's Spain] to Muslim hands is a duty for the [Islamic] nation in general and for you in particular. You will not be able to achieve this except by purifying the Islamic Maghreb of the French and the Spanish who have once again returned, after your fathers and grandfathers had expelled them unsparingly in the way of Allah.

The Biblical Account of the Roman Empire in the Last Days

In the Biblical account of the last days, each of four successive powers had enemies who contested the right to rule, so, at the end of the Gentiles world power, there will be kingdoms and federations of nations who contest the authority of the Roman Empire. See: Things to Come – A Study in Biblical Eschatology by J. Dwight Pentecost.

There are numerous scholars who have and continue to study prophesy as laid out in the Bible. Needless to say there are variations in interpretation. However, the Bible remains the primary basis for the Judeo-Christian interpretation.

As the US approaches the 2008 election cycle, the issues receiving major attention among the contenders include: abortion, gay rights, immigration, health care and terrorism. There are of course significant differences among the candidates. The issue of “End Times” has not received much attention as it affects foreign relations. This is, as mentioned though out this article, the key theme of Muslims. Among the leading Republican candidates, Mitt Romney a Book of Mormon believer, would logically base his world view of the “End Times” not on the Bible but on the Book of Mormon which presents a different world view. A President’s world view will have an impact of foreign policy.

According to Pentecost, the first is the Northern Confederacy described in Ezekiel: 38:1-39:25. Gog and Magog are mentioned with those nations allied with them. The Prince of Rosh is called Gog in Ezekiel 38:3. It is to be understood that Gog is the name given to the leader of this confederacy and his land is called Magog, which is composed of three parts: Rosh, Meshech and Tubal. The identification of Rosh as modern Russia would seem to be well authenticated and generally accepted. It was predicated that allied with Magog “there would be many peoples with thee” (Ezek.38:15). The first nation federated with Russia will be Persia (Ezek. 38:5). This has reference to the ancient domain known as Iran. In addition it may include certain Arab states as Togarmah, which may include an extensive coalition of Asiatic powers.

The Second is the Kings of the East. According to Revelations 16:12, Israel-Palestine as the Epicenter, which will have become the epicenter of activity of the Roman leader and his armies, will be invaded by a great army coming from beyond the Euphrates known as the forces of “the Kings of the East”. It can be concluded that the second great opposing Gentile force will be composed of a coalition of nations from Asia, they will unite against the worldwide dominion by the head of the Roman Empire.

The third power in the conflict with Roman Empire is the King of the South, mentioned in Daniel 11:40. Evidentially this King of the South is allied with the King of the North to simultaneously invade. There is general agreement that the King of the South has reference to Egypt, inasmuch as Egypt is frequently referred to as the land of the South in Scripture.

Egypt also has a special place in minds and hearts of Christians, Jews, Moslems, and Arabs and where Egypt was mentioned as a holy place in their holy books.

In studying the alignments of the Gentile nations at the time of the tribulation period, we find the fourth alliance -- a ten kingdom federation of nations that become the final form of the Beast (Rev. 13:1-10).

Egypt is a towering enigma - sometimes monstrous, sometimes magnificent - that hovers above the rest of the Arab world like storm clouds over a dry prairie, bringing both life and destruction. Egypt is kaleidoscopic, ever-changing, and dazzling, simultaneously wonderful and woeful. It remains the big riddle of modern Arab politics - the birthplace of constitutional democracy, the Muslim Brotherhood, and the modern police state - but also it’s most vaunted prize.

The movements of these four allied powers are clearly sated in Judeo-Christian scripture and constitute one of the major themes of prophesy.

Hosni Mubarak Turned Pharaoh

The 79 years old President Mubarak of Egypt, military dictator turned pharaoh, has been in power since 1981 and was elected for six more years in 2005. Concerns about Mubarak’s health draw much greater attention to the question of who will next rule the nation of Egypt.

Restriction of Press Freedom

The latest reports about the deterioration of the health condition of Mr. Mubarak drew panic in stock markets in the region and hundreds of millions of dollars flew off Egypt over night to bank accounts overseas. The reports of the deteriorating health in the Egyptian press have led to the imprisonment of reporters. This has angered the populous as well as the human rights activists worldwide.

The trial of Ibrahim Eissa, editor-in-chief of the independent daily Al-Dostour, opened on October 1 only to be adjourned until 24 October.

In addition to harming the public interest by suggesting President Mubarak was unwell, Eissa is also accused of economic sabotage. Rumors about Mubarak's failing health allegedly caused panic among foreign investors and a $350 million slump in the stock exchange.

Ten Egyptian journalists received jail sentences last month as part of an apparent crackdown on dissent as Egypt prepares for an inevitable transition from President Hosni Mubarak. Eissa is among four editors recently sentenced to 12-months for libeling senior figures in the ruling National Democratic Party (NDP), including President Mubarak, Assistant Secretary- General Gamal Mubarak and Prime Minister Ahmed Nazif. The three other editors are Wael El-Ibrashi of Sawt Al-Umma, Adel Hammouda of Al-Fagr and Abdel-Halim Qandil, former editor of Al-Karama. They were granted bail for a LE 10,000 pending their appeal against the verdicts. A date for the appeal to be heard has yet to be set. Last year Eissa was also convicted of insulting President Mubarak, for which he was fined.

On October 4, Egypt released Essam el-Erian a senior Muslim Brotherhood leader, and nine other members of the group. The men were detained during escalating Egyptian crackdown on political dissidents. The group released was among a group of 17 arrested in mid-August.

The Impact of U.S. Support of Democracy in the Middle East

The United States sees itself as a beacon for democratic values, but Iranian and Arab reformers say its policies in the Middle East too frequently belie its ideals, making U.S. support for their cause a damaging liability. Repressive governments in the region, whether close allies or sworn foes of the United States, often exploit anti-American sentiment to accuse homegrown liberals of being stooges peddling a U.S.-Israeli agenda. Islamist movements do the same.

The relationship of the United States with Ethiopia represents a case in point as Barney Jopson reports in the Financial Times of October 10: Dismissive Ethiopia tests US indulgence.

“Following the attacks of September 11 2001, the administration of President George W. Bush forged an anti-terror pact with Addis Ababa. It was predicated on Ethiopia’s formidable military and intelligence capabilities and its position as a Christian-led country surrounded by Muslim and Arab states.”

“But the relationship has begun to resemble many of Washington’s alliances with troublesome client regimes, based mostly on geopolitical interest. Ethiopia, which received $283m (£139m, €200m) of military and humanitarian aid from Washington this year, looks increasingly like Pakistan or Egypt: an awkward bedfellow that the US has to support for security goals but one that pursues its own, sometimes brutal, agenda regardless of American pressure.”

“When the US objects to Ethiopian policies – such as a crackdown on political opponents that killed scores of people in 2005 and a scorched-earth campaign against separatist insurgents this year – it is ignored. When America gives implicit acquiescence – as it did over the Christmas invasion of Somalia and Ethiopia’s bitter border dispute with Eritrea – the US goes through the motions of diplomatic pressure and claims to have been rebuffed.

But the wisdom of the alliance is now under scrutiny, particularly since the Democratic-controlled House of Representatives passed a bill last week that would force Ethiopia to improve democracy and human rights or risk losing substantial aid.

Events in Turkey are also very disturbing. Turkey is one of the allies of the US and NATO. Incirlik air base in southern Turkey is a major cargo hub for U.S. and allied military forces in Iraq and Afghanistan. Turkey's Mediterranean port of Iskenderun is also used to ferry goods to American troops. Earlier this week a court in Istanbul has found two Turkish-Armenian journalists guilty of "insulting Turkishness" for reprinting an interview that referred to the mass killing of Ottoman Armenians by Turks in 1915 as genocide. The ruling came one day after the Foreign Affairs Committee of the US Congress approved a resolution that recognizes the killings as genocide, infuriating Ankara, which denies any such thing.

Rebels from the outlawed Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), fighting for an independent homeland in southeastern Turkey, said on Friday they are moving back into Turkey from northern Iraq.

The rebels also warned in a statement that they will target Turkey's ruling AK Party and main opposition CHP.

The announcement comes as Turkey's government prepares to seek permission from parliament to carry out a cross-border offensive against an estimated 3,000 rebels it says are based in northern Iraq.

The PKK is considered a terrorist organization by Turkey, the United States and the European Union.

Iran sees this situation as an opportunity to further strengthen its regional position and has teamed up with Turkey to assist in removing a force of 5000 PUK soldiers from the area where Iran abuts Iraq in the Qandil Mountains. According to several news and intelligence sources they already have positioned troops some 7-8 km inside Iraq and have begun shelling the mountain hideouts. The situation for Turkey offers some big incentives. Not only do they get help in spanking the PUK, but have made it known that they have their eye on Kirkuk, an Iraqi city in the area that produces 40% of Iraq's oil output, and that Turkey had made claim to before.

For its part Iran also sees a chance grab a chunk of Northern Iraq for itself. In addition Iran wants to destroy forward intelligence positions the Israelis may have secretly placed among the Kurds to help them receive the earliest possible warning of an Iranian attack on Israel.

Knocking out these posts would give the Iranians two significant victories against the Israelis within the span of just a few months, the war in Lebanon being the other. The loss of this intelligence would no doubt reduce the possibility for a successful US-Israeli attack against Iran, too. Russian and Iranian intelligence experts are both predicting such an attack before the end of 2006.

Many observers believe it's already too late to stop the Turkey-Iran initiative. The question is whether it will blossom into yet another Mid-East war pitting the US, Iraq, and Israel against Iran, Turkey, and possibly Syria.

Students of prophecy should follow these developments closely. Turkey is felt by most to be a modern component along with Armenia of the Beth Togarmah mentioned in Ezekiel 38:6. Beth means house in Hebrew. Togarmah was a son of Gomer. The Armenians of today call themselves the House of Togarmah. The Turks (but not the Kurds, who are the ancient Medes of Media-Persia fame) are also included.

As long as Turkey is aligned with the west Ezekiel 38 can't happen. Bringing Turkey into the Moslem alliance against Israel would remove one more roadblock to its fulfillment.

Egyptian Support for Democracy?

The Egyptian government supports the evolution of democracy in Egypt in its rhetoric but continues to quash it in practice, reported a Freedom House study released on October 1. The narrative and scores from Countries at the Crossroads 2007 for Egypt are available online in English and Arabic.

“The pattern of events in Egypt over the past two years indicates an effort on the part of the government not only to retreat from promised reforms, but to further impose a repressive system,” said Thomas O. Melia, deputy executive director of Freedom House. “Given Egypt’s substantial influence on the rest of the region, the failure of President Mubarak to implement meaningful reforms in terms of its citizens’ political and civil liberties is particularly disappointing.”

The freedom of political parties and independent NGOs is becoming increasingly restricted, and the right to assembly is regularly violated, despite the Egyptian constitution’s recognition of this right. Security forces frequently crack down on opposition demonstrations, and arrest and even torture of participants is common.

A Dilemma is Faced by Supporters of Freedom

A serious dilemma arises because the last remaining opposition party in Egypt is the Muslim Brotherhood after imprisoning or prodding into exile Egypt’s leading secular opposition activists. This has resulted in the government using detentions and legal changes to neutralize the country's last surviving major political movement, the Muslim Brotherhood. The result is the support of the Muslim Brotherhood by the activist NGOs.

"Tyranny has reached unprecedented limits from any previous regime," said Mohammed Mahdi Akef, the supreme guide, or highest leader, of the Brotherhood, which the government has outlawed for decades but allowed to operate within narrow limits. "This is insane tyranny."

As Dr. Rachel Ehrenfeld wrote for the American Thinker on April 20, 2000 in the article The Muslim Brotherhood's Duping of America: “Neither the State Department nor the White House commented after U.S. House Majority Leader Stanley Hoyer met in Egypt with the Muslim Brotherhood's parliamentarian leader, Mohammed Saad el-Katatni. Hoyer and el-Katani discussed recent developments in the Middle East, and the "Brotherhood's vision."

This meeting took place just one day after the conclusion of the Muslim Brotherhood 5th Cairo Conference: The International Campaign Against US & Zionist Occupation, in which delegations from Hizbollah and Hamas took part. The participants cheered as Muslim Brotherhood General Guide Muhammad Mahdi 'Akef declared, "the devil Bush and his allies were now the ones sowing terror and aggression.

As the SocialistWorkeronline describes the conference in the article: Activists to meet at 5th Cairo Conference: “Egyptian opposition activists are calling on anti-war groups and unions to send delegates to the 5th Cairo Conference, 29 March-1 April, 2007. Over the last five years the Cairo Conference has brought together delegates from the international anti-war movement, trade unions, radical parties and the national liberation movements. It has defined the debate on resistance in the heart of the Arab world.” For more information go to Stop the War Coalition Online

Egyptian officials point to the group's high level of organization and violent past, and insist it remains the most dangerous force in Egypt. "The Muslim Brotherhood represents the framework for future violence," said Mohamed Abdel-Fattah Omar, a lawmaker from the ruling party and a former head of the state security apparatus.

In August and September, police raided the homes and meetings of Brotherhood leaders, putting behind bars five of the 12 officials in the group's decision-making guidance council. Two have since been released for health reasons.

Despite the ban, the Brotherhood has provided clinics, youth camps and other services that have won the organization support among the poor and provided a civic model for the armed Islamic movements Hezbollah and Hamas. The Brotherhood draws support among Egypt's middle class through its strong presence in technical and professional unions.

The government is also writing its crackdown into law. Constitutional changes pushed through by the government after the Brotherhood's strong showing in 2005 shut out its members in upper house elections this June. Next year, the government promises to present a new anti-terrorism code that the Brotherhood expects to be used for further crackdowns against it.

Egyptians cite U.S. pressure in 2005 as the stimulus for a short-lived flourishing of democratic opposition. That year, President Bush challenged Egypt in his State of the Union address "to show the way toward democracy in the Middle East." Since making peace with Israel in 1979, Egypt has been the No. 2 recipient of U.S. foreign aid.

Mubarak allowed other candidates to challenge his 2005 reelection bid. Egypt's fragmented secular opposition groups made tentative alliances with one another, and with the Brotherhood.

By 2006, with Hamas's victory in Palestinian elections leading U.S. officials to have second thoughts about democracy in the Middle East, and the U.S. military presence in Iraq growing ever more troubled, American priorities in the Middle East shifted again, from promoting democracy to maintaining allies.

Egypt is a police-and army-dominated modern Arab security state achieving brisk economic reforms, high growth rates, and massive job expansion in a manner that other Arab countries can only envy, however these are without attempting any serious political reform. This has occurred, as we continue to grapple with the enigma of an entire region of nearly 300 million Arabs who have not been able to achieve or sustain a single breakthrough to credible democracy.

Impact of the Possible Fall of the Mubarak Government

There is no apparent chain of command or democratic institutions that would facilitate the transfer of power to the next president and hence the possible fall of the Mubarak government could send shock waves throughout the globe; Commentators suggest unnerving scenarios such as would an ambitious general stage another coup or even would Egypt witness another Khomeini-style revolution?

On the world arena, nothing is more disturbing to political analysts, policymakers and stockowners in the U.S. and Western capitals than waking up one day to the breaking news coming from the Middle East that one of the long assumed allies has been toppled. The fall could be by a coup or a popular uprising of angry masses creating chaos, panic and uncertainty in international markets.

The U.S. Supports Egypt as an Allay

Egypt, as a currently secular Islamic country is looked upon as a key allay of the U.S and West against radical Islam. Egypt and Jordan are the only countries having signed “peace accords” with Israel. Egypt plays an important role in the potential negotiations on the Israel-Palestine process. The U.S. currently provides extensive military aid to Israel and Egypt and is currently planning to provide additional weapon systems to Egypt. U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice will visit Egypt for talks with President Hosni Mubarak on October 16 as a part of a Middle East tour that will include the Palestinian territories, Israel and Jordan ahead of a peace summit in the United States next month.

The U.S. is Providing Additional Weapons to Egypt

The Defense Security Cooperation Agency notified Congress earlier this month of a possible Foreign Military Sale to Egypt of STINGER Block 1 Missiles as well as associated equipment and services. "Egypt will use the STINGER missiles to upgrade its air defense capability" - that's air defense for mobile forces. That Egypt keeps practicing moving those mobile forces towards Israel's border is apparently not a concern. This proposed sale ostensibly will contribute to the foreign policy and national security of the United States by helping to improve the security of a friendly country that has been and continues to be an important force for political stability and economic progress in the Middle East.

Door is Open for Revolution in Egypt

The current situation in Egypt is setting the stage for a revolution, coup, and even potentially the full takeover of the government by the fundamentalist Islamist Muslim Brotherhood.

The Mubarak’s regime has grown very unpopular and detested by many if not most Egyptians. The disparities between the super-poor and the super-rich are widening everyday. Prices of basic food items and commodities are skyrocketing. This situation manifested itself in an angry, restless, anxious and irrational behavior that reflected on Egyptian society witnessing a high wave of violent crimes: such as rape, murder of spouses, parents and children, a high rate of divorce, drug use, white collar crimes, road rage, embezzlement, military service desertion, domestic violence and countless other crimes.

The large population of young educated, jobless, unmarried youth is alienated and getting more frustrated and angry everyday and provide the fodder for revolution.

The Significance of the US-hosted Middle East summit in Annapolis

The summit is expected to be held in Annapolis in November. The sides have begun work on a joint statement to be presented at the conference's opening. The events in Egypt will have a major impact on the newly reinitiated Middle East negotiations.

The key question is where exactly the parties are determined to set their so-called "red lines," their nonnegotiable bedrock stands, on the three fundamental final-status issues expected to be under discussion:

· The territorial issue (the borders between Israel and a future Palestinian state, and the impact this will have on West Bank settlements);
· The status of Jerusalem, including those holy places on and adjacent to the Temple Mount; and
· The so-called "right of return" for Palestinian "refugees" (the term itself is debatable) living outside Israel and the Palestinian areas.

Indeed, if anyone drew a red line over Jerusalem in 2000, it was Yasser Arafat, who adamantly refused to even consider a compromise on the Old City and its Temple Mount, most notoriously denying the Jewish historical connection to the site and rejecting a Clinton proposal that Israel enjoy a bare-minimum symbolic sovereignty "underneath" the Mount.

The Temple Mount

The status and impact is most pronounced on the issue to be addressed at the Summit is the future of the Temple Mount. This issue has an impact on Judaism, Christianity and Islam.

The Temple Mount also known as the Noble Sanctuary is a religious site in the Old City of Jerusalem.

The Temple Mount is the holiest site for Judaism. The Jewish Temple in Jerusalem stood there: the First Temple (built c. 967 BCE, destroyed c. 586 BCE by the Babylonians), and the Second Temple (rebuilt c. 516 BCE, destroyed in the siege of Jerusalem by the Romans in 70 CE). According to a commonly held belief in Judaism, it is to be the site of the final Third Temple, to be rebuilt with the coming of the Jewish Messiah.

Among the Christian events occurring at the Second Temple during the life of Jesus are those recorded in Mark 12:41 – Mark 13:9

And he sat down opposite the treasury, and watched the multitude putting money into the treasury. Many rich people put in large sums. And a poor widow came, and put in two copper coins, which make a penny. And he called his disciples to him, and said to them, "Truly, I say to you, this poor widow has put in more than all those who are contributing to the treasury. For they all contributed out of their abundance; but she out of her poverty has put in everything she had, her whole living." MK: 1241-44 (RSV)

And as he came out of the temple, one of his disciples said to him, "Look, Teacher, what wonderful stones and what wonderful buildings!" And Jesus said to him, "Do you see these great buildings? There will not be left here one stone upon another, that will not be thrown down." And as he sat on the Mount of Olives opposite the temple, Peter and James and John and Andrew asked him privately, "Tell us, when will this be, and what will be the sign when these things are all to be accomplished?" And Jesus began to say to them, "Take heed that no one leads you astray. Many will come in my name, saying, 'I am he!' and they will lead many astray. And when you hear of wars and rumors of wars, do not be alarmed; this must take place, but the end is not yet. For nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom; there will be earthquakes in various places, there will be famines; this is but the beginning of the birth-pangs. "But take heed to yourselves; for they will deliver you up to councils; and you will be beaten in synagogues; and you will stand before governors and kings for my sake, to bear testimony before them. Mark 13:1-9 (RSV)

This is a significant passage as in 70 C.E. the Temple was destroyed. Jesus went on to prophesy of events to occur.

Known to Muslims as the Noble Sanctuary, it is also the site of two major Muslim religious shrines, the Dome of the Rock (built c. 690) and Al-Aqsa Mosque (built c. 710).

The Temple Mount is traditionally regarded by Muslims as the third most important Islamic holy site, after Mecca and Medina. The primary reason for its importance is the Muslim belief that in 621, Muhammad arrived there after a miraculous nocturnal journey aboard the winged steed named Buraq, to take a brief tour of heaven with the Archangel Gabriel. This happened according to the Qur’an during Muhammad's time in Mecca, years before Muslims conquered Jerusalem (638).

It is one of the most contested religious sites in the world. Under the Jordanian rule of Eastern Jerusalem between 1948 and 1967, Jews were forbidden from entering the Old City. Both Israel and the Palestinian Authority claim sovereignty over the site, which remains a key issue in the Arab-Israeli conflict. The Israeli government has granted management of the site to a Muslim Council (Waqf).

Islam maintains that there never was any such thing as the Holy Temple standing on the Temple Mount. For years a concentrated effort was made to obliterate any vestige of evidence from the site.

There is much more at stake here than simply the destruction of precious remnants of the Holy Temple. It has become clear that the abandonment of the Temple Mount to total Muslim control has been promised by Israel and is guaranteed to figure prominently in any eventual treaty or agreement which may be occur during or following the Annapolis Summit.

The Bible clearly indicates that all humanity will be uplifted to a new and unparalleled level of unity when the Holy Temple is rebuilt. “It shall come to pass in the latter days that the mountain of the house of the LORD shall be established as the highest of the mountains, and shall be raised above the hills; and all the nations shall flow to it, and many peoples shall come, and say: "Come, let us go up to the mountain of the LORD, to the house of the God of Jacob; that he may teach us his ways and that we may walk in his paths." For out of Zion shall go forth the law, and the word of the LORD from Jerusalem.” (Isaiah 2:2-3 RSV). In Isaiah's messianic prophetic vision of the lion lying with lamb, he further states that "They shall not hurt, nor destroy, in all My holy mountain."

The Sanhedrin

The Sanhedrin is the name given in the mishna to the council of seventy-one Jewish sages who constituted the supreme court and legislative body in Judea during the Roman period. It continued to function for more than four hundred years after the destruction of the Second Temple and there have been several orthodox attempts to re-establish it since that time. The current attempt to re-establish the Sanhedrin is generally referred to as the "nascent Sanhedrin", or the "developing Sanhedrin". The Sanhedrin is again meeting since 2005 and is planning for the building of the third Temple.

For hundreds of years after the destruction of the Temple, the Sanhedrin assembled in various cities. In 270 C.E. it moved to Tiberias. In 358 C.E. Roman Emperor Theodosius disbanded the Sanhedrin and confiscated their property, as a reaction to previous emperor Julian's pro-Jewish stance. The modern Jewish Calendar was adopted at clandestine, and maybe last meeting, in the caves of Mount Berenice overlooking the city. The Sanhedrin complex is believed to have been converted into a Christian structure shortly after that.

Israel Antiquities Authority excavations in Tiberias in 2005 may have uncovered the site of a structure used by the Sanhedrin, researchers believe. The site could have also have been used for writing the Jerusalem Talmud.

The Muslim Brotherhood

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, president of Iran a firm believer in "Shia revolutionary thought,” was in New York; there Ahmadinejad offered up his attacks while extolling his vision of Islamic global domination. Ahmadinejad may not be the most powerful individual in Iran, as that role is reserved for the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khomeini. Despite this Ahmadinejad has, since his election as sixth president on June 28, 2005, been involved in implementing programs which have added to the instability of the Middle East. While the world watches the events in Iran, Iraq, China and Russia, it is important to consider the potential of Egypt adding to further instability.

It could be argued that since Ahmadinejad's central message failed to register on his Western audiences that his visit to America was a failure. The fact that no media organs felt it necessary to analyze what he was talking about could be seen as a clear sign that no one is interested in buying what he is selling. But this is a dangerous argument, for it misses a basic truth.

Ahmadinejad is not interested in convincing the US government or even the majority of Americans to convert to Islam. He is interested in convincing adherents of totalitarian Islam and potential converts to the cause that they are on the winning side. He is interested in demoralizing foes of totalitarian Islam within the Islamic world and so causing them to give up any thoughts of struggle. In this goal he is no different from any of his Sunni counterparts in Saudi Arabia, al-Qaida, the Muslim Brotherhood operating worldwide, Hamas, or their sister organizations throughout the Islamic world and indeed throughout the West. Remember, the goal remains the same—establishing the Islamic kingdom of God.

Throughout the world, Islamic ideologues are aggressively spreading their message of global domination. In mosques, on the Internet, on television, in schools, hospitals and prisons, Islamic preachers can be found propagating the cause of Islamic domination. And aside from Iran, no regime, including the Saudi regime, is immune from the pressures of the message.

The Muslim Brotherhood’s Political Platform Reveled

As Maggie Michael of the Associated Press in her article of October 11, 2007, Egypt's Brotherhood party details platform akin to that of Iran comments: “The Muslim Brotherhood has laid down its first detailed political platform, which would bar women and Christians from becoming Egypt's president and establish a board of Muslim clerics to oversee the government, reminiscent of Iran's Islamic state.”

The platform has dismayed secular prodemocracy activists who had cautiously hoped the Brotherhood was becoming more moderate and who supported the movement in the face of an unprecedentedly tough government crackdown against it.

The document also complicates the debate in Egypt over how to deal with the Brotherhood, which proved its widespread popularity in 2005 parliament elections.

The Brotherhood in recent years has increasingly touted itself as a reform movement, insisting it wants a democratic playing field and an end to the autocratic rule of President Hosni Mubarak's regime. Some secular activists have said that, given the Brotherhood's popularity, there can't be real democracy in Egypt unless the group has a seat at the political table.

But the platform illustrated the dominance of a more hard-line trend in the Brotherhood, or Dawah - often referred to as the act of "preaching Islam"- over a minority of moderates who call for a civic government that respects Islamic principles.

The Free World today finds itself embroiled in an ideological war for its very survival.

The Islamists whether Shi'ite and Sunni are followers of a totalitarian ideology based on Islam which tells them that Allah wishes to rule the world through them. In no way does this imply that all Islamists are terrorists or seek to engage in war, terrorism whether it be in the form of suicide bombers, cyber-terrorism or economic Jihad are just among the tools and tactics being employed. The goal remains that of establishing the Islamic kingdom of God on earth. Israel is a central front – the epicenter in this war. Given the weakness of Western support for the Jews, jihadists see attacking Israel as a strategic tool for eroding the West's ideological defenses and shoring up their supporters throughout the world.

The thing of it is that aside from blind narcissism, there is a reason that the West ignores the dangers facing it. The Western media ignored Ahmadinejad's message, just as it has insistently ignored the messages of bin Laden and Fatah throughout the years, because Westerners have a hard time believing that anyone would want to abide by the Islamic world view which denies mankind's desire for freedom.

But no matter how ugly an ideology is, in the absence of real competition it gains adherents and power. The only way to ensure that jihadists' demonic views are defeated is by stridently defending and upholding the fundamental principles on which the Free World is based. And the West hasn't even begun to take up this challenge.

As a result, it has handed its enemies two victories already. It has demoralized its potential allies in the Islamic world, and it has failed to rally its own people to defend themselves.

In spite of what the West would like to believe, Ahmadinejad and his allies from Ramallah to Waziristan, from Gaza to Kandahar to Baghdad, are not negotiating. They are fighting. Rather than ignore them or seek to find nonexistent common ground, we must defeat them - first and foremost on the battleground of ideas.

The Muslim Brotherhood Organization

The Muslim Brotherhood (“MB”) organization describes itself as a political and social revolutionary movement; it was founded in March 1928 in Egypt by Hassan al-Banna, who objected to Western influence and called for return to an original Islam.

The Brotherhood is an expansive and secretive society with followers in more than 70 countries, dedicated to creating a global Islamic order that would isolate women and punish nonbelievers. Its members and supporters founded al Qaeda, as well as one “of the largest college student groups in the United States.”

Al-Banna had connections to Sufism, and he used the sufi-tariqa model for organizing the Brotherhood while rejecting Sufi “superstitions.” At first, the Muslim Brotherhood concentrated mainly on moral and social reforms, establishing educational and welfare programs. Then, following its rapid growth, it became more politically active and founded a secret military arm. It developed a tightly knit organization with a network of branches, subdivided into secret cell groups, with a missionary network that spread into Syria, Palestine and the Sudan. Members were recruited from rural and lower class backgrounds, as well as from the urban middle classes, and they received intensive ideological and physical training.

Al-Banna outlined a gradualist strategy in three stages: the Propaganda Stage (preparation), the Organization Stage (aimed at educating the people), and finally, the Action Stage. While tactics might change, the strategic objectives of the Brotherhood remain unchanged: to receive explicit political recognition so as to be able to operate freely in the social, economic and political arena, and to implement Shariah in an Islamic state.

The strategy of al-Banna has and is being implemented today in Europe and the rest of the world. We are witnessing the effect of the final stages in Europe. He could only have dreamed of the success we are seeing today.

The Project

According to Sylvain Besson, an investigative journalist for the daily newspaper, Time, in Geneva, in his book of “La conquete de L’Occident: Le projet secret des Islamistes“ (The conquest of the occident: The secret project of the Islamists), Swiss authorities made a worrying discovery at the time of a searching carried out in the villa of Egyptian banker Youssef Nada in Lugano in November 2001. Swiss investigators discovered “The Project,” an ambitious strategy intended “to establish the kingdom of God over the whole world.”

“The Project” is a fourteen-page leaflet, dated December 1982, calling for the Muslim Brotherhood’s conquest of the world. It is a detailed roadmap to attain this objective. The Muslim Brothers must infiltrate existing institutions, rather than create their own. It calls for a guerilla war against Israel in the Palestinian territories and support to diverse armed Muslim groups from Bosnia to the Philippines. Swiss investigators confirm that the Project is the proof of the Muslim Brotherhood’s role in supporting and inspiring the “worldwide jihad.”

In the 21st century, many Western politicians do not appear to understand the true agenda and ideology of Islamism. They mistakenly believe that negotiation with Islamists is possible, as if these do not have an intransigent agenda, designed to infiltrate or weaken the West. Islamists have failed to influence so-called most "Muslim countries" to accept their ideology, yet the West accepts Islamists' "advice" at its own peril.

The Muslim Brotherhood Plan for Egypt

According to the The Muslim Brotherhood (IKHWAN) Official English Website on October 3 A handbook for overthrowing governments like the Buramese, lessons to be learnt they have a plan of action for Egypt.

They reference a BBC article by Foreign Affairs correspondent Paul Reynolds handbook for overthrowing governments and regimes like the one in Burma http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/7021567.stm , which they found very interesting because some factors are the key for any successful revolution that wants real change with historical examples from around the globe.

Those key factors are the following:
· Widespread public protests, bringing in many different social and economic groups
· An opposition leadership with clear ideas around which people can rally
· The ability to use the media in some form to get a message across
· A mechanism for undermining the existing regime - whether by internal coup in the case of a military junta, the emergence of reformers, or the simple exhaustion of an existing government leading to its collapse
· External pressure from key countries able to exert influence

“Can it be implemented? Well of course, look if you review these factors you will find that they can be implemented in Egypt. It will depend only on the last two factors to implement a miraculous internal coup "despite we do not have a military Junta now” and external pressure which may develop through the NGOs and Islamist countries.”

“We do not have yet united opposition leadership ideas, the MB are in Jail plus many won’t like their political program especially when it concerns the Presidency and its interaction with the religious leadership, that reminds me with the System in Iran, Ayman Nour’s program and ideas were accepted by many but he is in Jail too not to mention that after all those years he got less supporters than before, the rest from opposition from the leftists "despite their late activity in the workers" protests", the Nasserists and Wafadists seem to live in the past.”

Conclusion

It is important to watch the current events occurring daily in the lenses of the following:
· Political,
· Economic, and
· Ideological

World events will seem confusing without a firm understanding of your ideological belief and understanding the End Times prophesies as presented in Christianity and Islam. As we recently witnessed in the speeches in New York of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad they were predominately about ideology. Similarly the case applies to the Muslim Brotherhood, Al Qaeda, and the other ideologists. The West failed to read and take to heart the writings of Marx, Lenin, Mao and Hitler. Please believe what they are saying.

On their first day of class at the Communist party's management school in Shanghai, students make a pilgrimage to a small museum commemorating the 1921 meeting of 13 activists who founded what has become the world's largest political organization.

With only 73.4m members – less than 5% of the population, the Chinese Communist party does more than just rule a country. Besides having a grip on every arm of government, the media and the military, the party now also presides over large and cash-rich state businesses, a control exercised by monopolizing the selection of senior executives.

Conflicts since 1950 with over 10,000 Fatalities
40,000,000 Red China, 1949-76 (outright killing, manmade famine, Gulag)
10,000,000 Soviet Bloc: late Stalinism, 1950-53; post-Stalinism, to 1987 (mostly Gulag)
4,000,000 Ethiopia, 1962-92: Communists, artificial hunger, genocides
3,800,000 Zaire (Congo-Kinshasa): 1967-68; 1977-78; 1992-95; 1998-present

In a different perspective, some 11,000,000 Muslims have been violently killed since 1948, of which 35,000, or 0.3 percent, died during the sixty years of fighting Israel, or just 1 out of every 315 Muslim fatalities. In contrast, over 90 percent of the 11 million who perished were killed by fellow Muslims. Reference: Arab-Israeli Fatalities Rank 49th by Gunnar Heinsohn and Daniel Pipes FrontPageMagazine.com October 8, 2007

Although Israel is aware of the threat by Iran, so to are the surrounding countries. The days where speeches by Presidents Nasser and Sadat would in the past stir excitement across the world are gone. The weak position of Egypt today presents a great threat to the future of the Arab world. Today, even Hamas' leaders in Gaza take the liberty to openly ignore Egyptian requests and demands. Such are the events transpiring prior to opening of the Summit.

Failure to adhere to fundamental principles of our Judeo-Christian beliefs will be the signs of weakness that will only strengthen the hands of those who have already declared that we are their enemies.

Four ideologies – Judeo/Christian based on the Bible, Islam based on the Qur’an/Hadith, Mormonism based on the Book of Mormon, and none of the above. They can not all be right, you have to make a decision, the future depends on it—it is chunch time.

Given this equation, any near term trigger event in Egypt would garner at least the same global attention as any other Middle East regional conflict. The red line is not “peace” in our time, but where will the West and Israel stand on Jerusalem and the “Temple Mount”.

David J. Jonsson is the author of Clash of Ideologies —The Making of the Christian and Islamic Worlds, Xulon Press 2005. His new book: Islamic Economics and the Final Jihad: The Muslim Brotherhood to the Leftist/Marxist - Islamist Alliance (Salem Communications (May 30, 2006). He received his undergraduate and graduate degrees in physics. He worked for major corporations in the United States and Japan and with multilateral agencies that brought him to more that fifteen countries with significant or majority populations who are Muslim. These exposures provided insight into the basic tenants of Islam as a political, economic and religious system. He became proficient in Islamic law (Shariah) through contract negotiation and personal encounter. David can be reached at: djonsson2000@yahoo.co.uk

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Monday, October 15, 2007

The Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance Aligns Against Jerusalem - David Jonsson.

Sunday, September 16, 2007

Indonesia – Russia Opens the Pacific Front - David J. Jonsson

David J. Jonsson
September 16, 2007

As Sun Tsu said:

“Whoever occupies the battleground first and awaits the enemy will be at ease;
whoever occupies the battleground afterward and must race to the conflict will
be fatigued. Thus one who excels at warfare compels men and is not compelled by
other men.”

“Thus the highest realization of warfare is to attack the enemy’s plans; next is
to attack their alliances; next to attack their army; and the lowest is to
attack their fortified cities.”

Vladimir Putin has the goal of reestablishing Russia as a world power and returning the world to a multi-polar world. Russia’s alliance with China and Iran with their global alliances through economic and military alliances presents the strategic basis for control and the elimination of the hegemony of the United States. The alliances span both the Sunni and Shia branches of Islam as exemplified by the relations with Saudi Arabia, the Gulf States, Indonesia and Iran.

While the politicians and the press are focused on war in Iraq, scant attention is being directed to the greater geopolitical events occurring worldwide. The battleground is already being occupied by the enemies of freedom and liberty. The Russian deal to supply weapons to Indonesia descended on the APEC summit table like a slammed fist.

Russia along with their partners is utilizing alliances in the: political, transportation, military, technology, economic, natural resource and energy sectors to accomplish the goal.

Russia seeks access to the Mediterranean, the Indian Ocean, the Pacific and the Caribbean.

In the space of a few years Russia has managed to create a network of relations that, at a diplomatic level, have launched the Kremlin as an irreplaceable reference point for the central-Asiatic republics, for some middle-east countries, the Pacific Basin and the Caribbean. The network of alliances between Russia, Iran, China, India, Venezuela, Cuba and now Indonesia - motivated exclusively by convenience - have produced an acceleration of economic and financial integration projects.

Past differences between Russia and the larger Asiatic nations seem now to be overcome due to the will to reach new common objectives. From this point of view, the intention of the Shanghai Pact’s members of including Iran amongst the cooperation organizations, Russia and China’s UNSC veto and opposition to imposing sanctions in order to discourage Teheran from pursuing the enrichment of uranium, and the profitable Russian-Iranian cooperation in economic and military fields represent the most significant examples of the sharing of political strategies that antagonize the West.

While the leaders who attended the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Sydney in September 2007 seemed to be united in their call for action on challenging issues such as global warming and economic development, in fact a cauldron of unpredictable discord was simmering just below the surface of smiles and handshakes.

While Vladimir Putin arrived at the APEC meetings to open the Russian initiative in the Pacific with the signing of weapons and energy deals with Indonesia, the United States and Japan seemed intent on also creating a new military block in Asia. They have enlisted Australia, India and Singapore as their allies, and the five nations were concluding their first joint military exercises in the Bay of Bengal just as the APEC conference was winding down. In Sydney, the United States, Japan and Australia held separate security talks at which the main topic was how to engage with India.

The leading members of this alliance have described their cooperation as focused on their "common interests," and have stressed that it is not aimed against China. Yet there is little evidence to prove this argument. No one knows what scenarios will arise in the future.

Is the emerging Asian security paradigm a threat to China? “The "Malabar CY 07-2" naval exercises in the Bay of Bengal held in the first week of September, 2007 undoubtedly represent a major shift in India's strategic security perceptions. Only the US and Indian navies had been participating in the 12 Malabar series of naval exercises held usually off the west coast of India so far. But Malabar CY 07-2 is different in two ways. First, the size of it; with the participation of nearly 30 warships and 200 aircraft from five nations- Australia, Japan, India, the U.S., and Singapore – makes it the largest ever naval exercise in this part of the world. Second, in a clear departure from the past, qualitatively the exercise is trying out entirely new set of war games in the Bay of Bengal off Andaman.”

The Cold War should serve as a mirror in this present situation. The confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union in the early years of the Cold War resembles in some respects the situation that is emerging today.

The South China Sea was the scene of 13 resource-related military clashes in the 1990s, nine of which involved China.

Political Alliances

Russia – Indonesia
During a one-day visit to Indonesia on September 7, 2007 President Vladimir Putin witnessed the signing of a $1 billion arms deal that many analysts see as part of a broader Russian effort to restore diplomatic and military clout in the Asia-Pacific region and make some money, as well.

Indonesia, which until 2005 was under a U.S. arms embargo because of human rights abuses, will purchase Russian tanks, military helicopters and submarines. Last month, Russia said it would sell six fighter jets to Indonesia, the world's most populous Muslim nation, as part of the deal.

"The deals signed in Indonesia are part of a Kremlin strategy to expand its influence in Asia and the Middle East," said Alexei Makarkin, an analyst at the Center for Political Technologies in Moscow. "Russia is trying to pursue a multipolar policy in the world and considers itself to be one of its poles."

"We agreed to develop our cooperation in energy, mining, aviation and the telecommunications sector," said Putin, who stopped in the Indonesian capital, Jakarta, on his way to the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Australia. "There's also a good perspective in defense and military."

For Indonesia, the country's defense minister said, the deal comes with none of the strings that encumber similar purchases from the United States and Western Europe.

"Requirements for purchasing arms from Western countries are complicated, with preconditions attached, such as human rights, accountability, not to mention licensing," Juwono Sudarsono told reporters in Jakarta. "In our past experience with Britain, we were not allowed to use Scorpion tanks in Aceh, even though we were facing armed separatists."

Under Putin, Russia has become determined to project its military, diplomatic and energy power into the Pacific, an area it neglected after the fall of the Soviet Union. Besides the arms deal, Russian companies have signed billions of dollars worth of deals in the mining and energy sectors with Indonesian companies, Russian officials said.

So it seems that the likes of Indonesia is certainly being subverted into the Moscow-Beijing Axis as the likes of Comrade Czar Vladimir Putin along with Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono are signing at least a one billion dollar arms deal. Indonesia is one country in the South Pacific that has one of the largest Muslim populations.

Many Indonesian Muslims are being subverted to be supporting radical "Islamist" leanings through such groups such as the "al-Qaedish" Jemaah Islamiah where it's derived from the "Islamist" Darul Islam (House of Islam), and entrenched itself in the Indonesian Muslim populations since the days of the Indonesian National Revolution, where members of the Soviet-backed Socialist Party of Indonesia attempted to create an "Indonesian Soviet Republic". While the openly "Islamist" movements such as Darul Islam wanted to establish an Islamic theocracy. Even members of the Indonesian Communist Party participated, now banned from Indonesia. But Indonesia in spite of the various governments trying to lean "pro-Western", Indonesia remains a target for recruitment for the Moscow-Beijing Axis. The arms purchase provides that very case.

The Russian – China Alliance

This is exemplified initially in what was known as the Beijing-Moscow Alliance. The first-ever joint Chinese-Russian military exercises took place in Mid-August 2005.

The exercises were small in scale — but huge in implication. They indicated a further warming of the "strategic partnership" that Moscow and Beijing struck back in 1996.

More importantly, they signal the first real post-Cold War steps, beyond inflammatory rhetoric, by Russia and China to balance — and, ultimately, diminish — U.S. power across Asia. If America doesn't take strategic steps to counter these efforts, it will lose influence to Russia and China in an increasingly important part of the world.

In Russia 2007 will be the Year of China. Beijing buys 90 per cent of its military hardware from Russia and insists on building an oil pipeline between the two countries. The two parties are working together to carve out their spheres of influence in Central Asia. China accounts for 40 per cent of Russia's total military sales.

China’s military needs Russian technology and the two neighbors have been quietly collaborating on ballistic missile research, nuclear technologies and space exploration. Russia and China are also seeking and obtaining western technology in a multitude of ways.

France and Germany, for example, seemed happy to allow Dubai's ruling family to buy its stake in EADS maker of Airbuses and Eurofighters. The fund will not be seeking board representation. Not that it would be able to get it. Appointing EADS directors is a privilege reserved for the members of the shareholder pact that controls 58 per cent of the shares. Rather, as with Dubai International Capital (DIC's) recent purchase of HSBC stock, the strategy is to take long-term stakes in the world's largest companies. The acquisition of shares of HSBC makes it “one of the leading shareholders” in HSBC, Europe's biggest bank. DIC is the private-equity arm of conglomerate Dubai Holding, founded by Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, who is prime minister and vice president of the United Arab Emirates and ruler of Dubai.

Political considerations cannot be ruled out though. The 5 per cent stake in EADS held by Russian bank VTB looks to be aimed partly at winning sub-assembly work and hence technology transfer for Russia. There are signs that Qatar and China may also seek a closer relationship too. For Dubai, the inside track on EADS-owned Airbus wouldn't hurt. Airbus is the main supplier of aircraft to the Emirates airline and Dubai is hoping to expand its position as a major aircraft maintenance hub.

Similarly, in the last few months Russia and China have adopted similar positions on several issues in opposition to the United States, and their relationship is taking on greater weight, especially at the regional level.

For example, whilst the Washington has threatened Iran with sanctions if it does not give up its nuclear program, Beijing and Moscow have threatened to use their veto power to block them if they come up at the United Nations.

On September 10, Russian President Vladimir Putin arrived in the Emirates' capital Abu Dhabi on Monday morning for what is his first official visit there in the 35 year history of Russian-Emirates relations.

"Putin's historic visit to the UAE is part of Russia's stated intention of bolstering ties with Arab and Muslim countries," the main daily English language newspaper Gulf News reported Monday and added that trade exchange between Russia and Emirates is expected to reach a record US$800 million this year.

The two sides will "naturally, discuss the military-technical cooperation," Russian presidential aide Prikhodko said without providing details, but suggested that the Emirates might be interested in Russian air defense weapons.

The Russian – China - Iran alliance

The cooperation between Moscow and Teheran in a variety of important sectors is becoming more and more intense but is far from representing an exclusive partnership, Moscow’s aim is to develop a network of alliances, China and India, in order to propose a valid alternative to US economical and political hegemony.

A TEHRAN MOSCOW BEIJING AXIS AGAINST THE WEST on GlobalSecurity.org 3 September 2001, Volume 4, Number 33 reported: Expediency Council Chairman and former President Ayatollah Ali Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani described trilateral cooperation between Moscow, Tehran, and Beijing as "strategic" during a meeting with the new Russian ambassador, Aleksandr Maryasov, according to state television on 13 August. He added that this three-way cooperation could serve as a counterweight against the West and the U.S., and it would alter international conditions, according to IRNA.

On September 4, 2007 Iran's influential Assembly of Experts elected Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani as its chairman in a move that could strengthen the pragmatic former president's position in the political hierarchy. "Legally speaking, Mr. Rafsanjani is now in a higher position than Ayatollah [Ali] Khamenei [the supreme leader] but it is early to say how he will use this position," said Ahmad Zeidabadi, a political analyst.

Red World: Venezuela, Latin America's newest socialist republic moving is toward single-party dictatorship and strategic partner of Moscow, Beijing, Tehran and Havana

The Caribbean provides access to the soft underbelly of the United States and is another strategic choke point for shipping to the US.

Chavez is chummy with almost anyone who opposes the U.S. -- plain and simple. Some of these ties are quite troubling. He clearly idolizes Castro the most, inspiring some to dub him Castro's Mini-Yo (Mini-Me).

Venezuela is helping to keep the failed Cuban system on life support by providing some 50,000 barrels of oil per day at concessionary prices in exchange for a bevy of Cuban teachers, doctors and sports instructors. Chavez seems willing to increase oil deliveries to Cuba with every photo op he gets with his valued mentor and strategic adviser, Castro, to burnish his leftist Latino credentials. As such, some expect oil deliveries to Cuba to double this year.

But Cuba is also providing intelligence and security officers to Venezuela. They've helped Chavez develop an improved intelligence capability -- and undermine the political opposition in true Cuban style.

Cuban military advisers are also present, making Venezuelan officers increasingly anxious about the creeping influence of Havana in military matters. Caracas is also sending officers to Cuba for training -- and, undoubtedly, political indoctrination.

Like Castro, who partnered with the Soviet Union during the Cold War, Chavez is making common cause with other American enemies -- including the world's most active state sponsor of terrorism, Iran.

Chavez meets with Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad regularly in Venezuela and Iran. Last year, they revealed plans for a $2 billion joint fund, part of which will be used as a "mechanism for liberation" against U.S. allies. The concern in the relationship is Caracas may be looking to Tehran for help with a so-called "peaceful" nuclear program. In addition to supporting Iran's nuclear bid in international forums, Chavez has publicly expressed interest in nuclear energy.

Thankfully, other regional states with civilian nuclear power programs, such as Argentina and Brazil, have shunned Venezuela, seeing helping Chavez as risky. But Iran, ever eager to keep the U.S. off-balance, might just be willing to lend a hand.

And don't forget about (already) nuclear North Korea. Venezuelan and North Korean military delegations have traipsed back and forth on numerous occasions between Caracas and Pyongyang. Both sides deny anything other than routine exchanges. Although nothing has yet materialized, North Korean ballistic missiles could be on Venezuela's shopping list. Pyongyang is the world's most prodigious proliferators of missiles; Venezuela might be in the market for short-range Scuds or medium-range No-Dongs. With North Korea possibly backing down on their nuclear enrichment activities, only time will tell how these relations will develop.

The potentially unemployed North Korean scientists may find a new life in Iran, Syria or Venezuela.

Venezuela isn't known to be supporting Islamic terrorism -- at the moment. But it does seem to turn a blind eye, at a minimum, to the FARC and ELN narco-terrorists and other regional paramilitary groups that cross the border to regroup and resupply in Venezuela.

Support, of course, in the future may go well beyond the provision of safe haven. Venezuela has been accused of providing both the FARC and ELN with older-model small arms and ammunition.

The U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) believes Venezuelan airports and ports have become major cocaine trafficking routes from Colombia into the Caribbean, and onward to both the U.S. and Europe.

Although not pointing a finger at the central government, the DEA believes that these drug flights to the Caribbean from Venezuela have doubled in recent years. Counterpunching, Chavez recently charged the DEA with trafficking drugs.

With these economic ties, the People's Republic is also building military and political ties in the Latin world - especially with regimes like Venezuela's Hugo Chavez which are hostile to U.S. policies.

One of the most eye-popping elements of Chavismo is Venezuela's arms purchases. Flush with oil profits, Chavez, a former army lieutenant colonel, has been buying as much shiny military hardware as possible.

Since 2005, he's spent more than $4 billion on foreign weapons, making tiny Venezuela one of the world's most aggressive arms purchasers. In 2006 alone, arms spending were up 13 percent, according to some estimates.

Venezuela is China's closest political ally in South America and has the most extensive military cooperation with the Chinese in Latin America outside of Cuba. It has bought three JYL-1 mobile air defense radars and is looking at also buying fighter jets from China.

In March 2007, Li Changchun, a member of the Standing Committee of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee, visited senior Venezuelan officials to exchange ideas on the development of bilateral relations with Venezuela. Li met Hugo Chavez, the president of Venezuela, in the Miraflores presidential palace. There he said that since the establishment of the China-Venezuela strategic association, and especially in recent years, relations had entered a new phase characterized by frequent high-level visits, growing political trust and collaboration. This is the first high-level official visit by a Chinese official since Zeng Qinghong, China's vice-president, visited Venezuela in January 2005.

He added that China is certain that cooperation to the benefit of both nations is in the fundamental interest of both nations, and that China seeks to increase strategic consensus with Venezuela.

He also said that the CPC regards exchanges with the Fifth Republic Movement party, founded by Chavez, as very important and called for closer cooperation between the two. Li and Chavez signed economic and technological cooperation.

Venezuela and China created a US$6 billion (euro4.5 billion) fund on March 26, 2007 to boost energy cooperation and finance joint development projects between the two countries. The fund - aimed at increasing Venezuelan oil exports to China from 150,000 to 800,000 barrels a day - was part of a series of agreements signed following a meeting between Chavez and Li Changchun,

"We have brought bilateral relations to a strategic point," Chavez said. "I don't think China has made a decision like this with any other country in half a century. We must thank them for their trust."

Venezuela will invest US$2 billion (euro1.5 billion) in the fund, which will also be used to build railroads, telecommunications networks and shipyards in the South American country, while China will allocate US$4 billion (euro3 billion) for the fund.Under Chavez, Venezuela - one of the world's largest oil exporters - has fostered increasingly close ties with China as it seeks new markets for its petroleum beyond the United States - its top buyer. China is the world's second-largest consumer of oil and third-biggest importer.

Venezuela's state oil company Petroleos de Venezuela SA, or PDVSA, plans to spend US$2.2 billion (euro1.66 billion) to more than triple its fleet of tankers by 2012 to reach remote Asian markets.

Venezuela exports about 15 percent of its crude and other oil products to Asia but seeks to raise that to 45 percent - approximately 1 million barrels a day - within five years. Such a shift would significantly impact US supply.

Venezuela says it produces about 3.3 million barrels a day, but many outside sources - including the International Energy Agency, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, and the U.S. Energy Information Agency - put actual production closer to about 2.5 million barrels a day.

On September 11, 2007 Petróleos de Venezuela, the state-owned oil company agreed that China National Petroleum Corp. will invest more than $10 billion in a heavy-oil venture in Venezuela's Faja del Orinoco region. The venture is intended to produce as much as a million barrels a day in the region, PDVSA said on its Web site Tuesday, citing a statement by Rafael Ramirez, the minister of energy and oil.

President Hugo Chavez has pledged to increase oil exports to China as part of his effort to reduce reliance on the U.S. market and to cement ties with countries with what he says is compatible ideologies.

Iranian Alliances

Iran, either independently or in concert with Russia has also extended their global alliance network. Iran is a supporter of Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas in Palestine and Syria effectively stretching their influence to the Mediterranean. As also noted, Iran is active in Venezuela and Cuba. Hezbollah cells also operate in the US.

Iran is seeking relations with Turkey. In the Qandil (Kandil) Mountains, where Turkey, Iran, Iraq, and Syria all meet lies the ancestral homeland of the Kurds, known in history as the Medes, who were partners with Persia in defeating Babylon.

Ancient Babylon, celebrated as a fount of law, writing and urban living, sits just outside the modern-day city of Hilla, about 60 miles south of Baghdad. Hilla is neither haunted by Sunni insurgents nor overwhelmed by Shiite militias. And though it has a mix of Shiites and Sunnis, it has not been afflicted by the sectarian violence that has paralyzed so many other heterogeneous parts of Iraq.

You can imagine my interest, therefore, in a front-page story on April 18, 2006 “Babylon Awaits an Iraq Without Fighting” in the New York Times that reported the following: “Babylon, the mud-brick city with the million-dollar name, has paid the price of war. It has been ransacked, looted, torn up, paved over; neglected and roughly occupied….But Iraqi leaders and United Nations officials are not giving up on it. They are working assiduously to restore Babylon, home to one of the Seven Wonders of the World, and turn it into a cultural center and possibly even an Iraqi theme park.”

Over the years, colonial powers took artifacts and Saddam Hussein built on Nebuchadnezzar's palace. Then, the Iraq war. Famous sites, like the Tower of Babel and the Hanging Gardens, are swallowed up by river reeds.

The mayor of the area says, God willing, they will even put up a Holiday Inn.“The United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization is pumping millions of dollars into protecting and restoring Babylon and a handful of other ancient ruins in Iraq,” noted correspondent Jeffrey Gettleman. “UNESCO has even printed up a snazzy brochure, with Babylon listed as the premier destination, to hand out to wealthy donors.”

Turkey has been legitimately afraid that in return for Kurdish assistance in deposing Saddam Hussein (it was the Kurds who located Saddam and tipped off US troops) the US would permit at least unofficial attempts to establish a Kurdish homeland on land that Turkey claims. Turkey has maintained up to 20,000 troops on its border with Iraq to prevent such a move.

And in fact the US has been vacillating on the Kurdish issue, even publishing a map of the region showing the presence of a Kurdish entity. US officials later claimed it didn't accurately reflect US policy. Turkey is skeptical.

Iran sees this situation as an opportunity to further strengthen its regional position and has teamed up with Turkey to assist in removing a force of 5000 Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) soldiers from the area where Iran abuts Iraq in the Qandil Mountains. According to several news and intelligence sources they already have positioned troops some 7-8 km inside Iraq and have begun shelling the mountain hideouts. The situation for Turkey offers some big incentives. Not only do they get help in spanking the PUK, but have made it known that they have their eye on Kirkuk, an Iraqi city in the area that produces 40% of Iraq's oil output, and that Turkey had made claim to before.

For its part Iran also sees a chance grab a chunk of Northern Iraq for itself. In addition Iran wants to destroy forward intelligence positions the Israelis may have secretly placed among the Kurds to help them receive the earliest possible warning of an Iranian attack on Israel. Knocking out these posts would give the Iranians two significant victories against the Israelis within the span of just a few months, the war in Lebanon being the other. The loss of this intelligence would no doubt reduce the possibility for a successful US-Israeli attack against Iran, too.

Many observers believe it's already too late to stop the Turkey-Iran initiative. The question is whether it will blossom into yet another Mid-East war pitting the US, Iraq, and Israel against Iran, Turkey, and possibly Syria.

On March 31, 2007, In Overture to Iran, Qaddafi Declares North Africa Shi'ite and Calls for Establishment of New Fatimid State (MEMRI Special Dispatch Series – No 1535 of April 6, 2007). Libyan leader Mu'ammar Qaddafi called, in a speech in Niger to Tuareg tribal leaders, for the establishment of a second Shi'ite Fatimid state in North Africa, after the model of the 10th-13th century empire that ruled North Africa, Egypt, and parts of the Fertile Crescent. In his speech, Qaddafi denounced the division of Muslims into Sunni and Shi'ite as a colonialist plot, and rebuked the Arab League members for "hating Iran."

Military Alliances

Military cooperation is an instrument for containing the US hegemony in the region

Russia

This year, Putin signed a $200 billion, seven-year rearmament plan for Russia's military. The package includes money for the Pacific Fleet, a major Pacific submarine base and new land- and sea-based intercontinental missiles. Last month, Russia resumed global patrols by its long-range strategic bombers, sending two of them far across Pacific Ocean waters to the vicinity of Guam Island, site of a major U.S. base.

These actions are consistent with Russian strategy for opening the Pacific Front and military alliance with Indonesia. It should be noted that this also places Russia and China into potential conflict in the Pacific Basin.

On September 6, 2007, Britain and Norway scrambled jets to trail Russian bombers conducting the new patrols. The Russian Defense Ministry described the flights by eight strategic bombers as a "routine exercise" and said that although the aircraft had encountered planes from NATO countries, there were "no incidents."

Last month, Russia conducted a joint military exercise with China, one of its major arms customers. And it has made or is negotiating other arms deals across Asia, including with India, Malaysia, Burma and Vietnam.

Collective Security Treaty of Organization (CSTO) and Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO)

Some observers remain skeptical that Russia will become a major competitor of the United States and, increasingly, China for influence in the region.

Far from being an isolated phenomenon of bilateral cooperation, the Moscow-Teheran axis in the defense sector results as being part of a wider Euro-Asiatic security network that aims to involve other minor regional states such as Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, and Byelorussia. These states are united in the Collective Security Treaty of Organization (CSTO), ratified in 1992, and in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), composed of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Russia and China. Iran is not a member of the CSTO but participates as an observer. Relations between Teheran and the CSTO are, however, helped by Beijing’s mediation, former member of the SCO and strategic partners of the CSTO. As can be seen from the complex structure of alliances, Moscow aims to build a security and defense network in the Asian region involving Iran as potential ‘containing’ factor against US influence.

CSTO is a military-political alliance and the SCO is economy-powered. Together, the CSTO and the SCO account for about half the global population and are increasingly keeping up with the U.S. and NATO in terms of leverage in the UN and elsewhere, to the shock and ire of many politicians there. Signatories to the CSTO wouldn't be able to join other military alliances or other groups of states, while an aggression against one signatory would be perceived as an aggression against all.

If on the one hand the Islamic Republic represents a means for the Asiatic states to exert pressure over the Western ones, on the other hand the intense military cooperation is a sign that an eventual attack against the Islamic Republic could easily bring about a wider military conflict.

Venezuela

One of the most eye-popping elements of Chavismo is Venezuela's arms purchases. Flush with oil profits, Chavez, a former army lieutenant colonel, has been buying as much shiny military hardware as possible.

Since 2005, he's spent more than $4 billion on foreign weapons, making tiny Venezuela one of the world's most aggressive arms purchasers. In 2006 alone, arms spending was up 13 percent, according to some estimates.

Some analysts project that if oil prices remain high, say, at more than $50 a barrel, Venezuela could spend as much as $30 billion on arms by 2012, the end of Chavez's third term in office. Caracas is already the largest arms buyer in the region -- and is expected to be so for the foreseeable future.

Russia is Chavez's favorite arms outlet. Having spent more than $3 billion, Caracas is already under contract to buy 24 Su-30 fighters, 50 helicopters/gunships and 100,000 AK103 (AK47 follow-on) assault rifles from Moscow. It has also inked a deal to build the Kalashnikov rifle under Russian license in Venezuela.

Caracas is also interested in Russian air defense systems and diesel submarines, which Moscow would likely be more than happy to provide. In addition to Russia, Venezuela has had preliminary discussions with Belarus and Iran about surface-to-air missile systems.

As few as nine diesel submarines, which could also be provided by Germany or France, would make Venezuela the proud owner of the region's largest submarine fleet, withstanding the U.S., of course. Venezuela has also sought arms from Spain, Sweden and Brazil, which have declined for the moment as a result of U.S. pressure over tech transfer issues. As China develops its advanced weapons industry, it will likely become a source for Venezuela's military.

Energy the Oil Weapon

Indonesia

A series of contractual production-sharing and long-term-supply spats pitting the Indonesian government against multinational energy companies and big natural-gas importers in Japan has recently tarnished Indonesia’s reputation as a reliable business partner. It has also undermined the gas sector’s overall earning potential - crucially at a time when global prices have surged to near-record highs.

Indonesia has some of the largest known pools of natural gas in the world, with total estimated reserves of 187 trillion standard cubic feet (scf), according to the Energy Ministry. Local gas production in 2006 amounted to 8.1 billion scf per day, of which 46% was dedicated to domestic demand for power generation, fertilizer production and other industries, while the rest was exported mainly as liquefied natural gas (LNG).

Significantly, Indonesia’s deep pools remain largely unexploited and rising global energy prices have substantially upped the market incentive to drop new wells. That’s apparently what French oil giant Total SA, currently one of Indonesia’s largest gas exporters, assumed when it announced last week plans to invest US$6 billion over the next five years in its existing operations at the Mahakam Delta oil-and-gas block in remote East Kalimantan province.

Yet no sooner had Total announced its investment plans when Mines and Energy Minister Purnomo Yusgiantoro said the government would likely seek to amend the company’s existing production-sharing contract, including the agreed 70%-30% government-contractor split over revenues, which is to expire in 2017. The minister said the amendments to the contract would seek “what’s best for Indonesia”.

For more than 25 years Indonesia, through Pertamina, dominated the region and led the global LNG market as the world’s largest exporter. But a number of nationalistic policy signals have recently alienated new foreign investors and inhibited the country’s ability to tap new supplies efficiently. Last year, Qatar bypassed Indonesia as the world’s largest LNG exporter.

This year the government has said it will slash LNG exports to traditional major buyers in Japan and South Korea (currently the world’s two largest LNG importers) and also to Taiwan from the contracted 26.4 million tons down to 21.4 million tons. Jakarta has also said it cannot guarantee a contractual extension to supply 12 million tons annually to Japan’s Kansai Electric Power, Chubu Electric, Kyushu Electric, Osaka Gas, Toho Gas and Nippon Steel Corp when the deal runs out in 2011. Tokyo Electric Power Co, Japan’s biggest electric utility, has recently said it will not renew its long-term agreement to purchase LNG from Indonesia when it expires in 2009.

With Indonesia slashing exports to Japan, South Korea and Taiwan according to this article….South Korea is one of the biggest importer of Natural Gas in the world, they have serious implication if the LNG supply is disrupted in anyway.

Japan LNG Supply



LUKoil and the Indonesian state-owned oil company PERTAMINA have signed an agreement to explore some potential fields on the republic's territory, the Russian oil giant's press office reported. The document was signed in Jakarta during Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to the Republic of Indonesia.

The agreement specifies the companies' joint operations for the next two years and involves formation of a steering committee and a joint technical group. The document promotes collaboration between LUKoil and PERTAMINA, which shows great promise and paves the way for a strategic alliance for developing joint projects in oil and gas exploration and production, LUKoil President Vagit Alekperov said.

Be prepared

With the LNG supply for Japan mostly from Islamic countries including Indonesia Japan needs to be concerned about its energy security. China and South Korea also face similar security issues.

Venezuela

Venezuela is the world's eighth-largest oil exporter. In addition, it may have the world's fifth-largest known oil reserves, meaning it has more petroleum potential than any country in the Western Hemisphere. Not a dubious honor, by any means, these days.

Some experts believe the Orinoco Belt, an energy-rich region southeast of Caracas, has as much -- or more -- energy potential than Saudi Arabia, a country known to possess 25 percent of the world's known oil reserves.

Unfortunately, the U.S. likes its Venezuelan heavy crude oil. Venezuela is the United States' fifth-largest foreign oil supplier, providing 10 percent to 15 percent of our oil imports at roughly 1.5 million barrels a day.

The U.S. imports more than 60 percent of its oil, making our economy vulnerable to shocks in the international energy market. Chavez knows this. He once said: "We have invaded the United States, but it's with our oil."

Chavez has vowed to use oil as a weapon, promising to play his "strong oil card" to "finish off the U.S. Empire." On May 1, he got started on his plan by announcing his intention to nationalize Venezuela's oil industry.

Venezuela is now in the process of transitioning from dependence on the long-dominant western energy firms, including some American, to ownership by the state-owned oil company, Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA).

Although this move is not promising for American energy security, it is fortunate that Venezuelan oil is of the heavy crude variety. It's highly acidic and difficult to refine. That's good news for the U.S. Why? At the moment, most of the oil refineries capable of processing Venezuelan heavy crude oil happen to be in the U.S., because Caracas has failed to invest sufficiently in petroleum processing capabilities. This may change with China’s commitment to invest in the refinery sector.

Venezuela sends the majority of its petroleum exports, about 60 percent, to the U.S. So, in the short-term, cutting off oil shipments to America would be, at best, a pyrrhic victory for Chavez because he needs access to American refineries -- and so does his Bolivarian revolution.

In the longer term, that situation may change drastically. Caracas may, over time, develop domestic refining capability for its heavy crude oil -- and look elsewhere for eager buyers of its thick, black gold. Indeed, it already is.

Enter China, another of Venezuela's new extra-hemispheric friends. China is now the world's second-largest consumer of energy -- and imported oil, too. And Beijing is eager to find new energy sources.

With no Pacific seaports to transport oil from, it costs about $15 more per barrel to transport oil to China from Venezuela. Despite this, China is now the fastest-growing destination for Venezuelan oil.

Eager to buy oil that might otherwise be bound for the U.S., China is working on significant investments in the Venezuelan energy sector, including developing heavy crude refineries there.
Chavez doesn't just use oil as a foil against enemies like the U.S. He also uses the windfall profits to help friends, including other regional leftist politicians running for election, especially high office. For example, he unabashedly bankrolled successful presidential candidates in Bolivia (Evo Morales), Nicaragua (Daniel Ortega) and Ecuador (Rafael Correa). To Chavez's disappointment, his candidates fell short in Peru and Mexico.

Chavez is using the expropriation of Venezuelan energy assets as a means of consolidating not only his political power at home, but projecting power abroad as well through arms purchases, political campaigns and manipulating oil markets.


But the real question is whether PDVSA, an increasing source of Chavez's revenue -- and thereby his influence -- can actually handle the departure of Western oil firms and their highly skilled technocrats. Early indicators aren't good. It's risky. At the moment, oil typically generates 80 percent of the country's export income, provides more than half of the central government's revenue, and is responsible for about one-third of the country's gross domestic product.

In the end, Hugo Chavez defines himself in opposition to the U.S. His agenda -- a troubling military buildup, connections with countries of concern, political meddling abroad and oil machinations -- is bad news for everybody.

As the director of national intelligence testified to Congress in February: "Chavez is among the most stridently anti-American leaders anywhere in the world, and will continue to try to undercut U.S. influence in Venezuela, in the rest of Latin America and elsewhere internationally."

Chavez clearly plans to challenge the status quo, wielding a multifaceted, asymmetric campaign akin to a political, economic, security and social insurgency in Latin America and the Caribbean at the expense of the United States' influence and interests.

It's tempting to write off Chavez simply as Latin America's latest tin-pot strongman, but he shouldn't be taken lightly. Venezuela's Chavismo has the potential to cause real trouble for the U.S. and Latin American democracies.

Control of Transportation Routes

China and Potentially Russia and Islamists Seek to Build a Sea-lane Denial Capability
The threat to China is the U.S. Navy. If the United States wanted to break China, its means of doing so would be naval interdiction. This would not have to be a close-in interdiction. The Chinese import oil from around the world and ship their goods around the world. U.S. forces could choose to stand off, far out of the range of Chinese missiles -- or reconnaissance platforms that would locate U.S. ships -- and interdict the flow of supplies there, at a chokepoint such as the Strait of Malacca. Over 50% of the world’s cargo passes through these straits. This strategy would have far-reaching implications, of course: the Malacca Strait is essential not only to China, but also to the United States and the rest of the world. But the point is that the U.S. Navy could interdict China’s movement of goods far more readily than China could interdict American movement of goods.

For China, freedom of the seas has become a fundamental national interest. Right now, China’s access to the sea-lanes depends on U.S. acquiescence. The United States has shown no interest whatsoever in cutting off that access -- quite the contrary. But China, like any great power, does not want its national security held hostage to the goodwill of another power -- particularly not one it regards as unpredictable and as having interests quite different from its own. The issue is increased Chinese nationalism, which we discuss later.

To put it simply, the United States currently dominates the world’s oceans. This is a source of enormous power, and the United States will not give up that domination voluntarily. China, for its part, cannot live with that state of affairs indefinitely. China may not be able to control the sea itself, but it cannot live forever with U.S. control. Therefore, China requires building a sea-lane-denial strategy.

It is important to recognize that the Islamists, Russia or China controls all oil transit choke points. Over 40 million barrels per day of oil moves by tanker, in many cases though World Oil Transit Chokepoints. Bab el-Mandab-- Djibouti/Eritrea/Yemen; connects the Red Sea with the Gulf of Aden and the Arabian Sea. 3 million-bbl/d flows through this choke point. Suez/Sumed-- Egypt; connects the Red Sea and Gulf of Suez with the Mediterranean Sea. Oil Flows (2004E): 3.8 million bbl/d northbound, and 0.4 million bbl/d southbound. Northbound shipments consisted of 2.5 million bbl/d of crude oil via the Sumed Pipeline (nearly all of which came from Saudi Arabia), 0.8 million bbl/d of crude oil via the Suez Canal, and 0.5 million bbl/d of petroleum products via the Suez Canal. Southbound oil flows through the Suez Canal totaled 0.3 million bbl/d of petroleum products, and 0.1 million bbl/d of crude oil.

The Strait of Malacca, linking the Indian and Pacific Oceans, is the shortest sea route between the Persian Gulf and Asian markets, including three of the world's most populous countries -- India, China, and Indonesia -- and therefore is considered to be the key choke point in Asia. The narrowest point of this shipping lane is the Phillips Channel in the Singapore Strait, which is only 1.5 miles wide at its narrowest point. This creates a natural bottleneck, with the potential for a collision, grounding, or oil spill (in addition, piracy is a regular occurrence in the Singapore Strait). If the strait were closed, nearly half of the world's fleet would be required to sail further, generating a substantial increase in the requirement for vessel capacity. All excess capacity of the world fleet might be absorbed, with the effect strongest for crude oil shipments and dry bulk such as coal. Closure of the Strait of Malacca would immediately raise freight rates worldwide. More than 50,000 vessels per year transit the Strait of Malacca. With Chinese oil imports from the Middle East increasing steadily, the Strait of Malacca is likely to grow in strategic importance in coming years.

Crashing into the middle of this APEC meeting came Vladimir Putin, a bear at a picnic, a witch at the christening. The Russian came to Sydney from Jakarta. There, he formalized a deal to sell Indonesia submarines, tanks and aircraft worth more than a billion dollars.

The deal would give Indonesia a big strategic step-up. And it moves Indonesia away from the West and closer to the Russian sphere of influence. Japan immediately asked for an explanation.
"Any country that makes such a big deal should explain why it's important for their security and how they assess the security situation around their country," the spokesman for Japan's Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Mitsuo Sakaba, said in Sydney. "They should explain their intentions."

Under questioning at a press conference in Sydney yesterday, Mr. Putin defended the sale: "These are legal and open transactions and they lead to no negative consequences in the world; they do not somehow disturb any balance."

Australian experts disagree. Dr. Alexey Muraviev, a strategic affairs analyst at the Curtin University of Technology, said that despite the public assurances by Mr. Putin and the Australian Government about the specter of a regional arms race, and despite the submarines the Russians will sell Indonesia not being quite as good as Australia's Collins Class subs, the subs presented "a security challenge to the Royal Australian Navy".

"It may certainly be a challenge to our anti-submarine warfare capabilities." Dr. Muraviev says.
"Well, we now have a region where China, India, Pakistan, South Korea, Malaysia, Singapore and now Indonesia are modernizing their submarine forces. So much for politicians with short-term vision."

Indonesia's naval capability is a first-order strategic concern because the Indonesian archipelago itself is a first-order strategic concern.

The country sits astride one of the world's vital strategic shipping routes, the Strait of Malacca. A quarter of all global oil shipments pass through the strait, including most of the oil needed to fuel the Japanese and South Korean economies. About 40 per cent of Australia's exports pass through the strait. And further, Indonesia is a major suppler LNG for Japan, China and South Korea. A submarine fleet, whether it is from Russia, Indonesia or China presents a major issue in the Pacific.

Like the Suez and the Panama canals, the Malacca Strait is one of the world's primary strategic choke-points.

The Russian deal with Indonesia descended on the APEC summit table like a slammed fist.
It reminds us that the Asia-Pacific is a region seething with rivalries. Thrusting great powers are competing for influence. Dozens of conflicting territorial claims remain unresolved. A competition for resources is accelerating. An arms race is afoot. Worse, a nuclear arms race is under way in the region. And the Asia-Pacific, unlike Europe, has no mechanism for dealing with these tensions.

While Europe has developed a system for sharing sovereignty and avoiding armed conflict, the basic impulse of the Asia-Pacific states is unchanged from the slogan that summarized Japan's national aims in the Meiji era 150-odd years ago: "Rich country, strong army."

Suddenly, the "new security agenda" dominating APEC, while still important, looks decidedly thin. The old security agenda is stridently and aggressively alive.

China is a rising great power, with a booming economy and a vast thirst for resources. It has territorial disputes with Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand, among others, all with overlapping claims on the oil-rich seabed of the South China Sea.

These disputes are dormant but unresolved. The South China Sea was the scene of 13 resource-related military clashes in the 1990s, nine of which involved China.

Beijing has since adopted a more conciliatory posture, but in the meantime it is investing in a big defense build-up.

Maintain Control of Russia

To maintain the Putin legacy, he must control the continuation of his policy. Putin took the first steps on September 12, 2007 when he dismissed his entire cabinet. He nominated a relative unknown to the speaker of State Duma - Victor Zubkov, head of the country's money-laundering watchdog agency.

Since 2001, Victor Zubkov has been the head of Russia's Federal Financial Monitoring Service in 2001, a body dedicated to rooting out money-laundering operations. It was through this organization that Putin gained control of energy and natural resources of Russia.

As such, he has been one of Mr. Putin's key allies in the battle to control Russia's oligarchs, the powerful magnates who had made their fortunes during the market free-for-all which typified the era of Boris Yeltsin.

The two men first worked together in the city administration of the president's native city, St Petersburg, in the 1990s.

From 1991 to 1993, Mr. Zubkov was deputy chairman of St Petersburg's committee on external relations, while Mr. Putin was chairman.

David J. Jonsson is the author of Clash of Ideologies —The Making of the Christian and Islamic Worlds, Xulon Press 2005. His new book: Islamic Economics and the Final Jihad: The Muslim Brotherhood to the Leftist/Marxist - Islamist Alliance (Salem Communications (May 30, 2006). He received his undergraduate and graduate degrees in physics. He worked for major corporations in the United States and Japan and with multilateral agencies that brought him to more that fifteen countries with significant or majority populations who are Muslim. These exposures provided insight into the basic tenants of Islam as a political, economic and religious system. He became proficient in Islamic law (Shariah) through contract negotiation and personal encounter. David can be reached at: djonsson2000@yahoo.co.uk

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Thursday, August 09, 2007

Role of Sovereign Wealth Funds Controlled by the Authoritarian Great Powers - David Jonsson

by David J. Jonsson

Liberal democracy, led by the United States may have emerged triumphant from the struggles of the 20th century. But the rise of the non-democratic powers of Russia, China and the Islamist states utilizing the combined power of control of energy resources and the growth of Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF) leaves the liberal democracy’s ultimate victory and future dominance in doubt. Overseas investments by Sovereign Wealth Funds have always had the potential to cause alarm in the destination countries. Because they are driven by governments of the totalitarian and Authoritarian Great Powers, they compel countries to take immediate attention

How powerful Sovereign Wealth Funds decide to invest their vast armory of cash will play a pivotal role in reshaping financial markets in the next decade. These funds are going to have the ability to buy any global company, to create panic in markets if they move too precipitously, even to dwarf the political clout of international financial institutions. They can no longer be ignored.

The Sovereign Wealth Funds are potentially a powerful tool of asymmetric warfare like none we have witnessed before.

The Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance is using its propaganda machine to convince us that Investment funds run by authoritarian governments sound scary. They are not. So trumpets The Economist print edition of July 26, 2007.

GO FOR a walk in Chelsea, an expensive bit of London, and you may stroll by the Coldstream Guards' barracks, now the property of the government of Qatar; a branch of the venerable Barclays bank, soon to be part-owned by the People's Republic of China; and then buy a picnic at Sainsbury's, Britain's oldest supermarket, which the Anglophile Qataris are trying to buy too. What goes for Chelsea may soon be true for neighbourhoods in open economies all over the world: governments are on a shopping spree. (see Governments go shopping)

In considering the role of Sovereign Wealth Funds it is imperative to consider the difference between state vs. private ownership. However, in some cases the difference is blurred because in some cases the state influence, political motives and ideology override the fund ownership as in the case of funds from Islamist countries.

In much of Europe and emerging markets, it took decades for many economies to be free from the controls of state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Are we now seeing the return of state ownership in the infrastructures and large industries, not by the local governments, but by foreign states?

In any case, there should be more discussions and studies on whether SWFs are really returning our Western economies to the former days of state-owned enterprises, but to an even worse case that of foreign state owned entities.

Beware, Wakeup, a foreign state entity – be it either from an Authoritarian Islamist state or Russia or China – they may be the new owner of your newspaper, radio station, electric utility, and even your most sensitive supplier of war material. The rapid growth of Sovereign Wealth Funds poses risks beyond that of national security. There are worries over competence within some funds; concerns that their scale and ability to affect asset prices could lead to market volatility; and suspicion that they could help countries preserve a favorable currency regime. If decisions are swayed by political considerations, they could also undermine market discipline that matches rewards to sound corporate governance. The ownership may also have a devastating impact on employment practices and human rights. Big and powerful they are coming to company near you or one you work for.

The Tempting Foreign Investment

In the short term, seeking foreign investment was all too tempting. The savings of Asian and oil-exporting countries have helped fuel the current boom. Their purchases of western government bonds have funded the external deficits created by profligate consumers and lowered real interest rates, boosting asset prices. Countries such as the UK and US haven’t worried about running huge trade deficits, funded in the main by the willingness of countries producing oil and other resources to run big surpluses. We didn’t mind when they recycled those dollars and pounds by putting cash on deposit in our banks, or buying bonds issued by our governments. We should have and we need to change our ways.

But the long-term consequences of the bargain are now clearer. Non-US official entities now hold 30 per cent of all Treasuries and they are, quite rationally, keen to diversify. Sovereign reserves stand at $5,500bn - or 29 per cent of US market capitalization. Governments are moving from lending to the west to owning chunks of it.

The Challenge

The challenge is here to stay. Asian and oil exporting countries cannot be expected to buy Treasuries forever. And many western economies rely on capital inflows. Protectionism is not the solution but neither is widespread direct control of companies by governments, with the resulting potential for capital misallocation and inefficiency. By working to insert market imperatives between governments and their investments, these two outcomes can be avoided.

With oil prices spiking in recent years, the petrostates' windfall is staggering. This sort of wealth should be a godsend for impoverished, post-Soviet countries. However, such positive impact is by no means certain in unaccountable governing systems where a small group of elites tend to control a large part of the resources. Other than Norway, which enjoyed the advantage of having accountable institutions in place when it came into its energy wealth, the track record of countries rich in energy resources is quite poor.

With so much money flowing into these countries the stakes are raised for powerful elites who dominate these systems and control these formidable resources. To protect their lucrative positions they seek to limit scrutiny of their activities by silencing the press, political opposition, civil society and other independent institutions.

The Growth of SWFs has been Accompanied by Restrictions on the Free Press

Russia has seen the most precipitous press freedom decline in recent years. Today, all of the major national television channels (Channel One, RTR, and NTV), from which most Russians get their news and information, have come under state control and are effectively censored. Control of national television news broadcasting is, however, only one piece of a broad and comprehensive campaign to bring independent media under the sway of the authorities. The energy industry has had a significant hand in the pacification of independent news media. Gazprom-Media, an arm of the state-controlled gas behemoth, has acquired control of a number of previously independent news outlets and either closed their doors or drained them of independent reporting. In July 2006, President Putin signed a law that expanded the definition of extremist activity to include public slander of a government official related to his or her duties, using or threatening violence against a government official or his family, and publicly justifying or excusing terrorism. The definition of extremism in this new law is so broad that it allows the authorities to use unchecked power against their critics, including in the media.

The Kremlin, meanwhile, having already effectively constrained independent organizations and voices at home is now pursuing an international dimension to its anti­democratic campaign. Russia's leadership has apparently set its sights on limiting the ability of important international organizations to scrutinize its conduct.

The Impact of SWFs will Play Out Over Time

“The full impact on financial markets will manifest itself over multiple years,” says Ramin Toloui, emerging markets portfolio manager at Pimco, one of the world’s largest fixed-income managers.

But the current wave, driven by an oil boom that has seen oil prices peak at $78, has been on a different scale. While some petrodollars have been invested at home, the Gulf cannot absorb most of them. So, after an initial hesitation following the 9/11 attacks, Arab investors are eyeing foreign assets, especially in the UK and, increasingly, in Asia.

Before this petrodollar boom, only one Arab billionaire investor's name sprung easily to mind in the west: that of Prince Alwaleed bin Talal of Saudi Arabia, who invested in Citigroup, News Corp, AOL-Time Warner and Euro Disney.

Governments are Different the Private Investors

Governments are very different from other economic actors. Their investments should be governed by rules designed with that reality very clearly in mind.

Radical Islam finds liberal democracy repugnant, and the movement is often described as the new fascist threat; however Radical Islam, in many cases utilizing some democratic principles has made progress in establishing Islamist – Political Islam in a number of previously secular nations. In some cases, the Islamist parties have utilized the promotion of capitalism, as in the case of Turkey and other Middle Eastern countries to gain credibility. It is the potential use of weapons of mass destruction – by state and transnational actors, such as Hezbollah, Hamas, al-Qaeda etc. that makes militant Islam a menace. However, potentially even more threatening to the West is growth of Sovereign Wealth Funds within Islamist countries resulting from oil revenues which pose the threat.

In previous articles and my book Islamic Economics and the Final Jihad: The Muslim Brotherhood to the Leftist/Marxist - Islamist Alliance I develop the role of Islamic Economics as a tool for world domination.

The second, and equally significant, challenge emanates from the rise of non-democratic great powers: the West's old Cold War rivals China and Russia, now operating under authoritarian capitalist, rather than communist, regimes. Authoritarian capitalist great powers played a leading role in the international system up until 1945. They have been absent since then. But today, they seem poised for a comeback. Reference: The Return of Authoritarian Great Powers by Azar Gat from Foreign Affairs, July/August 2007.

“While the Iraq crisis continues, the strategy of the Grand Chess Masters”: “Russia the bear and China the dragon along with their pawns the Leftists, Marxists and Islamists continue to develop and put in place their strategy for the ultimate goal of world domination.”
In prior articles we discussed the fact that in reality there has been arisen a cabal of which brings together the authoritarian powers of the Islamist States with China and Russia. As I discussed in the article, The Global Strategy of the Russian-Iran Cabal the tough questions that must be answered if the allies joined for freedom and liberty will support a battle against the forces of evil. These are:
Who is the enemy?
What are their goals?
What is the definition of success, and finally
What will the world be like if we lose?
Decades from now, historians will discover that the United States, the West and the international community were being targeted by global ideological movements which emerged in the 1920s, survived World War II and the Cold War, and carefully choose this timing for its onslaught against liberal democracy.

The utilization of Sovereign Wealth Funds for control is common to the Islamist countries and the West's old Cold War rivals China and Russia, now operating under authoritarian capitalist, rather than communist, regimes. See my Op-Ed: Nationalization – A Plan for World Domination.
Strategic Implications of Sovereign Wealth Funds

Attempts by foreign interests to buy large companies at the forefront of a nation's commercial life often arouse strong protectionist feelings. When the buyer is an overseas government, the resistance may be stronger - especially if the target has strategic significance.

So it is no surprise that the arrival in the US and Europe of state-backed foreign investors with enormous amounts to spend on corporate acquisitions has caused a frisson among politicians and business interests. Countries such as China and Russia, with fast-growing foreign exchange reserves, are following the lead of those where savings stem from extracting oil and other commodities in creating Sovereign Wealth Funds to invest in advanced economies.

As a result of a shifting pattern of demand away from relatively safe assets such as bonds, Morgan Stanley estimates that bond yields will gradually rise by 30-40 basis points during the next 10 years. The equity risk premium – the excess return over the risk-free rate that compensates investors for taking on the higher risk of equities – could fall by 80-110 basis points.

Nicholas Brooks, senior economist at Henderson Global Investors, says of China’s plans to create a State Investment Corporation that, if a primary goal of its asset allocators is to reduce the share of US Treasury bond holdings, yields on those should rise. If the SIC were to invest along the lines of Singapore’s GIC (assuming bond allocation is 25 per cent and 60 per cent of this is in US bonds) and reserves rose at the same pace as in 2006, net new annual buying of government debt would drop from $89bn to about $56bn, he says.

In the absence of any big change in US government net debt issuance, this would imply around a half-point increase in the yields on US 10-year Treasury bonds. But Mr. Brooks adds: “It is not in China’s economic, financial or political interests to roil US debt markets or antagonize its smaller neighbors by creating undue upward pressure on their exchange rates and equity markets . . . [so] asset allocation changes will be gradual and timed to minimize their impact on markets.”

In addition to China’s State Investment Corporation; Beijing raised the limits for overseas investment by Chinese insurance companies, potentially making up to $50bn (£24bn) available. Chinese insurers have a combined Rmb2,500bn (£161bn) in assets and the total is growing at 25 to 30 per cent a year.

The loosening of China's capital controls forms a route for Chinese money to enter global markets, as the country moves from being a huge net importer of capital to a net exporter.
Chinese commercial banks, fund managers and securities companies are already allowed to invest in global bonds and equities. They are expected to invest at least $50bn in international capital markets during the next two years, JPMorgan estimates.

Jing Ulrich, chairman of Chinese equities at JPMorgan, calculates that by 2020 capital outflows from China may top $1,500bn at current growth rates in savings, provided that the country's capital account is fully open by then.

In my Op-Ed of April 3, 2006 Structural Changes – Destruction Of The U.S. Dollar from the Global Politician I commented:

“No longer satisfied with the income from lending their cash to the US and other governments by buying bonds, these funds want to acquire assets that offer better returns. Their actions are stirring up concerns in the countries they target and the feared motivations of some of the sovereign investors are prompting calls for measures to block foreign takeovers of strategic assets.”

“There is a distinct risk that foreign funds turning from creditors to owners will trigger reactions from the recipient countries that will undermine globalization,” says Stephen Jen, a currency analyst at Morgan Stanley.

The SWFs are notoriously difficult to keep track of since they are blended with the massive pool of private capital. SWFs in general, they ascertain, rank below even the most secretive hedge funds in terms of disclosure of fund performance, investment strategy or even basic philosophy.
Another reason why SWFs are so notoriously difficult to keep track of is because they often channel their investment through discreet secondary managers. This is done to avert nationalist backlashes when purchasing foreign companies seen locally as having strategic importance. There are serious doubts whether these funds are operating on a purely commercial basis or to fulfill broader goals of national governments.

Implications of Shariah-Compliant Sovereign Wealth Funds

Islamic Finance is core and kernel to the Islamic ‘Way of Life’. It is also central to the teaching s of the Muslim Brotherhood. It is fundamental to establishment of the ‘Islamic kingdom of God on Earth’.

Islamic country based SWFs will be operated on the basis of compliance with Shariah Law (Islamic Law) and will be “Shariah-Compliant.” Shariah governance requires the development of Islamic finance to be orderly and compliant with the Islamic Injunctions.

It is impossible to exaggerate the dangers inherent in Shariah-Compliant SWFs. On the face of it, we are dealing merely with "interest free" financial instruments. For the investment funds, there is a requirement that they have a Shariah Board which is involved with all aspects of a proposed transaction so that it would issue a formal fatwa endorsing it as fully Shariah compliant. The expansion of Shariah-Compliant SWFs will require ultimately the change of Securities Laws to consistent with Shariah law. Efforts are underway in the US and the UK to implement the changes.

Shariah compliance limits the type of companies and lending practices of the companies. Large Shariah compliant funds will have an affect on equities. This fact by their vary nature would indicate that the funds are operated to fulfill the broader goals of the national governments and incremental Islamization of the host countries. Islamic ownership may in the future further impose restrictions on activities of the companies not consistent with Islamic principles. Clearly, such boards are not only bound to raise the cost of the international finance (some members get as much as $500,000 for their participation) but also are open to obfuscation and corruption.

Even more importantly, such boards are sure to increase the power of the most orthodox Imams who alone have the standing to issue a fatwa accepted by all Muslims. Just consider the additional future vulnerability of countries which would find themselves in Islamist cross hairs in the manner Denmark has. There is little doubt that Imams sitting on Shariah boards would be pressured to withhold their approval of any instrument directly or indirectly connected with the "offending" country or institution. The term self-censorship is bound to acquire a new meaning.

While Western elites focus on the problems of immigration and assimilation, they ignore the threat Islamic banking is posing to the global economic system. Indeed, we are facing the emergence of a new financial Berlin wall or a Shariah-Compliant global financial system.

Government Reactions to Sovereign Wealth Funds

UK reaction to Qatar Investment Authority, which controls $40bn of funds, already owns 25 per cent of Sainsbury and has mooted a bid for the rest. J. Sainsbury, the supermarket chain that supplies groceries to Britain's middle classes.

There are signs of deepening concerns elsewhere in Europe, where politicians and business leaders are already more resistant than the British to foreign acquisitions. Angela Merkel, German chancellor, said this month that Berlin was considering legislation to make it harder for Sovereign Wealth Funds to take over German companies.

The European Commission has launched an inquiry into whether vast state-controlled investment funds from Russia, China and the Middle East threaten the continent's single market.

Even Charlie McCreevy, EU internal market commissioner, a leading champion of free markets, is concerned about sovereign funds.

His spokesman said they were “a new phenomenon” and the commissioner would “look at this very carefully in the autumn”. Officials had already started work on the issue.

“The internal market rules are based on rules of investment,” Mr. McCreevy's spokes-man said. “Things are different if people are paying above the market price and are trying to buy certain assets for different reasons, other than making a good return on their investment.”

Angela Merkel, German chancellor, and Nicolas Sarkozy, president of France, believe so-called sovereign funds sometimes buy European companies for political and other reasons.

Germany is attracted by the US approach of vetting potential acquisitions and blocking them in sensitive industries. However, an alternative approach was outlined last week by Peter Mandelson, European Union trade commissioner, who said a vetting process would deter legitimate investors. He suggested instead that the EU could allow governments to use “golden shares” to stop foreign state-controlled funds buying sensitive companies that the buying country protected domestically.

Brussels has opposed golden shares in the past and forced European governments to scrap them other than for sensitive industries such as defense. Mr. Mandelson said any system should be regulated at a pan-European level to avoid distorting the single market. “You cannot leave it simply in the hands of a member state that is pursuing its own national interests,” he said. “These shares must reflect the European interest, not the national one.” But by adding that it would be wrong to exclude Sovereign Wealth Funds altogether, he strengthened the impression among some observers that the real target for European concerns is Russia.

France and Germany, for example, seemed happy to allow Dubai's ruling family to buy its stake in EADS maker of Airbuses and Eurofighters this month. The fund will not be seeking board representation. Not that it would be able to get it. Appointing EADS directors is a privilege reserved for the members of the shareholder pact that controls 58 per cent of the shares. Rather, as with Dubai International Capital (DIC's) recent purchase of HSBC stock, the strategy is to take long-term stakes in the world's largest companies. The acquisition of shares of HSBC makes it “one of the leading shareholders” in HSBC, Europe's biggest bank. DIC is the private-equity arm of conglomerate Dubai Holding, founded by Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, who is prime minister and vice president of the United Arab Emirates and ruler of Dubai.

Political considerations cannot be ruled out though. The 5 per cent stake in EADS held by Russian bank VTB looks to be aimed partly at winning sub-assembly work for Russia. There are signs that Qatar and China may also seek a closer relationship too. For Dubai, the inside track on EADS-owned Airbus wouldn't hurt. Airbus is the main supplier of aircraft to the Emirates airline and Dubai is hoping to expand its position as a major aircraft maintenance hub.

Libyan Connection

On August 3, 2007 Gadaffi seals EU missiles deal, just as Nicolas Sarkozy, the French president, on Friday yielded to calls for an inquiry into France’s deepening ties with Libya, amid concerns over recent nuclear and weapons deals with Tripoli.

It came just hours after the announcement of a European anti-tank missile deal with Libya. This had prompted opposition demands for a probe into links with the government of Muammer Gadaffi, following unease about France’s role in persuading Tripoli to release six imprisoned Bulgarians last month.

On Friday, it was announced MBDA Missile Systems had finalized a contract to supply Tripoli with an unspecified number of Milan anti-tank missiles. MBDA is 37.5 per cent owned by EADS, the European aerospace and defense group, which is partly owned by the French state. BAE Systems, the British defense supplier, has another 37.5 per cent and Italy’s Finmeccanica owns the rest.

The missile deal, which still needs to be formally signed, was on Friday confirmed in a statement by EADS, which said the agreement had been under negotiation for more than 18 months.

EADS said it was in the course of finalizing a deal to sell Libya a consignment of Tetra radios, a secure communication system made solely by EADS.

It is important to review some recent events regarding Libyan leader Mu'ammar Qaddafi as discussed in my Op-Ed of April 21 in The New Media Journal, The Followers of Ismail

“In recent weeks we have seen resurgence in the followers of the Ismaili sect of Shia Islam. Libyan leader Mu'ammar Qaddafi called, in a speech in Niger to Tuareg tribal leaders, for the establishment of a second Shi'ite Fatimid state in North Africa, after the model of the 10th-13th century empire that ruled North Africa, Egypt, and parts of the Fertile Crescent.”

“On March 30, 2007, Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi said that it was a mistake to believe that Christianity was a universal faith alongside Islam according to the Reuters correspondent Salah Sarrar writing from AGADEZ, Niger. See: Gaddafi says only Islam a universal religion.”

Quoting Gaddafi:” There are serious mistakes -- among them the one saying that Jesus came as a messenger for other people other than the sons of Israel,” he told a mass prayer meeting in Niger.”

“Christianity is not a faith for people in Africa, Asia, Europe and the Americas. Other people who are not sons of Israel have nothing to do with that religion,” he said at the prayer meeting, held to mark the birth of the prophet Mohammed.

Gaddafi, who is seeking to expand his influence in Africa, said his arguments came from the Qur’an. He led similar prayers last year in Mali.

“On March 31, 2007, Libyan leader Mu'ammar Qaddafi called, in a speech in Niger to Tuareg tribal leaders, for the establishment of a second Shi'ite Fatimid state in North Africa, after the model of the 10th-13th century empire that ruled North Africa, Egypt, and parts of the Fertile Crescent. In his speech, Qaddafi denounced the division of Muslims into Sunni and Shi'ite as a colonialist plot, and rebuked the Arab League members for “hating Iran” according to the article In Overture to Iran, Qaddafi Declares North Africa Shi'ite and Calls for Establishment of New Fatimid State by MEMRI Special Dispatch Series – No 1535 of April 6, 2007.”

The Russian Connection

But with Russian companies such as Gazprom saying they are interested in acquiring energy assets in the EU, there are fears that strategic sectors could fall under Moscow's control - particularly in the eastern and central European countries that have just broken free from its grip. Gazprom, a Russian conglomerate in effect controlled by the Kremlin, has strategic interests in the energy sectors of a number of countries and even a stake in Airbus. The energy stakes are particularly high for Europe. EU imports of Russian energy are expected to grow from 50 percent to 70 percent over the next decade and a half.

The US Looks at the Impact of SWFs

In the US, a senior Treasury official has also warned that the growth in sovereign Wealth Funds could create new risks for the international financial system. Clay Lowery, acting under-secretary for international affairs, said little was known about their investment policies, which meant minor comments or rumors would tend to increase volatility in capital markets.

He warned that the funds were rarely subject to market disciplines, being controlled by public servants imperfectly accountable to the citizens for whom they were investing. There were also dangers for those who dealt with them if they assumed that the funds were underwritten by the state that owns them. “With so much money invested across a wider range of asset classes, Sovereign Wealth Funds will need to have strong fiduciary controls and good checks and balances to prevent corruption.”

The SEC looking at sovereign wealth funds. According to MarketWatch—the Chairman questions funds' motives during Senate hearing on July 31. SEC Chairman Christopher Cox told a Senate Banking Committee hearing that these funds, which are government investment vehicles funded by foreign-exchange assets, pose challenges to the U.S. regulatory system.

Sovereign Wealth Funds are “significantly less transparent” than hedge funds, Cox noted.
The SEC chief said the growing governmental and potentially political influence over capital market flows that the Sovereign Wealth Funds portend “presents challenges to a regulatory system premised on free markets, the free flow of information and investor incentives based on profit and loss.”

During a question-and-answer session with senators, Cox said motives for investment decisions may “go beyond profit and loss.”

The value of the funds could reach $12 trillion by 2015, up from $2.5 trillion now and dwarfing hedge funds' value. And by 2022, their assets will reach $27.2 trillion, according to recent estimates by Morgan Stanley.

Their size will then be twice the official central bank reserves and their share of worldwide financial assets will have grown from the current 2.5 per cent to nearly 10 per cent. It is likely that this shift in SWFs towards equities will lead to higher P/E ratios, lower bond prices and rising interest rates. If oil prices should fall, the share of Asian surpluses and SWF assets is expected to increase, while a rise in oil prices will lead to rising assets of the SWFs of oil exporters and would set off concomitant declines of the SWFs of Asian manufacturers.

The bottom line is that the importance of SWFs in world finance is about to rise significantly in any case. See: West’s growing fear of state funds by Dr Eckart Woertz. He is Program Manager, Economics, at the Gulf Research Centre in Dubai writing in The Peninsula.

The International Monetary Fund is working on the issues raised by the growth of Sovereign Wealth Funds, which will be on the agenda of the IMF's annual meeting in October. Simon Johnson, chief economist, expressed concern last month that financial flows were going increasingly through “black boxes” and could pose risks to global stability.

The Funds

A specter is haunting international financial markets – the specter of Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) buying up Western assets, putting them at the disposal of potentially “unfriendly” regimes and seriously pushing markets out of balance by changes in their asset allocation towards equities and other higher risk instruments. These developments will affect the foreign investment decisions of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) investors in a major way. The SWFs are not owned by private individuals and institutions, but by governments of countries that command substantial current account surpluses, i.e. industrializing countries in Asia and oil exporters. Hardly known only a few years ago, they now dwarf the glamorous world of hedge funds and other private institutional investors. Everybody knows George Soros or Warren Buffet, but when it comes to assets under management they are just poor cousins in comparison to the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA), Singapore’s Temasek or the official reserves of China and Russia, which are currently being moved away from conservative central bank management to the auspices of newly generated SWFs. (See: West’s growing fear of state funds)
As Lawrence Summers comments in the Financial Times article of July 30, Sovereign funds shake the logic of capitalism, “For some time now, the large flow of capital from the developing to the industrialized world has been the principal irony of the international financial system. In 2007 this flow will total well over half a trillion dollars, a figure that will be comfortably exceeded by the build-up in reserves and Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs) in developing countries.

As Summers comments, Apart from the question of what foreign stakes would mean for companies, there is the additional question of what they might mean for host governments. What about the day when a country joins some “coalition of the willing” and asks the US president to support a tax break for a company in which it has invested? Or when a decision has to be made about whether to bail out a company, much of whose debt is held by an ally's central bank?

The Norwegian Government Pension Fund

The Norwegian Government Pension Fund - which has invested much of the country's North Sea oil riches and is now worth more than $300bn - is widely acknowledged to offer a model of good governance and accountability.

The biggest equity owner in Europe, it lists all 3,500 investments on its website and is an activist investor, voting on all resolutions - against poison pill protection from takeovers and for pay linked to future performance. Its stakes are typically small in each company so, far from feeling threatened by its investments, companies often welcome it to their share registers.

The Gulf Cooperation Council

Collectively, the Gulf Co-operation Council countries, which include Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, control foreign assets worth $1.6 trillion, 225% of their gross domestic product, according to the Institute of International Finance. See: Tracking the assets that make the Gulf an economic powerhouse.

Sovereign Wealth Funds themselves have been around for decades. The Kuwait Investment Authority, created in 1960 to invest the emirate's oil revenues, has accumulated more than $100bn (£49bn, €73bn) of assets, including a recent 3.1 per cent stake in EADS, the aerospace group.

Kuwait acquired a stake of more than 20 per cent in BP in 1988, the British government forced it to reduce the holding to 9.9 per cent amid concerns over the influence of an oil producer on one of the world's largest oil companies.

The largest sovereign fund is thought to be the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority, which ING, the Dutch banking group, estimates has as much as $500bn under management.

In the US, Dubai Ports World, owned by the Gulf emirate, was forced to sell five port terminals it acquired when it bought P&O in 2006. Congressional opposition to allowing an Arab country to acquire the facilities led Dubai's ruler to decide on disposal to a US entity after the takeover. See also my Op-Ed: Dubai Ports – Strategic Implications.

Inchcape Shipping Services is the world’s leading marine services provider. Through their proprietary network of over 200 offices worldwide, we provide our customers with a truly world-class service - delivered locally and individually tailored to each customer’s needs. Their diverse customer base includes clients across the oil, cruise, navy and defense, offshore, container and bulk commodity sectors.

While the ports deal was being scrutinized in the press and in Congressional hearings, the ink was drying on another sale that, according to one insider, poses as great a risk to U.S. security.

In January 2006, Emirates-based Istithmar purchased U.K.-based Inchcape Shipping Services, or ISS, a company that specializes in “ship husbanding” in more than 200 ports worldwide. Ship husbanding includes providing supplies, crew transportation and some security to vessels making port calls. As a side note, on August 8, 2007 Jones Apparel Group and Istithmar have inked a new $942.3 million cash deal for the Dubai-based firm’s purchase of Barneys New York.

Al Qaeda operatives passed themselves off as boats crews assisting with ship husbanding (also known as “ship agents”) to pull off the 2000 bombing of the U.S. Navy destroyer Cole in the Yemeni port of Aden, killing 17 sailors. With this sale, the issue now is whether an Arab-run firm will continue with a British company's approach to security and manpower.

Qatar joins forces with Dubai to invest $1bn, two of the Gulf's most aggressive investors, have teamed up to create a new vehicle looking at international and regional investment opportunities. . It signals growing co-operation between the gas-rich emirate of Qatar and Dubai, the region's commercial hub. Both are ploughing billions of dollars into western companies, while also snapping up expensive London property.

However, reaction to a bid to take full control of a leading UK company could be tested by the proposed Qatari offer for J. Sainsbury, the supermarket chain that supplies groceries to Britain's middle classes. Delta Two, an arm of the Qatar Investment Authority, which controls $40bn of funds, already owns 25 per cent of Sainsbury and has mooted a bid for the rest.

The emergence of Gulf funds with significant stakes in HSBC and J Sainsbury this year has thrust the region's investors onto the British high street for the first time.

Now, Saudi Arabia's Maan al-Sanea owns 3.1 per cent of HSBC, the Dubai ruler's Dubai International Capital also owns a large stake in the bank.

Married into an established Saudi family, he has built up a diversified conglomerate to become one of Saudi's biggest “hammours”, the Gulf's popular fish that has given its name to the Saudi super-rich that dominate the stock market.

The Abu Dhabi Investment Authority has used the oil revenues of the past three decades to build up quietly a portfolio of international equities, debt and money markets that is said to reach $250bn-$500bn.

Another body, the Abu Dhabi Investment Council, is set to start up next month, to keep ADIA on its toes and focus on investing in the Middle East. Other leading investors from Saudi Arabia, such as the Olayan, Jufaili, and al-Jomaih families, are big predators in western markets but avoid the limelight. Down the road in Dubai, the hyper-development may have been fuelled by the region's petrodollars, but the government has profited heavily from land and property sales, tourism and commerce.

The city's investment houses, Istithmar and Dubai International Capital, have recycled much of these profits abroad as the city has emerged as the Gulf's business capital.

Like Dubai's loud marketing machine, these firms have taken on a more high-profile approach, bankers say.

Dubai International Capital, owned by Sheikh Mohammed, took advantage of HSBC's US subprime woes to buy a $1bn stake. DIC's other UK investments have included Tussauds Group, netting it £200m in two years, as well the purchase of the Doncasters engineering group and Travelodge.

DIC's HSBC stake was the first in its $10bn global equities fund, which the company has said will invest in 10-15 Fortune Global 500 groups.

DIC's domestic government-owned competitors, Istithmar and Dubai Group, have also looked at banking stakes, with Istithmar taking 2.7 per cent of Standard Chartered.

Dubai Group has taken stakes in Greece's Marfin Financial and Bank Islam Malaysia. Istithmar, which reports to a different wing of the Dubai government but is still owned by Sheikh Mohammed, is rapidly developing its real estate and leisure wing. The firm is understood to hold 15 per cent of its real estate assets in the UK, with about 50 per cent in the US.

Freedom of Press in Saudi Arabia

At present the Arab press is divided into a Saudi-owned press, a Saudi controlled press, a press controlled by the GCC and other countries friendly to Saudi Arabia who are loath to offend it and a small number of publications which oppose them and are fighting against huge odds. And the Saudis are still buying the loyalty of an increasing number of Western journalists.

Saudi Arabia has few safeguards to protect press freedom. Article 39 of the Basic Law exhorts the media to promote unity and bans material that “may compromise the security of the State and its public image.” While the 1982 Royal Decree for Printed Material and Publications upholds freedom of expression, it restricts press freedom by limiting the range of topics permitted to be covered. Criticism of the royal family and the religious authorities is forbidden. Violations are considered criminal offenses, punishable with imprisonment and/or fines.

Russian Stabilization Fund

More recently, Russia launched the Stabilization Fund, which has received every dollar of oil revenue above a certain price since 2004 and is now worth more than $100bn.

More recently, talk of a bid for Centrica, the UK utility, by Russia's Gazprom sparked widespread concerns last year in a country known for its openness to foreign bidders. The government was divided over the possibility that an arm of the Russian state could take effective control of the company that distributes gas to much of the British market.

Asian Funds

Singapore – Temasek Holdings

A second type of Sovereign Wealth Fund was created by Singapore to invest its foreign exchange reserves for higher returns than the government bonds that are usually held to fend off speculative attacks on currencies. Temasek Holdings, established in 1974, has an $85bn portfolio that includes stakes in Singapore Airlines, India's ICICI Bank, China Construction Bank and Standard Chartered, the UK emerging markets bank. The Government of Singapore Investment Corporation (GIC), created in 1981, owns overseas equities, bonds and property worth more than $200bn.

Entities controlled by the governments of China and Singapore are offering to take a substantial stake in Barclays, giving it more heft in its effort to pull off the world’s largest banking merger, with ABN Amro.

China Investment Corporation

China recently announced its intention to launch the China Investment Corporation with $200bn to invest. But with many Asian countries accumulating foreign exchange reserves far in excess of what is needed to protect their exchange rates, the amount of money diverted into Sovereign Wealth Funds is forecast to rise sharply.

In 2005, CNOOC, the Chinese state-controlled oil company, was forced by Congressional opposition to drop its $18.5bn bid for Unocal, the US energy group. Supporters of Chevron, the domestic rival bidder that won Unocal instead, had portrayed CNOOC as a front for Beijing's strategic energy interests.

China's $3bn investment last month invested in the initial public offering of Blackstone, the US private equity group. Perhaps chastened by previous experiences, the Chinese won an informal nod from the Treasury in advance of taking a 9.9 per cent non-voting stake.

Strategic Technology and Media Control
Nuclear Technology – Kazakhstan

Kazatomprom, Kazakhstan's state atomic energy agency, one of the world's leading uranium producers, is negotiating to acquire 10% of the Westinghouse Electric stake for about 486.3 million dollars as part of its strategy to transform itself into a global company involved in all aspects of the nuclear power generation cycle. Westinghouse Electric, the US nuclear systems company is owned by Toshiba. Toshiba, which took control of Westinghouse last year, hopes to use the share sale to Kazatomprom to improve its access to uranium supplies, an increasingly important factor in Westinghouse's ability to win contracts to build nuclear power stations. All real power in Kazakhstan is concentrated in the hands of Nursultan Nazarbayev, the authoritarian president, prompting concern about the long-term stability of the regime.

According to AFP Kazakhstan to buy Westinghouse stake from Toshiba Japan and Kazakhstan have agreed to cooperate in uranium-processing technology and trade.

US government approval is required for transactions in which a foreign entity takes a stake in an American business possessing nuclear technology, the Nikkei said.

US officials have indicated that the deal poses no problems, the newspaper added.

Analysts maintain that Kazakhstan's nuclear cooperation with the United States will allow Astana already in 2014 to replace its uranium exports (including those to Russia) with finished products with a high added value. Now that Astana has bought shares in America's Westinghouse company, Russia may lose lucrative contracts for the construction of power plants in the CIS. “If Westinghouse combines its commercial activities with political support from the White House, Astana's multi-directional policy in the nuclear field will become one more test for the relations between the Russian and Kazakh leaders. Moreover, Russia's irritation with the American direction of Kazakh energy cooperation may be just as great as its disappointment with Kazakhstan's participation in oil and gas projects bypassing Russian territory.” (Delovaya nedelya, July 27).

Kingdom Holding Company – Media and Finance

“In an article—Arab Boycott Campaign Worries US Business, appearing on the Palestine Solidarity Campaign website there are quotations of particular interest given below. The quotations are from billionaire Saudi businessman HRH Prince Alwaleed bin Talal. Prince Alwaleed is a major investor in Citigroup, TimeWarner, News Corp. etc. Prince Alwaleed is the Chairman of the Kingdom Holding Company headquartered in Saudi Arabia. At the inauguration of his new Four Seasons hotel in Damascus on March 24, 2006 he is seen on the right side of the Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. According to Bryan Whitman a senior Defense Department spokesman, “there's no doubt” that Iraq has experienced problems along its western border with Syria, where terrorist crossings into Iraq have been alleged to occur.”

Although Kingdom Holding Company is not a Sovereign Wealth Fund, it does illustrate the influence of the wealth transfer.

Come August 2007, the Wall Street Journal chief executive is Murdoch’s “dance partner.” We have seen the degree of concern over News Corp's acquisition of The Wall Street Journal, most not understanding the close relationship of Kingdom holding Company and News Corp. How differently should one feel about a direct investment stake of a foreign government in a media or publishing company?

According to an associated Press article on August 4, China Curbs Foreign Satellite TV: “China is cracking down on cable television operators who offer unauthorized foreign satellite broadcasts — the communist government's latest bid to maintain its monopoly on information, a newspaper reported Saturday.” The highest profile victim of the crackdown could be Hong Kong's Phoenix satellite news channel, hugely popular among China's urban middle class and received in millions of homes across the country despite the restrictions. Murdoch's News Corp. also owns an 18% stake in Phoenix TV, a joint venture based in Hong Kong that was supposed to be News Corp.'s entrée to the Chinese TV market.

According to an article by Erik Sass in the Media Daily News: WSJ Says China Coverage Won't Change:

“Although Murdoch is reportedly frustrated by Chinese media controls and protectionist policies, his continuing business interests in China have fueled suspicion that he would adulterate content at his media companies to placate the Chinese government. In fact, StarTV has already bowed to political pressure on more than one occasion.”

“In 1994, for example, it yanked BBC World Service from its lineup after its coverage of the Chinese government grew too critical. And in 1998, HarperCollins, also owned by News Corp., canceled a book by the former governor of Hong Kong that was critical of the Chinese government.”

“This track record prompted The Wall Street Journal's Beijing bureau to write an open letter in May urging the Dow Jones board not to sell the company to Murdoch. It feared that would mean an end to investigative reporting in China, which has won two Pulitzer Prizes in recent years. The highly critical letter noted Murdoch's “well-documented history of making editorial decisions in order to advance his business interests in China and, indeed, of sacrificing journalistic integrity to satisfy personal or political aims.””

It is worth reviewing an interview with Prince Alwaleed bin Talal that appeared in the Financial Times by Simon Kuper on December 2, 2005, Lunch with the FT: Royal subjects. The lunch took place at his hotel the George V in Paris. He is the world’s fifth richest man, worth an estimated $21.5bn., he tends to own things. There are his chunks of Citigroup and News Corp, not to mention EuroDisney, Canary Wharf, Hewlett-Packard, Time Warner and so on. One of his grandfathers founded Saudi Arabia and the other was independent Lebanon’s first prime minister. Not content with being rich, the prince also believes he has a divinely ordained role to bring together “east and west”.

As Simon Kuper waited for the prince in the George V’s lobby the prince hangs with his buddies, Richard Parsons, chairman and chief executive of Time Warner, and Sandy Weill, then chairman of Citigroup. Then he goes to pray.

The next day he will be signing deals with Harvard and Georgetown universities to finance some of their Islamic studies. It’s all part of bridging the gap. “That’s why we focus on the east coast of America. Because that’s where the decision-making process is, with all respect to west coast, north coast, or south coast.”

The prince’s most famous attempt at bridging failed. He donated $10m to New York City after the September 11 attacks. But he also called on the US government to “adopt a more balanced stance towards the Palestinian cause”. Rudolph Giuliani, New York’s then mayor, returned the check, and accused him of trying to justify the attacks. A Saudi newspaper later quoted the prince blaming “Jewish pressures” for Giuliani’s rejection.

Yet as the prince knows, not everyone has a gleaming image of Saudi Arabia. Americans got particularly angry when 15 of the 19 hijackers on September 11 turned out to be Saudis. Did the prince take stakes in western media companies partly so that he could help clear up east-west misunderstandings?

He begins with the standard denial: “My investment in the United States is not really to influence public policy.” But then he adds: “When I meet Mr. Murdoch of News Corp, that owns Fox News, and BSkyB, or when I meet Mr. Parsons, who controls CNN, Fortune magazine, People, Time, America Online, I don’t intrude into the management of these companies. However, I do convey to them the message about where I believe they went wrong. It’s their discretion to decide what to do. My job is to open their eyes to things they may not have seen.”

Could His Highness give an example? “One time CNN, they brought the Palestinians’ so-called terrorist act against Israelis. I communicated to them, ‘Look, you have to give the other side of the equation. Look what the Israelis are doing to the Palestinians.’ And they did that. And they were censured and reprimanded by the Israelis. I do not claim it’s my right to intrude. But I have to do my best to try to influence events.”

At News Corp, the prince is currently helping Murdoch rebuff an attack from the investor John Malone. No doubt it is for literary reasons alone that Murdoch’s HarperCollins has just published the hagiography Alwaleed: Businessman, Billionaire, Prince by the former CNN anchor Riz Khan. The prince has a copy by his side. “Forwarded by President Carter,” he remarks. Then he says: “Yeah, it’s being forwarded by President Carter. President Carter. By President Carter.”

“Wow,” I finally reply.

“President Carter,” he says.

Conclusion

Because they are driven by governments of the totalitarian and Authoritarian Great Powers, they compel countries to take immediate attention. In order to address the threats to the US and European Union, the policies of the countries should be harmonized and individual countries should not go-it-alone in response to such an important global issue.

The key elements that need to be addressed are:

  • Transparency of the funds ownership, management and investment philosophy.
  • Reciprocity – the country must be as open to investment as the host country in which the SWF wishes to invest.
  • Common ownership rules among the countries. There must be limitations in investment beyond a certain limit above which the SWF cannot go without host government approval. Care must be taken especially with investments in sensitive areas as security, defense, banking and media.
  • The US and the EU must address the energy independence and continuing investment in terrorist states.
  • The US must address its balance of payments and foreign trade deficit.

Although many will regard these proposals as protectionist and restrictions of foreign trade, it will be equally dangerous to allow the growth of the SWFs to become entrenched as a feature of the world economy and a tool of asymmetric warfare to implement the Final Jihad of the Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance.


David J. Jonsson is the author of Clash of Ideologies —The Making of the Christian and Islamic Worlds, Xulon Press 2005. His new book: Islamic Economics and the Final Jihad: The Muslim Brotherhood to the Leftist/Marxist - Islamist Alliance (Salem Communications (May 30, 2006). He received his undergraduate and graduate degrees in physics. He worked for major corporations in the United States and Japan and with multilateral agencies that brought him to more that fifteen countries with significant or majority populations who are Muslim. These exposures provided insight into the basic tenants of Islam as a political, economic and religious system. He became proficient in Islamic law (Shariah) through contract negotiation and personal encounter. David can be reached at: djonsson2000@yahoo.co.uk

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Saturday, June 30, 2007

The Global Strategy of the Russian-Iran Cabal - David Jonsson

David J. Jonsson
June 29, 2007

If you believe: “Your Life Can Be Wonderful if we get out of Iraq now!” the events going on around the world become a haze as you watch the latest golf scores or read the propaganda for the latest appeasement journal or cable news cast.

All you hear are the speeches of the latest ‘Tokyo Rose” complaining about the U.S. and its war mongering, blood for oil or unfair treatment of terrorists.

There is a group that wants to destroy our way of life in our life time.

The Tough Questions that Must be Answered

The question remains as to if the allies joined for freedom and liberty will support a battle against the forces of evil.

In a time of war, the critical elements for success are to know:

Who is the enemy?

What are their goals?

What is the definition of success, and finally

What will the world be like if we lose?

Up to the time of the Munich Agreement in 1938, these questions were not answered. The West faces the same situation following the cease-fire in Lebanon in 2006. The West must decide on the answers to the questions or be prepared to live under Shariah Law in a totalitarian Islamic state. The question that has to be answered is: Would you choose appeasement and wind up as a lampshade in a palace or fight for Western democracy, freedom and liberty?

On our comprehensively terrorised globe, almost everybody, from covert, stateless bands of Jihadists—Hezbollah, Hamas and al-Qaeda to name a few to accredited members of the United Nations, believes himself in need of either ready-made atomic bombs or the technology and expertise with which to manufacture them. And nuclear weapons have become the weapons of the poor. Terrorism as a means of warfare is not confined to so-called non-state actors like Mohamed Atta and his colleagues, but is habitually employed by nation states.

International Affairs Is A Zero Sum Game.

When power is withdrawn by one state, another state or group will fill that power vacuum. History has proven this in the past. When British hegemony declined, American power filled that gap in the western world. Communism similarly filled power vacuums left after America’s withdrawal from Vietnam. President Jimmy Carter’s defense spending cuts diminished American influence in Africa, South America, and Asia. I might add Carter continues to support anti-Semitic rhetoric, Iran and Hamas.

The same rules of international affairs hold true today. Should America withdraw from Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere, that power vacuum will be filled by some state or group.

In the Middle East, it is clear that Iran is filling power vacuums that the Iraqi government has not filled when authority was handed to it by the US military, and similarly in Lebanon, Gaza, and Afghanistan where there is weak political leadership.

Iran has further expanded its power through its allies and affiliated organizations in Syria, Lebanon, Gaza, and Afghanistan. Iran along with its allies and sponsors will continue to do so until they are countered with force or by a competing political influence.

The Appeasement of the West

Decades from now, historians will discover that the United States, the West and the international community were being targeted by global ideologi­cal movements which emerged in the 1920s, survived World War II and the Cold War, and carefully chose this timing for its onslaught against democracy.

Whether it realizes this or not, America is facing a kind of liberal-Islamic alliance: a sympathetic relationship that leading leftists in America have with Islamic radicals around the world. I’m not suggesting the two groups actually like each other. Actually, they despise each other. Leftists like Pelosi, Barney Frank and Michael Moore despise bin Laden and his fellow radicals because they are religious fundamentalists who want to impose Islamic [Shariah] holy law. That means goodbye to freedom of religion, women’s rights and gay rights and, in all candor, goodbye to people like Pelosi, Frank and Moore. By the same token, Islamic radicals like bin Laden detest the American left because, as they see it, the left is the party of atheism, family breakdown and cultural depravity. The left is in the vanguard of imposing secularism and libertine social values in America and the EU.

The West’s Fatal bugs in the Software

If one looks at the military strength of the West compared to Iran, victory would seem to be inevitable, even if Iran acquires nuclear weapons. Iran does not have the military machine that the Axis powers had in World War II, nor the Soviet Union during the cold war. The Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance may be more effective than the earlier totalitarian movements operating individually. They could even win. That’s because, however strong the Western hardware, its software contains some potentially fatal bugs. Three of them – pacifism, self-hatred, and complacency combined with the Oil Weapon could provide the needed weapons to succeed.

Many on the American Left loathe America—while they love the Constitution and their vision of what America could be but they have contempt for the average American. That is why most of the Left speaks of America as bringing immeasurable misery and sadness to the world and as essentially deserving attacks on it.

Ditching the “War on Terror”

Politicians in the US and Europe are ditching the “War on Terror”, however this is probably not the big news. The “War on Terror” will probably not survive the next Republican Administration, let alone the next Democratic one.

The real news is that little or no attention is paid to the Russia, China and India. While attention is directed to the Middle East, there is little attention to the rising great powers.

Among the Democrats, their foreign policy proposes that the major rising powers are no threat at all. It's no surprise that Edwards and Obama want to boost foreign aid. They believe the poor world threatens the U.S. more than the rich. Mitt Romney and John Edwards have proposed a new type Marshall Plan. The real danger, they argue, is from states that are too dysfunctional to educate their people, provide public health or control their territory—thus export a swarm of pathologies, from jihadist terrorism to lose nukes to even bird flu. Their answer is a foreign policy hence directed to social programs, and even a new “Marshall Plan” and flinch at the hard nosed calculations of survival of the West.

Social programs in dysfunctional states will not remove the threats to our democracy, liberty and freedom, How the US handles the treats from these totalitarian major powers and the their surrogate pawns of Iran, Syria, Venezuela, etc. will determine how dangerous the world becomes in the coming years and whether the US remains its lone superpower.

The Gulf states have passed China!” “Six Persian Gulf States now have almost $1.6 trillion in foreign assets, dwarfing even China’s mammoth $1.1 trillion of foreign reserves, according to a new report from the Institute of International Finance” according to the Financial Times.

These Gulf States are all members of the so-called Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). They are Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.

There are massive piles of wealth growing in the GCC.” “Along with China and other countries, the GCC is increasingly setting aside more and more of these funds to invest abroad -- in stocks, real estate and private businesses. What they buy could have a huge impact on market prices -- and your investments.” See also my article: Nationalization: A Plan for World Domination?

It appears strange that politicians would suggest that the US fund a Marshall Plan to support the Islamic countries when the Islamic Countries of the Gulf are accumulating hordes of US dollars. It is in the Islamic countries that we are seeing the growth of terrorism.

We will discuss how these elements are directly interrelated and suggest potential solutions for consideration.

The Apocalyptic Teaching of Islam

Islam has many apocalyptic prophecies; this aspect of Islam contributes to the driving force and power of Islam. See also my article: Iraq, Iran, Global Warming and The Apocalypse.

Iran joined by Syria wants to end the democratic experiment in Iraq. Iranian money, weapons and expertise are used by terrorists to kill Americans in Iraq. Iran’s support of Hamas disrupts Palestinian peace efforts. Hezbollah, a group also backed by Iran and Syria, seeks to destabilize Lebanese democracy and restart a border war with Israel. Iran which denies that a European Holocaust ever took place is now planning to create a second Holocaust in Europe and in the U.S. with the development of nuclear weapons and the missiles to deliver the weapons.

Only the sustained American policy of ostracizing Iran and Syria and their alliance partners and sponsors, galvanizing the international community to enforce financial and trading sanctions, supporting Iranian and Syrian reformers, and keeping all options for war on the table including a high-profile presence in the area offers any hope containing a potential holocaust.

Exclusively increasing military strength, diplomacy or withdrawing from Iraq will not defer or result in a lasting peace. Whatever way the Iran and Iraq crisis is resolved, it will lead to a major shift in the geopolitical landscape. The goal is to have a soft landing.

This will require sacrifice, compromise but not appeasement, and most importantly prioritizing the most important elements of our culture – faith, freedom, liberty, and democracy, as we know it in America.

Decision time is fast approaching. Unfortunately both Iran and the U.S. may be underestimating the power of the other side and overestimating their own. Iran thinks it has a lot of deterrents, in Iraq and elsewhere, and in the armed forces - and it sees the US bogged down in Iraq, Washington is divided and public opinion in the Western world—led by the propaganda of Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance is opposed to war.

Similarity to Events Preceding World War II

One cannot help but recognize the similarity between the events leading up to World War ll and the current events.



With every passing year following the events of 9/11 the rise of Leftist/Marxist-Islamist Alliance has increased global instability. By the beginning of 2006, nearly all the combustible ingredients–far bigger in scale than those leading to World Wars 1 and 11 and the Gulf Wars of 1991 or 2003–were in place.”

Remember Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has a plan just like the Nazi’s “Four Year Plan“, he is a scholar of history, and he also is a follower of the Qur’an.

“Iran is no different than Nazi Germany”, the Israeli Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) source said. “They too built up an army, resources and created the V-2.” The V-2 was the first man-made object launched into space, during test flights that reached an altitude of 189 km (117 miles) in 1944. “While Germany was putting the finishing touches to the V-2 which was eventually used against Britain, the world stood by wanting to talk. Now we have Iran repeating history, declaring to “wipe Israel off the map” while planting bombs in Iraq and Afghanistan”

“Iran which denies that a European Holocaust ever took place, is now planning to create a second Holocaust in Europe and in the US,” said the Israel MFA source. “Europe will be first to feel this nuclear suicide bomb, as London, Moscow, Madrid, Rome and Paris are now in range of Iranian missiles. We no longer have the luxury of time to implement sanctions. This is not a movie. This is not the “24” TV series about nuclear terrorism. This is real. Sanctions worked against North Korea, they can and will work against Iran.”

Likud leader Benjamin Netanyahu on November 13, 2006 drew a direct analogy between Iran and Nazi Germany.


It’s 1938 and Iran is Germany. And Iran is racing to arm itself with atomic bombs,” Netanyahu told delegates to the annual United Jewish Communities General Assembly, repeating the line several times, like a chorus, during his address. “Believe him and stop him,” the opposition leader said of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. “This is what we must do. Everything else pales before this.”

While Iran is developing WMD and forming alliances throughout the world including Cuba just 90 miles off the coast of America, Russia and China are providing arms for the alliance and equally important Russia is finalizing the energy noose around Europe. The Islamists along with their Leftist/Marxist alliance partners meanwhile are quietly assuming key positions in the governments, the media and even financial institutions.

Failure to Understand Muslim Culture

There is a failure to understand the Muslim Culture. After September 11, Bush explained that the attacks showed that the friend of your enemy is also your enemy. As he put it last September, “America makes no distinction between those who commit acts of terror, and those that harbor and support them, because they’re equally guilty of murder.”

Bush failed to note the converse of that reality: the enemy of your enemy is not necessarily your friend and allay. Here the distinction generally relates to Sunnis and Shiites. We fail to grasp that just because Shiites and Sunnis are rivals don’t mean that they will join forces with the U.S. to fight one another, or won’t join forces with one another to fight the U.S. to accomplish their goal of establishing the Islamic kingdom of God and the return of the caliphate. This and the failure to recognize the goals of Russia and China have and will continue to cause the Americans no end of difficulty. We also fail to recognize that these forces have also joined with the Leftists abroad and with in us.

There is an Arab saying to the effect that “the enemy of my enemy is my friend.” While this may be the standard for many countries in the Middle East, it is not the standard by which a democratic nation like the United States can afford to operate.

Equally important is to recognize that Russia and China are also linked with mutual interests – world domination and that Russia is neither the friend of the EU or the U.S.

Unfortunately, these forces have combined into the alliance of the Leftist/Marxist and Islamists – with the common goal of world domination.

Why do Islamists Hate America? That is Wrong Question

Many propagandists of the Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance are using all efforts to attempt to question why the Islamist hates America. While it is true that the hedonistic life style of the Leftists runs counter to the Shariah law, many Leftists are drawn into the support of the Islamist movement. It should also be noted that Bible believing Christians and Jews do not support the hedonistic life style of the Leftists.

Counter to the question of “Why do they hate us?” one has to ask the question:

What is the goal of Islam?”

Islam, from its very beginning, and the teaching of Muhammad was and is to create the Islamic kingdom of God on Earth. Their desire for this kingdom is to be a kingdom ruled by a caliph under Shariah law where all non-believers—infidels—are subservient to Muslims. It has been said by many apologists for Islam, that Christians and Jews lived together peacefully under Islamic rule for 500 years. This was true, but only as dhimmis living in servitude to Islamic rule. The Islamists and their Leftist propagandists wish to have us believe this is the way to peace.

The Jihadists drive to instill Shariah Law—Islamic law into Muslim society, and ultimately recreate that society under their interpretation of the law, which often translates into an endorsement for violent jihad as practiced by bin Laden, and espoused by the Muslim Brotherhood and others.

Ideology is often overlooked and is considered separate from the strategic and operational aspects of Islamist militancy. The ideology of this movement is similar to, or even worse than, the Nazi ideology, and it should be dealt accordingly.

Therefore, I still believe that one of the primary missions of the international community today is to repeat its experience with Nazism and to deal with this dangerous barbarian culture exactly as it dealt with the Nazi culture. If this does not happen, the near future is liable to bring many events, the consequences of which will be far more severe for all of humanity than the consequences of World War II.

The Disturbing Recent Events

The Fall of the Gaza Strip - “Hamastan”and “Fatahland”

The Hamas victory in Gaza is a warning that the West is currently losing that war.

The real force behind the Gaza mayhem seems to be, a combined al Qaeda and Iran strategy, strange bedfellows perhaps, but for the time being, closely-linked partners in a common strategic goal to establish "Hamastan" as a forward base for Global terrorism. Al Qaeda's ultimate objective is to destabilize and destroy the moderate Arab nations, first in line post- Mubaraq's Egypt, then the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan and finally, the Sunni cradle of Saudi Arabia. A similar aim is Tehran's Shiite Crescent strategy - thus both partners are united, even if their spiritual heritance differs widely and even conflicts sharply, in their religious deism. See also my article: Caliphatism - Establishing the "Islamic Kingdom of God on Earth".

It should be noted that The Fatah-Hamas differences concern personnel, approaches, and tactics. They share allies and goals. Tehran arms both Hamas and Fatah.

The “moderate” terrorists of Fatah and the bad terrorists of Hamas equally indoctrinate children with a barbaric creed of “martyrdom.” Both agree on eliminating the Jewish state. Neither shows a map with Israel present, or even Tel Aviv.

The Gaza Strip is now firmly in the control of Hamas, a radical terrorist group funded by Iran and Syria. Some have called Gaza “Hamastan”, expecting that the area will become an Islamic quasi-state akin to Iran where Shariah law is strictly enforced. The fear is that Gaza will become a Lebanon-like Hamastan, a wasps’ nest that in the future will attract al-Qaeda men and extensions of Iran. All of these things are coming to life before our very eyes.

The Financial Times in the article of June 19: Missed opportunities, Gaza and the spread of jihadism—“Splinter groups linked to al-Qaeda are already emerging in Gaza. Some Israelis are fretting that they have a new Somalia or Afghanistan on their border.

Hamas in Gaza is also allied with the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt.” See also: Islamic Economics and the Final Jihad: The Muslim Brotherhood to the Leftist/Marxist - Islamist Alliance.

While on the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, Washington is putting on a brave face over the Palestinian rift, with talk among the diplomatic community of “silver linings” and “windows of opportunity”.

An international response to these woeful events is now coming into view. But the path signaled by the US and Europe looks dangerously close to an attempt to micromanage and to pick sides in an internal Palestinian dispute. More importantly the US and the EU fail to understand that the reality in the Arab world is: the enemy of your enemy is not necessarily your friend and allay.

Behind the new international consensus is the goal of making the West Bank an exemplar of the benefits of co-operating with the west and renouncing terrorism. There is also a desire to limit contacts with Gaza to providing humanitarian aid and ensuring that essential staff are not left destitute. The champions of this approach are the US and Israel, but, as the biggest donor to the Palestinians, the EU also matters.

Alarmingly, countries such as the UK and France now seem to be scaling back their earlier insistence that Mr. Abbas’s new government be as inclusive as possible. But reconciliation is crucial. The EU and the west must send the strongest possible message that Fatah should not take advantage of the new situation to settle old scores with Hamas on the West Bank.

US and Israeli Positions on Palestine Grounded in Fantasy

Both the US and Israel may have a strategic vision for the future of Abbas’s Palestine, but it is grounded in fantasy. US President George W. Bush and Prime Minister Ehud Olmert will gush about their support for Palestinian statehood. Bush and Olmert announced their full support for Fatah chief and Palestinian Authority chairman Mahmoud Abbas’s new government. Israel will give Fatah $700 million. The Europeans and the rest of the international community will give the “moderate, secular” terror group still more money and guns and love. The US will likely also demand that Olmert order the IDF to give Fatah terrorists free reign in Judea and Samaria. See: Yadlin Warns What Happened In Gaza Will Happen in Judea, Samaria.

They fail to realize that Israel now borders Iran in Lebanon and Gaza. And Fatah is also supported by Iran. This is truly a dangerous game played out in the name of appeasement.

The Muslim Brotherhood in America

It should be noted here that The Chicago Tribune, Sept. 19, 2004 in A rare look at secretive Brotherhood in America by Noreen S. Ahmed-Ullah, Sam Roe, and Laurie Cohen reported that “Brotherhood members helped form The Islamic Society of North America, the umbrella group for the Muslim Youth of North America and the Muslim Students Association, but that their overall influence has been limited.”

“The Groups that the Brotherhood helped form printed Islamic books, many of which were distributed at mosques and on college campuses. They included Sayyid Qutb's "In the Shade of the Koran" and "Milestones," which urges jihad, martyrdom and the creation of Islamic states. Scholars came to view his writings as manifestos for Islamic militants.”

“In recent years, the U.S. Brotherhood operated under the name Muslim American Society (MAS), according to documents and interviews. One of the nation's major Islamic groups, it was incorporated in Illinois in 1993 after a contentious debate among Brotherhood members.”

On August 12, 2006 protest marches were organized by the A.N.S.W.E.R. Coalition in numerous cities across America. The marches were announced at: August 12 National March to Stop the U.S.-Israeli War. Hundreds of organizations from around the country have endorsed and pledged to mobilize for the August 12 demonstration which was initiated by the ANSWER Coalition (Act Now to Stop War & End Racism), the National Council of Arab Americans (NCA) and the Muslim American Society Freedom Foundation.

Photos taken at the "Stop the US Israeli War rally San Francisco" <> rally in San Francisco on August 12, 2006 show masked protesters with a Hamas flag and a Palestinian flag and the Hamas flag in front of San Francisco's City Hall. It was one of several similar rallies held around the country on the same day.

Jihadist Movements Growing Worldwide

The north of Lebanon has seen fighting provoked by the rise of Fatah al-Islam, which is inspired by al-Qaeda. Jihadist movements are also growing in strength in the Kurdish areas of Iraq and Turkey, in Jordan, Yemen, and Egypt and across North Africa. Even south-east Asian countries - despite rapid economic growth - now have serious problems. Thailand, Indonesia and the Philippines all have active and violent Islamist movements.

Above all, Iraq is serving as an inspiration and training ground for a new generation of jihadists - just as the Afghan war against the Soviet Union once did. Terrorist techniques perfected in Iraq are cropping up elsewhere. Suicide bombing was unknown in Afghanistan until a couple of years ago. Now it is a deadly, almost daily occurrence.

A familiar refrain - particularly in Europe - is that the key to soothing Islamist militancy lies in “solving” the Palestinian problem. There are obvious holes that can be picked in this argument.

Hamas is not interested in negotiating with Israel to create a Palestinian State. Hamas wants Israel to be eliminated. And further Hamas wants to create the new caliphate, a new world order ruled by Islamists.

Osama bin Laden has never shown much interest in a two-state solution. The attacks of September 11, 2001 were planned when the Middle East peace process was in relatively good shape. Al-Qaeda’s demands are so unrealistic - and its narrative of grievance so selective - that it will not be swayed by any changes in western policy.

With Hamas now in the control of Gaza and both Hamas and Fatah armed by Tehran, combined with Iranian-backed Hezbollah’s influence in Lebanon, it furthers the move of Iran for control of the Mediterranean. Add to this the building of Russia building military ports in Syria and providing arms to Syria further demonstrates the power of the alliance.

As reported by David Eshel for Defense Update on December 23, 2006: “In fact, as had been revealed recently, Russia, Iran and Syria have already entered a defense pact aiming at Moscow's ambitions to the process of altering the balance of power in the entire Middle East. Russia’s own part in this pact has been kept relatively secret for a long time.”

The appearance of Russian ships in Tartus [Syria] will signal a dramatic reinforcement of Russia’s naval potential in the NATO dominated Mediterranean Sea, even when compared to the cold war period.”

The Democrat Controlled Congress Seeks to Break up Iraq

Both Rep. Ellen Tauscher of Walnut Creek and her California colleague and fellow Democrat, Sen. Barbara Boxer want the United States to admit that the idea of a strong national government in Iraq won’t work and instead aim to set up a federal system in which Sunnis, Shiites and Kurds can separate, cool the sectarian killings and manage their own affairs. Her proposal, which she calls the Change the Course in Iraq Act, is going places in Congress because it has acquired a most-powerful patron, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-San Francisco. The speaker has written Tauscher a letter expressing support and pledging a vote on the legislation at some point in the next few months.

If they are successful in breaking up Iraq, as would be expected, the Southern part of Iraq is controlled fully by Iran; this gives a full and complete access for Iran to the Mediterranean and the creation of the Shiite Crescent.

Turkey’s Move to Join the Middle East and away from the EU

In considering relations with Turkey, the West must remember that the enemy of your enemy is not necessarily your friend and allay. In a departure from its traditional foreign policy which has gone largely unnoticed, Turkey is now becoming an important player in the Middle East. See: Turkey Rediscovers the Middle East, Foreign Affairs July/August 2007 and The city where Turkey’s republic lost its way, Financial Times June 26, 2007

Turkey’s growing concern over Kurdish nationalism has brought Ankara closer to the governments of Iran and Syria, which also contend with restive Kurds at home.

The shift is also accompanied by the gradual Islamization of the country led by the ruling Islamist Justice and Development Party (known as the AKP), headed by Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who has managed to tap into rising popular nationalism by fusing it with Islam.

Some 60 percent of all U.S. military equipment destined for Iraq goes through the territory or airspace of Turkey, a Muslim ally and member of NATO.

If this route to Iraq were restricted or closed entirely, the ability of the United States to effectively combat the insurgency and violent militias in Iraq would be impaired. The Erdogan government could also come under domestic pressure to restrict U.S. use of the air base at Incirlik in southern Turkey to re-supply American troops in Afghanistan. Should it be necessary to take military action against Iran or even Russia, the availability of bases in Turkey is critical.

In addition Turkey controls access to the Bosporus Strait an oil choke point for oil supply to Europe. Energy is a major driver behind the warming of Iranian-Turkish relations. Iran is the second-largest supplier of natural gas to Turkey (after Russia).

Iran’s nuclear ambitions, however, are a source of serious concern in Ankara. A nuclear-armed Iran could have a destabilizing impact on the Persian Gulf region and force Turkey to take countermeasures for its own security.

If Iran refuses to comply with the demands of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Ankara will have essentially three options: expand its cooperation on missile defense with the United States and Israel; beef up its conventional military capabilities, especially medium-range missiles; or develop its own nuclear weapons capability.

The Required Missile Defense against Iran in Central Europe

Iran’s push for nuclear weapons is accompanied by its development of ICBMs. The threat of a nuclear armed Iran is no longer just a problem for Israel and their Arab neighbors. Iran’s development of ICBMs that could reach Washington DC brings the threat home with added urgency. The nuclear Iran is not just a local issue for Israel.

An Iranian ICBM with a range of nearly 2,500 miles could reach as far west as Central Europe and well into Russia, China and India. The U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency has told Congress that Iran in fact may be capable of developing a 3,000-mi.-range ICBMs by 2015.

It’s unlikely the neighbors would complain if a family installed an alarm system, especially if the family offered to install alarms in every home on the block. Such a generous offer would protect everyone from crime. Friendly, law-abiding neighbors would realize they have everything to gain and nothing to fear.

Russia Objects to Nuclear Defense against Iran

But one neighboring leader objected: Russian President Vladimir Putin. The proposed missile-defense screen would lead to an “inevitable arms race,” he warned, adding, “If the American nuclear potential grows in European territory, we have to give ourselves new targets in Europe.”

Nuclear potential? Targets? That’s an odd way to describe a defensive program that would actually protect nations from weapons. And in fact, Putin seemed to later see the error of his stance, going so far late last week as to volunteer to take part in the defense screen—or did he?

Well, not really. On June 18, The Iranian Foreign Ministry says it has received assurances that Moscow will not let the United States share a Russian radar facility in Azerbaijan as part of a missile shield against Iran -- despite an offer by President Vladimir Putin to U.S. President George W. Bush to do exactly that. The ministry says Russia has no intention of allowing the Americans to use the radar base. Was Putin bluffing when he made the offer to the United States?

Russia is not confirming the Iranian version of events. But it raises the possibility that the Russian offer was bogus and that Putin was merely maneuvering to occupy the high ground in the dispute over the antimissile system.

Anticipating a U.S. rejection of his offer, Putin could say that Russia had gone out of its way to offer a solution but that Washington had not been willing to accept it.

Uranium and Nuclear Power in Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan and Iran share access to the Caspian Sea. Kazakhstan could provide the nuclear materials for an Iranian nuclear weapon. Over the past two years, US relations with former Soviet Central Asia nations have collapsed. Indeed, China has become a major player in this region. Russia is also stepping up its military presence in this region. Moreover, barely acknowledged by the Western media, both China and Russia have conducted war games in Central Asia, in collaboration with their own coalition partners. Of special interest are these activities in Central Asia, under which military exercises involving the participation of Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan are conducted under the Collective Security Treaty Organization, (CSTO). Iran is developing a mutual military defense strategy with Kazakhstan. See also my article: Global Threats Leading to the Leftist/Marxist -- Islamist Takeover.

If the US can not defend our border, and “Other Than Mexicans” (OTMs) enter at will, can we count on the dysfunctional Kazakhstan government controlling their border. Some of these OTMs could be bringing in nuclear material for Hezbollah, Hamas or al-Qaeda terror cells in the US.

Because of large deposits of uranium, Kazakhstan has developed facilities for the entire nuclear cycle including enrichment of uranium.

Kazakhstan and Russia boast the world’s second and third largest uranium reserves, which are respectively 1 million and 0.8 million tons.

In addition to their nuclear activity, they do have research facilities for designing and manufacturing chemical and biological weapons.

Kazakhstan is rich in oil, one of the 10 largest oil fields in the world in located there. By 2015, it is expected to be the fifth largest producer of oil in the world.

Utembayev Ambassador of Kazakhstan said his country supports Iran’s right to acquire peaceful nuclear technology. “Kazakhstan supports peaceful nuclear research and is opposed to proliferation of nuclear weapons,” Utembayev told IRNA.

Asked about ways to put an end to the nuclear standoff between Iran and the West, he said the issue must be resolved through negotiations and within the International Atomic Energy Agency.

Iran and UAE Review Expansion of Economic Ties

Developing expansion of economic cooperation between Iran and the UAE will lead to forging unity among regional countries. A large Iranian Expiate population is in the UAE.

On June 18, “Iran’s Minister of Commerce Masoud Mir-Kazemi conferred in Dubai with the UAE’s Minister of Economy and Industries Sheikh Hamdan bin Rashid on expansion of mutual and regional cooperation, IRNA reported.”

“Iran possesses new technological know-how with highly profile scientific and technical knowledge in various fields which could be take into consideration, he said.”

The US and the EU and NATO rely on military bases in the UAE and Bahrain to support military operations in the Gulf. The US has also provided advanced military aircraft to the UAE.

The Gulf Cooperation Council will not be used in Attack on Iran

Gulf Arab countries will not be used as a launch pad for any military attack on Iran; Saudi Interior Minister Prince Nayef Bin Abdul Aziz was quoted as saying on June 18.

He said Iran had no interest in striking its oil-producing Arab neighbors if it comes under attack from the United States. “I think the brothers in Iran are totally aware that ... Iran will not be a source of harm for their neighbors and brothers ... These countries (Arab neighbors) will not be a source of harm for Iran,” he said to state news agency SPA.

The Dragon Fleet (China’s Role)

US defense planners are likely to continue to find it hard to take China’s good intentions on trust while the country remains an authoritarian and avowedly communist one-party state. Beijing meanwhile still shows little willingness to embrace the level of transparency that might allay their suspicions.

It is extremely difficult to judge both the current capabilities of China’s maritime fleet and also the strategic goals to which Beijing is likely to put it. But there is no doubting that the navy, long the neglected arm of the People’s Liberation Army, is now at the heart of China’s drive to build a military to match its growing economic and diplomatic clout.

The Need for Addressing the Global Risk

Diplomacy and military strength may deter the expansion of the threat of a global confrontation but the West must address its lack of energy security and dependence on ‘energy interdependence’ instead of ‘energy independence’.

The foreign policy of the United States and Europe must address the energy, the environment, foreign trade, financial, immigration, homeland security and defense tracks in a unified manner. Similarly, addressing the crisis in the Middle East, including the Israel-Palestine solution also involves solving relations with Russia, China and Eurasia.

This will require commitment and pain now to our way of life. It will require sacrifice. The alternative will be even worse.

Until the U.S. and its allies understand who the enemy is and their goals, and put forward a plan for survival, the world will be heading toward a major war of untold destruction. As mentioned above, we are revisiting 1938 and commercial interests and not security are driving our actions, as then.

Europe followed by America stand at the precipice, will they succumb to a hedonist Leftist future scenario and then becoming Islamicized either through the actions of Leftist/Marxist – Alliance or nuclear Holocaust or will they reestablish their Judeo-Christian heritage. The loss of Europe and America may occur by virtue of a collapsed population, faith and identity. Which will it be? It is not possible to determine the outcome, but, YOU the people living in Europe and America can influence the outcome. Decision time is fast approaching.

My advice is to let your position be known.

And “Prepare for War—Pray for a Miracle”.

David J. Jonsson is the author of Clash of Ideologies —The Making of the Christian and Islamic Worlds, Xulon Press 2005. His new book: Islamic Economics and the Final Jihad: The Muslim Brotherhood to the Leftist/Marxist - Islamist Alliance (Salem Communications (May 30, 2006). He received his undergraduate and graduate degrees in physics. He worked for major corporations in the United States and Japan and with multilateral agencies that brought him to more that fifteen countries with significant or majority populations who are Muslim. These exposures provided insight into the basic tenants of Islam as a political, economic and religious system. He became proficient in Islamic law (Shariah) through contract negotiation and personal encounter. David can be reached at: djonsson2000@yahoo.co.uk




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Wednesday, May 30, 2007

Nationalization – A Plan for World Domination - David Jonsson

by David Jonsson

"During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary
act." - George Orwell

We are witnessing how nation states are increasing using nationalization as a tool for world control of energy production, energy transportation, basic products and financial assets for control. It appears that the actions of Russia and China combined with pawns the Islamist states and the Leftist governments in Latin America are coordinated in their actions. Initially the nationalizations were occurring within the countries, and recently these actions have extended into the EU and the U.S.

In many cases the immediate result has the increased rewards to the sellers of EU and U.S. companies to the foreign state owned entities. The EU and U.S. investors, the populous and their compliant governments fail to realize the long term implications of the sale to the totalitarian regimes.

The funding of these foreign totalitarian Islamist, Marxist and Communist states has come from the disastrous financial performance – balance of trade, outsourcing and fiscal deficits and energy dependence on Islamist and Marxist states. The actions have been further facilitated by the banks and financial advisors seeking immediate financial gain. These actions have also led to acceptance of Shariah law applied to the financial sector as a step toward gradual Islamization of the countries.

Who are the players and what are the recent actions?

Living in Bubble Land
We live in a virtuous circle world predicated on the belief that credit will continue to sustain economic growth. The total outstanding value of all derivatives has surged to over $400 trillion in 2006; rising a third since 2005, from a total of $297 trillion, says the Bank of International Settlements. When a market grows almost 40 percent in a single year to $415 trillion, regulators are bound to get a little nervous. The guardians of financial stability are all too aware that many of these securities haven’t yet had to prove their ability to withstand a shock.
China’s Equity Bubble

Stephen Roach of Morgan Stanley commenting on the May 22 Jack Crooks Daily Forex Commentary:

“China’s equity bubble is an offshoot of this same problem. Washington’s China bashers appear to be drawing on the same game plan of forced currency revaluation that wreaked havoc on the Japanese economy in the 1990s. As was the case with the endaka (strong yen) of the late 1980s, Yuan appreciation is now taken as a given by domestic and international investors - only questions of degree and timing remain unanswered. There is an eerie similarity between currency-driven outcomes in the two equity markets. In both cases, one-way currency bets turned equities into the asset of choice for the “hot money” of liquidity-fueled investors. Is it a coincidence that China’s A-shares began their recent run only a few months after the pegged-currency regime was abandoned in July 2005? Similarly, was it a coincidence that the Japanese equity bubble emerged in the late 1980s in the aftermath of a Plaza accord that steered the yen/dollar cross rate from 254 in early 1985 to 145 in early 1990? Given the lack of alternative assets in a still undeveloped Chinese financial system, the equity bubble may be even more of a foregone conclusion in China than it was in Japan.”

Where is all this liquidity coming from? East Asian emerging economies are mostly creditor nations. Moreover, much of their accumulation of external assets is in official hands. By February of this year, the foreign currency reserves of east and south Asian countries had reached $3,280bn, up by $2,490bn since the beginning of 1999. If a substantial part of the world economy is generating huge current account surpluses, somebody else has to run offsetting deficits. The result will be toward increased protectionism. It also leads to the goal of the nationalization. Finally, it compels US monetary authorities to sustain easy monetary policy, in order to offset the leakage from domestic demand caused by the huge current account deficits. These trends are not desirable or sustainable.

Last year, for example, the biggest source was China. In the 12 months that ended in January, China accumulated $259 billion in reserves, bringing its total then to just over $1.1 trillion. Cash is flooding into the economy. Foreign-exchange reserves rose by a record $136 billion in the first quarter to $1.2 trillion, the most in the world, the central bank said. The rise in assets is fueled by exports that are so cheap that foreign exchange reserves are growing at a rate of $1 million a minute. The recycling of most of those reserves into U.S. Treasury bonds is a major factor keeping U.S. interest rates low. And that has helped the private-equity groups pursue a wealth of corporate operations that once might have seemed out of bounds.

BusinessWeek reports that there are worries in Asia, the Middle East and elsewhere that the U.S. has become an economic underachiever and the “weakest link in the global economy.” The International Monetary Fund went so far as to warn in its most recent World Economic Outlook that one of the biggest uncertainties is “whether the global economy will be able to decouple from the U.S. were the latter to slow down more sharply.” And this in part explains why such a close American ally as Kuwait feels the need to unhook its currency from the U.S. dollar, as the Persian Gulf emirate announced Sunday. That link has been dragging down Kuwaiti purchasing power as the dollar sank against the euro and other currencies, and the move to sever that dinar-dollar relationship is one other Gulf countries are thought to be looking at as well. Most Persian Gulf oil producers -- long allied with a protective U.S. -- are moving closer to China and its neighbors, a trend exemplified earlier this month by the East-meets-Mideast conference in Riyadh co-hosted by Saudi Arabia and Japan. The actions of Russian, Iranian and Central Asian players in the petroleum business have also raised questions about the dollar.

The Middle East - The Role of Islamic Finance
Not long ago, Islamic Finance was widely regarded as a specialized, if not obscure, backwater of global banking. On May 23, 2007 the Financial Times published an outstanding special FT Report – Islamic Finance. The lead article By Roula Khalaf and Gillian Tett, Financial Times was: Backwater sector moves into global mainstream.

The UK, now home to two Islamic banks, is vying to become a center for Islamic finance. Sukuks, or asset-based Islamic bonds, are being marketed to international investors.
The new demands for the recycling of capital flows caused by the rise in the oil price have fueled an unprecedented economic boom in the Middle East. These events have been met with innovation in the provision of Islamic financial products, offering ingredients, for the first time, for a larger scale industry.

The history of modern finance is littered with numerous examples of financial booms and busts, where financiers have dashed en masse into new immature, fragmented and opaque markets - producing subsequent scandals when it emerges that a host of shaky business practices underpinned this investment mania.

And while no major scandals involving the Islamic finance sector have come to light so far, the boom in the industry has occurred amid a much wider credit bubble in global financial markets.
“Right now we have a credit bubble - you can sell almost anything to anybody, including in the Islamic finance world,” says one investment banker. “People should certainly be asking hard questions about financial practices in the Islamic finance sector.”

Islamic Economics – The Hard Questions
In 2006 I wrote the book Islamic Economics and the Final Jihad: The Muslim Brotherhood to the Leftist/Marxist - Islamist Alliance in which I wrote about the history and expansion of the use of Islamic Economics as a weapon for world domination. The concepts for Islamic Economics were further developed in my article from the Global Politician on December 20, 2006; Islamic Economics and Shariah Law: A Plan for World Domination.

The Plan involves the incremental acceptance of basic tenants of Shariah law as applied to all aspects of life—the Islamic “Way of Life”. This implies the desire to incrementally change the laws and ultimately the Constitution of the U.S. It is already leading to the change of the laws in the UK.

Andrea Williams writing in the Financial Times on April 26, The implications of Islamic bonds are far-reaching, commented on the article in the Financial Times of April 23 UK to issue west’s first Islamic bonds. Shariah compliant bonds have hitherto been issued by the governments of Pakistan and Malaysia and also by corporate issuers around the world, but never by a western state.

“The [UK] government may be attracted by the prospect of money from Muslim investors, but it seems it has not considered the implications of using bonds that comply with Shariah law. Shariah law does not simply prohibit interest and finance speculation; it stipulates that money must not be used for a purpose incompatible with Islam.”

“This could include any number of areas of the financial market, such as alcohol and cigarettes, clothing, food, media (which produces gossip), and animal welfare (which promotes the welfare of non-halal animals). It would also mean this money could not be used in the furtherance of many individual freedoms, or in the promotion of any idealistic or political worldview other than Islam (including secular democracy).”

“The government appears to be overlooking the implications of allowing a proportion of UK government finance to be determined by a law not recognized in the UK. It is of particular concern that there has been no parliamentary scrutiny of this issue. For example, if these bonds are introduced, it is not clear who will be the arbiter of any disputes. The bonds are religious agreements, and disputes that arise will often involve a question of interpretation of Shariah law.”

There is no question that many Muslims whether they are Sunni or Shiite decry terrorism and are loyal Americans; however, most Muslims subscribe to the Muslim total “way of life” and desire to have the whole world under Islamic rule and the will of Allah. Combining a “way of life” into an economic system is proving to be more powerful than any other in having a global impact and spreading Islam on a global basis.

Islamic Economics is the stealth sword of Islam
Islamic Economics is the stealth sword of Islam. It is more powerful than the Weapons of Mass Destruction and terrorism. It is immune to negotiation. The stealth sword is being applied for the Islamization of the West and the whole world. The goal is to create the “Islamic kingdom of God on earth.” The implementation of Shariah law would have a dramatic affect on your life and that of the entire Western Civilization. Understand the nature of the evil and do not be blindsided.

The twentieth century has witnessed the emergence of an economic doctrine that calls itself Islamic economics. The doctrine is significant because it advances the sprawling and headline-grabbing movement known as political Islam, Islamic fundamentalism, Islamic Finance, or simply Islamism.

The movement is having a profound impact. The Islamic windows of major banks that incorporate the principles of Islamic economics represent the fastest growing sector. The banks, based on the principles of Islamic economics, raise billions of dollars in the form of Islamic bonds (sukuk) annually. Banking laws in Islamic and Western countries are changing to accommodate Islamic economic rules. The Dow Jones Islamic Stock Index and in April 2006, Dow Jones and Citigroup announced the launch of the first Islamic Bond Index. The Dow Jones Citigroup Sukuk Index is the first index that seeks to measure the performance of global bonds complying with Islamic (Shariah compliant) investment guidelines.

For a more complete discussion of the implications of financing with Sukuk bonds see my paper Structural Changes–Destruction Of The U.S. Dollar.

Mawlana Sayyid al Abdul-Ala al-Mawdudi - Islamic “Way of Life”
(Mawlana) Sayyid Abul A’la Al-Mawdudi (1903-1979), one of the chief architects of contemporary Islamic resurgence, was one of the most outstanding Islamic thinkers and writers of his time. Mawdudi is credited with bringing economics within the purview of religion in the mid-twentieth century. He had a broader goal of defining a self-contained Islamic order.

He sought to turn Islam into a complete “way of life.” In his voluminous writing, Mawdudi exhorted that Islam is much more than a set of rituals. It encompasses, he argued, all domains of human existence, including education, medicine, art, law, politics and economics. To support this assertion, he laid the foundations of several Islamic disciplines, among them Islamic economics. Sayyid Qutb (1906-66), an Egyptian, Muhammad Baquir al-Sadr (Mohammed Baqir al-Sadr) (1931-80), an Iraqi, and Professor Dr. Yusuf al-Qaradawi, an Egyptian, also made seminal contributions to Islamic economics.

The Role of the Muslim Brotherhood

The Muslim Brotherhood (al-Ikhwan al-Muslimun) was the main motivator behind setting up experiments in Islamic financing on a nationally and internationally workable scale. The theory and practical requirements needed to set up an Islamic banking system came from among the ranks of the Ikhwan.

“Allah is our objective. The Prophet is our leader. Qur’an is our law. Jihad is our way. Dying in the way of Allah is our highest hope.”—Muslim Brotherhood

The Muslim Migration
I might add that according to the May 23, 2007 article by Edward Luce from the Financial Times in the article: Muslim Americans in line with US values:

In a survey conducted by the Pew Research Center, one of America’s most respected polling groups, found that America’s 2.4m-strong Muslim community are far more assimilated and integrated into their adopted country than their counterparts in Europe.

“Nationalization by immigration” - Implications of Amnesty for Illegal Immigrants

Unfortunately, it shows that although American Muslims are assimilating and building prosperous lives they are not uniformly believers in America first. This has far reaching implications with respect to amnesty for Illegal immigrants. The protests, demonstrations and marches for granting amnesty include organizations from the Leftist and Muslim communities. “Nationalization by immigration” is by not uniformly believing in America First and is a form of setting up a nation within a nation.

People from 43 so-called “countries of interest” in the Middle East, South Asia and North Africa are sneaking into the United States, many by way of Texas, forming a human pipeline that exists largely outside the public consciousness but that has worried counterterrorism authorities since 9-11.These immigrants are known as “special-interest aliens.” When caught, they can be subjected to FBI interrogation, detention holds that can last for months and, in rare instances, federal prison terms.

The 43 countries of interest are singled out because terrorist groups operate there. Special-interest immigrants are coming all the time, from countries where U.S. military personnel are battling radical Islamist movements, such as Iraq, Afghanistan, Somalia and the Philippines. They come from countries where organized Islamic extremists have bombed U.S. interests, such as Kenya, Tanzania and Lebanon. They come from U.S.-designated state sponsors of terror, such as Iran, Syria and Sudan.

Are Muslim Americans Supporting Their New Land?

“What this survey shows is that Muslim Americans are largely assimilated, happy with their lives and moderate - mostly in contrast to Muslims in Western Europe,” said Andrew Kohut, head of Pew. “They also reject Islamic extremism to a much greater extent than Muslim populations elsewhere in the world.”

“Thirteen per cent of American Muslims believe that suicide bombing is justified in some circumstances, which is sharply lower than comparable findings among European Muslims and those in Muslim-majority countries. However, the proportion of Muslim Americans under the age of 30 who believe suicide terrorism is sometimes justified rises to 26 per cent, compared with 35 per cent in Britain and 42 per cent in France.”

Think about it: Thirteen per cent of all American Muslims believe that suicide bombing is justified in some circumstances. That is 325,000 of all American Muslims believing suicide bombing is acceptable in some circumstances. Then apply this to the EU and consider the potential risk to Eurabia. Remember 9/11. It was only 19 terrorists affiliated with al-Qaeda that hijacked four commercial airliners on September 11, 2001.

The Leftist propaganda would have you believe that the cause of Muslims believing that suicide is justified is because of poverty should further look at the results of the poll. “Forty-two per cent rated their personal financial situation as excellent or good, compared with 49 per cent of Americans in total. Only 2 per cent of US Muslims are in the low-income bracket, compared with 22 per cent in Britain and 18 per cent in France and Germany.”

“The survey, which screened 55,000 Muslim Americans, found the under-30s were far more likely than the older generations to describe themselves as Muslim first and American second and were far more likely to attend a mosque weekly.”

“It found that African-American Muslims, most of whom are converts to the religion, were more radicalized than other Muslim Americans. Only 36 per cent had a "highly unfavorable" view of al-Qaeda, compared with 58 per cent among Muslims as a whole. “African-Americans are clearly the most disillusioned section among Muslim Americans - and they are also much more skeptical of American values,” says Mr. Kohut.”

“Muslim Americans account for just 0.6 per cent of the US population, compared with 5 per cent or more in France and Germany.”

Jihad is considered a required religious duty for Muslims. Jihad is Islam’s normal path to expansion.

Nationalization of Strategic Assets
China’s $3 billion Trojan Horse

On May 21, Beijing announced a deal that surprised the finance community, and it didn’t involve commodities or the domestic currency. Instead, officials, on the cusp of creating an private investment arm, invested a significant amount in the private equity firm Blackstone Group LP. China will use $3 billion of its roughly $1.2 trillion in foreign-exchange reserves to buy a 9.9% stake in Blackstone, a move that coincides with Blackstone’s planned $40 billion stock-market listing, as the Financial Times and The Wall Street Journal report.

Central Huijin Investment Co., a state agency that has invested some of China’s foreign exchange reserves to recapitalize domestic financial companies, loaned the US$3 billion to the new investment agency. Central Huijin’s assets are expected to be merged into the State Investment Company, according to earlier reports.

According to the agreement, the investment in Blackstone will be below 10 percent of total shares in Blackstone after its initial public offering, which is expected to take place in mid-June.

“We don’t want to trigger any review or approval procedure by the US government,” said Jesse Wang, chairman of the China Jianyin Investment Ltd Co, which is owned by Central Huijin, the central bank’s investment arm.

With approximately $200 billion in reserves, the new state investment agency will likely take aim at notable bellwether companies, with stock issuances that are more liquid. This may include investments in key branding items with access and connections to US consumers and distributions through domestic stores. However, a bulk of sentiment continues to side with the notion of energy and internationally related companies as the preferred target. One thing is for sure though, with a heavy investment in Blackstone, Chinese officials will be able to reach out to other investments, taking advantage of the firm’s worldwide exposure.

In March, Oaktree Capital Management LLC Managing Director William Kerins predicted that private equity transactions in China will surge fivefold to an annual $10 billion in the coming years. Adding China to the shareholder roster means Blackstone, which hired former Hong Kong Financial Secretary Antony Leung in January, is better placed to grab a piece of that action.

The U.S. based on national security issues blocked the sale of Unocal to CNOOC, China’s biggest offshore oil producer. Hence China is using Blackstone as the Trojan Horse of Blackstone to accomplish the goal. Remember this is a government investment not just a foreign private company making the investment.

Citgo, owned by Petroleos de Venezuela S. A. (PDVSA), operates about 13,000 service stations in the United States. This is the company owned by comrade Hugo Chavez who recently nationalized the assets of the foreign oil companies.

Other nations might be tempted to emulate China’s Trojan Horse investment strategy. In December, Dubai’s DP World succumbed to U.S. pressure and sold six port terminals to American International Group Inc. for an undisclosed amount.

The terminals, in New York; Newark, New Jersey; Baltimore; Philadelphia; Tampa, Florida; and New Orleans, were uncontroversial while owned by London-based Peninsular & Oriental Steam Navigation Co.

After DP World paid $6.8 billion (using sukuk bond financing) for the U.K. company in February 2006, the coastal access points suddenly acquired strategic importance. Clubbing together with a U.S. financial firm might have enabled DP World to hang on to those assets.

Yet while one Dubai company may have given up on U.S. ports, another one shows no signs of quitting the U.S.—or of giving up a contract with the Navy to provide shore services for vessels in the Middle East. The firm, Inchcape Shipping Services (ISS), is an old British company that last January was sold to a Dubai government investment vehicle for $285 million. ISS has more than 200 offices around the world and provides services to clients ranging from cruise ship operators to oil tankers to commercial cargo vessels. In the U.S., the company operates out of more than a dozen port cities, including Houston, Miami and New Orleans, arranging pilots, tugs, linesmen and stevedores, among other things. The firm is also a defense contractor which has long worked for Britain’s Royal Navy. And last June, the U.S. Navy signed on too, awarding ISS a $50 million contract to be the “husbanding agent” for vessels in most Southwest Asia ports, including those in the Middle East, according to an unclassified Navy logistics manual for the Fifth Fleet and a press release from ISS.

General Electric Sells its Plastics Division to Arm of Saudi Government
Meanwhile on May 20, 2006 General Electric Co. (GE) and Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (SABIC) have reached an agreement for SABIC to acquire GE Plastics for a price of US$11.6 billion. SABIC has previously acquired DSM Petrochemicals business in Europe and the Huntsman Petrochemicals business in the United Kingdom. The government owns about 70 percent of the stock, with the rest restricted to investors in Saudi Arabia and the five other states of the Gulf Cooperation Council. Buying the division will give SABIC a foothold in polycarbonates, easily worked plastics used in applications ranging from riot shields to compact discs. GE’s proprietary Lexan plastic is used in roofs, lighting, walkways, windows and domes.

SABIC was established by Royal Decree in 1976 (1396/97 AH) - its task being to set up and operate hydrocarbon and mineral-based industries in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The Public Investment Fund provides long-term loans to SABIC on highly concessional terms. The balance of SABIC’s capital requirements come from SABIC’s joint venture partners. In addition, SABIC can make use of normal commercial loans. With these sources of finance, SABIC is able to undertake industrial projects considerably in excess of its own authorized capital of 10,000 million Saudi Riyals.

Since beginning production, SABIC has held a 5% share of world petrochemical markets, and a larger market share in key products such as ethylene, ethylene glycol, methanol, MTBE and polyethylene. This will be significally increased with the acquisition of GE Plastics.

We forecast that annual production capacity will reach 51 million metric tons (mmt) in 2006 and 60 mmt in 2008.

Basic Chemicals, SABIC’s largest strategic business unit, accounts for around 40% of the company’s total production.

SABIC is the world’s fourth-largest producer of polyolefins. It is the world’s third-largest producer of polyethylene and the sixth-largest producer of polypropylene.

SABIC is also the world’s single largest producer and exporter of granular urea (needed for production corn ethanol) and one of the world’s top producers of olefins.

More than two-thirds of SABIC’s production is exported; more than half of these exports go to Asia.

Russia’s Nationalization of Foreign Oil Companies

In April, the world’s largest integrated oil and gas project called Sakhalin-2. had been wrested from Royal Dutch Shell. The Royal Dutch/Shell group of Europe and Japanese trading houses Mitsui & Co. and Mitsubishi Corp. ceded a majority stake in the joint project after Russia’s resources ministry ordered a partial suspension of the project due to environmental concerns. The suspension was believed by some to be a pretext for the Russian government’s efforts to secure Gazprom’s leadership of the project.

On April 29, Gazprom eyes exclusive purchase of Sakhalin-1 gas: MOSCOW (Kyodo) Gazprom is negotiating for exclusive rights to buy all of the natural gas to be produced by the Sakhalin-1 international oil and natural gas project, according to a senior official of the partially state-owned gas monopoly.

The suspension was believed by some to be a pretext for the Russian government’s efforts to secure Gazprom’s leadership of the project.

The move suggests the possibility that Russia will take full control of the exporting rights for the natural gas produced by the project, which Exxon Mobil Corp. has led since the mid-1990s and in which Japanese stakeholders, including the government, hold a combined stake of about 30 percent.

On May 21, according to the Financial Times Moscow warns TNK-BP over gas licence: Moscow ratcheted up pressure on BP’s Russian venture on Monday, warning that TNK-BP could see the license for its vast Kovykta gas field revoked within “a matter of days”.

Oleg Mitvol, head of Russia’s environmental watchdog, said his agency would open a probe on Wednesday into whether TNK-BP was meeting license terms to develop the east Siberian field – as a three-month deadline passed for production there to be boosted to 9 billion cubic meters in line with requirements. TNK-BP has said this target would be impossible to meet.

“If everything goes according to the law then [TNK-BP] should lose the license,” Mr. Mitvol said, adding that a special commission would meet in “the next few days” to decide whether to revoke it.

Mr. Mitvol’s comments came as talks intensified over state-controlled Gazprom taking a stake in the operation. Industry observers have seen the stand-off over Kovykta as part of a broader gambit to put pressure on TNK-BP’s Russian shareholders to sell their stake to a state-controlled company as Moscow seeks to tighten its grip over the energy sector.

Moscow eyes tighter grip on energy routes according to the Financial Times of May 14. Russia, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan have called for a new pipeline to be built along the coast of the Caspian Sea to carry additional Central Asian natural gas exports north into Russia in a move that would tighten Moscow’s control over energy routes out of the region.

The Beltrans gaz deal, which was 13 years in the making, will increase Gazprom’s lock over gas networks to the west just one week after Russia, Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan agreed to expand shipments out of Central Asia via Russia in a blow to western governments’ efforts to build alternative pipelines bypassing Russia.

Russia continues to tighten the energy noose on Europe as reported by the Financial Times of May 22, Pipeline set to tighten Russian grip on energy.

The Russian government yesterday approved plans for an oil pipeline that could enable the country to bypass Belarus and tighten Moscow’s grip over much of Europe’s energy supplies.

The proposal by Transneft, Russia’s oil pipeline monopoly, to build a new 1m barrel per day spur across Russian territory to a key Russian oil terminal in the Baltic port of Primorsk will boost the terminal’s capacity as a hub for supplies to Europe to 2.5m b/d.

Conclusion
The Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance is utilizing the weapons of economics, energy and immigration to rest control of the Western world. The Alliance through their operatives in the U.S. and the EU has furthered the progress of world domination and Islamization though appeasement, open borders, lack of fiscal disciple and greed among the populous, government leaders, financial advisors and banks seeking near term gains.

The U.S. and its allies need to understand who the enemy is and their goals, and put forward a plan for survival of the freedoms and liberty we enjoy. Commercial interests, and not security, are driving our actions as they did then prior to WW II.

This image will not be improved by elites counted among the Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance who have not only abandoned, but are attacking their own people, selling out their historical legacy to their worst enemies, and muzzling those who object to this. It is going to be interesting for future historians to unveil how many senior Western leaders or bureaucrats, bankers and corporate leaders have been bought and paid by petrodollars.


David J. Jonsson is the author of Clash of Ideologies —The Making of the Christian and Islamic Worlds, Xulon Press 2005. His new book: Islamic Economics and the Final Jihad: The Muslim Brotherhood to the Leftist/Marxist - Islamist Alliance (Salem Communications (May 30, 2006). He received his undergraduate and graduate degrees in physics. He worked for major corporations in the United States and Japan and with multilateral agencies that brought him to more that fifteen countries with significant or majority populations who are Muslim. These exposures provided insight into the basic tenants of Islam as a political, economic and religious system. He became proficient in Islamic law (Shariah) through contract negotiation and personal encounter. David can be reached at: mailto:djonsson2000@yahoo.co.uk?cc=info@SalemTheSoldier.us

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Thursday, May 17, 2007

U.S. Policy Toward Iran and Russia - David J. Jonsson

Thursday, April 19, 2007

The Followers of ISMAIL - Jonsson

David J. Jonsson
April 20, 2007

In recent weeks we have seen resurgence in the followers of the Ismaili sect of Shia Islam. Libyan leader Mu'ammar Qaddafi called, in a speech in Niger to Tuareg tribal leaders, for the establishment of a second Shi'ite Fatimid state in North Africa, after the model of the 10th-13th century empire that ruled North Africa, Egypt, and parts of the Fertile Crescent. It is worthwhile to review some of the background and origins of this sect and also to see how it may be impacting current events. The Ismailis are the followers of the seventh caliph Ismail and are know as seveners vs. the followers of the twelfth Imam or twelvers as Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. The Ismaili Students’ Association operates on many campuses.

Origins of the Conflict

Until about 900, the centers of Islamic power remained in the Fertile Crescent, a semicircle of fertile land stretching from the southeastern Mediterranean coast around the Syrian Desert north of the Arabian Peninsula to the Persian Gulf and linked with the Arabian heartland. After the 9th century, however, the most significant political centers moved farther and farther away--to Egypt and India, as well as to what is now Turkey and the Central Asian republics. Intellectual vitality eventually followed political power, and as a result, Islamic civilization was no longer centered in Mecca and Medina in the Hijaz.

Arabia was also the site for some of the conflicts on which the sectarian divisions of Islam are based. The major Islamic sect, the Shia (from Shiat Ali or "party of Ali"), is still represented in Saudi Arabia but forms a larger percentage of the populations in Iraq and Iran. The conflicts in Iraq arise largely from the ongoing hostilities between the Shiites and Sunni populations.

One Shia denomination, known as the Kharijite movement, began in events surrounding the assassination of Uthman, the third caliph, and the transfer of authority to Ali, the fourth caliph. Those who believed Ali should have been the legitimate successor to the Prophet refused to accept the authority of Uthman. Muawiyah in Syria challenged Ali's election as caliph, leading to a war between the two and their supporters. Muawiyah and Ali eventually agreed to an arbitrator, and the fighting stopped. Part of Ali's army, however, objected to the compromise, claiming Muawiyah's family were insincere Muslims. So strong was their protest against compromise that they left Ali's camp (the term khariji literally means "the ones who leave") and fought a battle with their former colleagues the next year.

The more orthodox Shia sect originated in circumstances similar to those of the Kharijite movement. Shia believed that Ali should have led the Muslim community immediately after the Prophet. They were frustrated three times, however, when the larger Muslim community selected first Abu Bakr, next Umar (died in 644), and then Uthman as caliph. When Ali finally became caliph in 656, the Shia refused to accept claims to the caliphate from other Muslim leaders such as Muawiyah.

The killing of Husayn provided the central ethos for the emergence of the Shia as a distinct sect. Eventually, the Shia would split into several separate denominations based on disputes over who of Ali's direct male descendants should be the true spiritual leader. The majority came to recognize a line of twelve leaders, or Imans, beginning with Ali and ending with Muhammad al Muntazar (Muhammad, the awaited one). These Shia, who are often referred to as "Twelvers," claimed that the Twelfth Imam did not die but disappeared in 874. They believe that he will return as the "rightly guided leader," or Mahdi, and usher in a new, more perfect order.

The most remarkable aspect of Mr Ahmadinejad's piety is his devotion to the 12th Imam --- the Hidden Imam, the Messiah-like figure of Shia Islam, and the president's belief that his government must prepare the country for his return.

The Shia minority in Saudi Arabia, like the Shia in southern Iraq, traces its origin to the days of Ali. The Ismailis are a Muslim Shiite sect that holds Ismail, the son of Jafar as-Sadiq, as its imam. On the death of the sixth imam of the Shiites, Jafar as-Sadiq (d. 765), the majority of Shiites accepted Musa al-Kazim, the younger son of Jafar, as seventh imam. Those who remained faithful to Ismail, the eldest son, soon evolved the belief that Ismail was endowed with an infallible gift for interpreting the inner meaning of the revelation. Ismailism developed an understanding of Islam and promoted it through an active missionary system. Although the early history remains obscure, Ismailism incorporated elements of Gnosticism, Neoplatonism, and Hindu thought to explain its concept of the imam. An offshoot, the Assassins, established a state in NE Iran, which survived until the 13th cent. In 1094 the Ismailis split into Nizaris and Mustalis. Today, though a minority community that is not politically active, the Ismailis are spread in small pockets in parts of the Middle East, central and S Asia, and increasingly North America and Europe. The family of the Aga Khan, the Nizari imam, traces its descent from Ismail. See S. M. Stern, Studies in Early Ismailism (1983); F. Daftary, The Ismailis (1990).

The current (49th) Imam, The Āgā Khān IV, or His Highness Prince Karīm al-Hussaynī Āgā Khān IV, who is active in international humanitarian efforts, is a direct descendant of Ali. He is a direct descendant of the Prophet Muhammad through the Prophet's daughter, Fātima, and her husband, `Alī ibn Abī Tālib, the first Shī`a Imam.

The Aga Khan Foundation is a non-denominational, international development agency established in 1967 by His Highness the Aga Khan. Its mission is to develop and promote creative solutions to problems that impede social development, primarily in Asia and East Africa. Created as a private, non-profit foundation under Swiss law, it has branches and independent affiliates in 15 countries. It is a modern vehicle for traditional philanthropy in the Ismaili Muslim community under the leadership of the Aga Khan.

So there were two faces of Arabia. To the west was the Hijaz, which derived a cosmopolitan quality from the foreign traffic that moved continually through it. In the east was Najd, which remained relatively isolated. During the eighteenth century, Wahhabi ideas, vital to the rise of the Al Saud, would originate in Najd.

The Virginia Massacre

Apparently, on the morning of April 17, an express mail package was sent to NBC containing a rambling note and videos about Cho Seung-Hui. According to posting on the Michael Savage website <http://www.savage-productions.com/cho_envelope.html> showing a sender address as A. Ismail. It is well known that when people convert to Islam they often take on new Islamic/Arabic names. Example include: Malcolm X born Malcolm Little. Malcolm X was also known as also known as El-Hajj (Referring to the Pilgrimage to Mecca.) Malik (A word meaning “king” in Arabic.) El-Shabazz, was a Black Muslim Minister and National Spokesman for the Nation of Islam. Cat Stevens - Yusuf Islam a prominent convert to Islam. Stevens retired from the music world soon after accepting the faith of Islam. He subsequently married, had five children, auctioned off his possessions, and founded a Muslim school in London. A vocal opponent of the war in Iraq, Yusuf Islam is on a U.S. government security watch list and is barred from entering the United States. Although this is not a Qur’anic requirement, many do change their names to reflect conversion to Islam. Many men select Islamic related names such as Ali, or Ahmid…etc.

There are many theories being proposed as to the meaning of the words -- ISMAIL AX found written in red ink on the inside of one of Cho Seung-Hui, a 23-year-old senior’s arms, the gunman suspected of carrying out the Virginia Tech massacre that left 33 people dead. See: VA. TECH KILLER REVEALED

In his "multimedia manifesto" he spewed anti-Christian rhetoric.

I would propose for consideration that the ISMAIL AX or A. Ismail on the letter may have reference is to Ismaili - a member of a branch of Shiism that follows a living imam and is noted for esoteric philosophy. It may take a while before the motives are known and if there is any relation between Cho and the Islmaili sect of Shiism. Others have proposed that it is the reference to Ismail the son of Muhammad. Ismail is a common name including that of the Palestinian Authority Prime Minister and Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh and prominent Azerbaijani poet and statesman Shah Ismail Khatayi.

Connections between the Los Angeles Ismaili Community and Hillary Clinton and Barbra Boxer
The Leftist Islamist Alliance remains in tact.

On April 15, 2007, Chuck Neubauer and Robin Fields writing in the Los Angeles Times article Campaign donor's cash arrived with real baggage

“On a sun-dappled October afternoon, Ray Jinnah stood beside his Bel Air swimming pool to address 60 guests gathered for his latest fundraiser, a 2004 affair for New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton.”

“Jinnah belonged to Los Angeles’ small Ismaili community, Shiite Muslims whose spiritual leader is the Aga Khan. Other Ismailis said he used political connections to raise his status, inviting them to his events.”

“Then-Los Angeles Mayor James Hahn was there, along with then-City Council President Alex Padilla. Both had received backing from Jinnah, a Pakistani businessman positioning himself as a player in Democratic fundraising and organizer of support for Pakistan on Capitol Hill.”

“As captured on a DVD he distributed to guests, Jinnah introduced Clinton, whose political action committee would take in $45,000 through his efforts.”

“By 2004, Jinnah had cemented his party ties. He and his family, who had moved to Bel-Air, personally contributed $122,000 to Democratic candidates and causes that year alone.”

"I'm just recalling how close I've been with the Clinton family and those nights, movies, dinners, lunches in the White House," he said in unsteady English.

“At about the same time, the Justice Department began investigating allegations that Jinnah’s fundraising on behalf of Clinton and others was illegal. He would later be charged with violating federal law by reimbursing employees and associates for contributions made in their names to Clinton’s HillPac and the Friends of Barbara Boxer campaign. Today, having fled the country, Jinnah is on the FBI’s “featured fugitives” list.”

The Assassins – The Grand Master

Bernard Lewis in his book The Assassins: A Radical Sect in Islam tackles and persuasively debunks most of the popular legends about the Assassins, such as the claim that their Grand Master secured the fanatical loyalty of his young followers by drugging them with narcotics and then conveying them for short periods to an artificial "paradise" of his own creation that was staffed by sensuous and accommodating young women. Lewis instead finds that a more straightforward (and plausible) explanation for the willingness of the Assassins' fida' is to offer themselves up for suicidal missions: religious passion and commitment to the Nizari community.

Lewis's elegant account will thus introduce you to an intriguing period of medieval Islamic history, one populated by a collection of memorable figures - the brilliant and ascetic Assassin leader Hassan i-Sabah, the real founder of the Order; the "Old Man of the Mountain," Sinan, who commanded the Order's Syrian branch during the most critical years of the Crusades; Saladin, who was at different times both a target and an ally of the Assassins; Hulegu, the grandson of Genghis Khan, who finally succeeded where the Seljuks had failed, rooting out the Order from its mountaintop fortresses and then ordering mass exterminations of its communicants; and last but not least, Marco Polo, to whose vivid tales can be ascribed much of the lingering fascination that continues to surround the Assassins.

Libya Promotes the Establishment of a Second Shi'ite Fatimid State in North Africa

On March 30, 2007, Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi said that it was a mistake to believe that Christianity was a universal faith alongside Islam according to the Reuters correspondent Salah Sarrar writing from AGADEZ, Niger. See: Gaddafi says only Islam a universal religion.

It should be added that on April 19, 2007 “Turkey's tiny Christian minority is under attack. In the latest spate of violence, persons unknown tied up three people at a publishing house that distributes Bibles in Turkey then slit their throats on the same day that the so-called "multimedia manifesto" of Virginia Tech mass murderer Cho Seung Hui was televised with the 23-year-old Virginia student staring into the camera and spewing anti-Christian rhetoric.” See: Article by Judi McLeod on Canada Free Press -- Christians slaughtered in Muslim-dominated Turkey.

Quoting Gaddafi: "There are serious mistakes -- among them the one saying that Jesus came as a messenger for other people other than the sons of Israel," he told a mass prayer meeting in Niger.”

"Christianity is not a faith for people in Africa, Asia, Europe and the Americas. Other people who are not sons of Israel have nothing to do with that religion," he said at the prayer meeting, held to mark the birth of the prophet Mohammed.

Gaddafi, who is seeking to expand his influence in Africa, said his arguments came from the Qur’an. He led similar prayers last year in Mali.

On March 31, 2007, Libyan leader Mu'ammar Qaddafi called, in a speech in Niger to Tuareg tribal leaders, for the establishment of a second Shi'ite Fatimid state in North Africa, after the model of the 10th-13th century empire that ruled North Africa, Egypt, and parts of the Fertile Crescent. In his speech, Qaddafi denounced the division of Muslims into Sunni and Shi'ite as a colonialist plot, and rebuked the Arab League members for "hating Iran" according to the article In Overture to Iran, Qaddafi Declares North Africa Shi'ite and Calls for Establishment of New Fatimid State by MEMRI Special Dispatch Series – No 1535 of April 6, 2007.

The History of the Fatimid State

"The Fatimid state arose in the beginning of the 10th century, and it formed an umbrella over North Africa, and under its banner all of the tribal, denominational, political, and ethnic differences fused, and they all became one single Fatimid identity, which lasted 260 years and extended as far as the Arab East.

Islam has a long history of using terror as a political instrument. The most famous of these was the ‘Fort of the Assassins’ of the founder of the Ismaili order.

Terrorism, by which we mean the threat and use of violence against innocents, has a long tradition in Islam going back to Prophet Muhammad himself according to N.S. Rajaram in the article: Grandmasters Of Terror.

The most famous of the Islamic terrorist organizations was the Nizari Ismailiyun, a Shiite politico-religious sect, founded in 1094 by Hasan-e Sabah. He and his followers captured the hill fortress of Almaut in northern Iran, which became their base of operations. Hasan styled himself Grand Master and went on to set up a network of terrorist strongholds in Iran and Iraq. He had trained assassins, most of whom according to Marco Polo were drug addicts. According to Marco Polo, young boys captured by the Grand Master were turned into addicts by giving them progressively large doses of the drug hashish. This way they were totally dependent on him and would do anything in return for hashish. They came to be known as hashishin, from which get the word ‘assassin.’ So the use of narcotics in terrorism is nothing new.

Some historians doubt Polo’s account, but it is difficult to believe that he made up the whole thing. What is not in doubt, however, is the fact that Hasan-e Sabah and his successor Grand Masters commanded an army of assassins who spread terror among the people in Iran and Iraq. According to the Encyclopedia Britannica, The Grand Master had “a corps of devoted terrorists, and an unknown number of agents in enemy camps and cities, who claimed many victims among the generals and statesmen of the Abbasid caliphate as well as several caliphs.”

The Nizari Ismaliyun or the Order of the Assassins expanded into Syria after its founder’s death. In the 12th century, Rashid ad-Din as-Sinan, famous as the ‘Old Man of the Mountain,’ set himself up as an independent Grand Master of the Assassin Order in the impregnable castle of Masyaf in Syria. For over a century and a half, from 1094 to 1256, these Grandmasters and their assassins spread terror throughout the Middle East. Their end came at the hands of the Mongol warriors of Haleku Khan—the grandson of Chengis Khan. He captured and destroyed assassin strongholds in Iran one by one, and finally Almaut itself in 1256. Two years later, in February 1258, Haleku’s soldiers sacked Baghdad itself and ended the Caliphate by executing the Abbasid Caliph al-Mustasim and his sons. So, the main result of the activities of the Assassins was the end of the Caliphate.

In more recent times, terror was used to gain political ends by Mohammed Ali Jinnah. In 1946, his call for ‘Direct Action’ in support of his demand for Pakistan led to street riots all across North India. The Congress party, which had won the election by promising that it would not allow India to be divided, capitulated and agreed to the Partition of India.

In all this, there is an almost religious belief that terrorism pays. In the Pakistani official manual The Quranic Concept of War by Brigadier Malik, it is explicitly stated: "Terror struck into the hearts of the enemy is not only a means; it is the end in itself. Once a condition of terror into the opponent's heart is obtained, hardly anything is left to be achieved... Terror is not a means of imposing decision upon the enemy; it is the decision we wish to impose upon him.”

One major point to ponder, when thinking about The Quranic Concept of War, is the title itself. The Quran is presumed to be the revealed word of God as spoken through his chosen prophet, Mohammed. According to Malik, the Quran places warfighting doctrine and its theory in a much different category than western thinkers are accustomed to, because it is not a theory of war derived by man, but of God. This is God’s warfighting principles and commandments revealed. Malik’s attempts to distill God’s doctrine for war through the examples of the Prophet. By contrast, the closest that Clausewitz comes to divine presentation is in his discussion of the trinity: the people, the state, and the military. In the Islamic context, the discussion of war is at the level of revealed truth and example, well above theory—God has no need to theorize. Malik notes, “As a complete Code of Life, the Holy Quran gives us a philosophy of war as well. . . . This divine philosophy is an integral part of the total Quranic ideology.” From Parameters, US Army War College Quarterly, Winter 2006-07, pp. 108-27.

The authority for this is the Qur’an (Anfal 8:59-60): “And let not those who disbelieve suppose that they can outstrip (Allah's Purpose). Lo! they cannot escape. Against them make ready your strength to the utmost of your power, including steeds of war, to strike terror into (the hearts of) the enemies, of Allah and your enemies, and others besides, whom ye may not know, but whom Allah doth know. Whatever ye shall spend in the cause of Allah, shall be repaid unto you, and ye shall not be treated unjustly.” (Yusufal)

David J. Jonsson is the author of Clash of Ideologies —The Making of the Christian and Islamic Worlds, Xulon Press 2005. His new book: Islamic Economics and the Final Jihad: The Muslim Brotherhood to the Leftist/Marxist - Islamist Alliance (Salem Communications (May 30, 2006). He received his undergraduate and graduate degrees in physics. He worked for major corporations in the United States and Japan and with multilateral agencies that brought him to more that fifteen countries with significant or majority populations who are Muslim. These exposures provided insight into the basic tenants of Islam as a political, economic and religious system. He became proficient in Islamic law (Shariah) through contract negotiation and personal encounter. David can be reached at: djonsson2000@yahoo.co.uk

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Sunday, April 01, 2007

Global Threats Leading to the Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Takeover

by David J. Jonsson

In order to understand the issues faced by the West it is necessary to review history and look at the many factors that are currently leading to the almost intractable solution to the crisis developing worldwide.

The future enemies of Europe and the United States will be a mutation of current and past foes both domestically and internationally. In confronting these forces, knowledge of their ide­ologies, objectives and determination will make all the difference. The domestic foes may be either sympathizers or via actual operatives. In the period following the downfall of the Soviet Union, this is the first time that favorable conditions have emerged on the side of the Leftist and Islamists around the world to challenge the hegemony of the West.


The USS Nimitz and its support ships will be departing San Diego Monday, April 2, to join the John C. Stennis Strike Group in the Persian Gulf. The nuclear carrier is due to relieve the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower , but military sources in the Gulf believe all three US carriers will stay put if tensions continue to climb or if fighting breaks out involving American, British and Iranian forces. The mighty American armada is further supported by the USS Bataan and USS Boxer strike groups. See: DEBKA File of March 30: US financial sources in Bahrain report American investors in Bahrain advised to pack up business operations and leave.

The Iranian hard-line faction of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Gen. Rahim Safavi, commander of the Revolutionary Guards whose naval wing performed the seizure of the British Sailors have gained the upper hand after British premier Tony Blair’s initial passive, semi-conciliatory response. The escalating row has pushed oil prices higher and hence increased funding to Iran and their alliance – a win for the enemy. The U.N. Security Council agreed to a watered down statement expressing "grave concern" and calling "for an early resolution of this problem, including the release of the 15 personnel. Britain had wanted a tougher stance, but after hours of negotiations, Russia blocked a statement that would have demanded an immediate release of the British crew.

Washington has refused to risk of a full-scale war confrontation with the Revolutionary Guards for the sake of the British sailors. The actions of the Pelosi Democrats in the U.S. Congress actions on Iraq funding has also emboldened the Iranians and King Abdullah of Saudi Arabia making an unprecedented public attack on America, condemning the "foreign occupation" of Iraq by his oldest ally. In the article: Evil Americans, Poor Mullahs: published in Spiegel online March 29, “Forty-eight percent of Germans think the United States is more dangerous than Iran, a new survey shows, with only 31 percent believing the opposite. Germans' fundamental hypocrisy about the US suggests that it's high time for a new bout of re-education…The German political establishment, which will no doubt loudly lament the result of the poll, is largely responsible for this wave of anti-Americanism.” On the Iranian’s wish list is the annihilation of Israel. See also: Will Arab Muslim "Allies" Support the West in a Time of Crisis? by David J. Jonsson

The lack of attention to plan and address the dangers of dependence on imported oil from the Middle East and Venezuela has allowed the transfer of enormous financial reserves to these countries to fund their development for control. Europe’s nightmare is further compounded by the potential for a world natural gas cartel. The Leftist/Marxist — Islamist Alliance through joining together a global cabal of nations for the control of the world’s energy infrastructure, finance, media and transportation assets present a real and current danger to the West.

Russia has effectively created a noose around Europe controlling their import of natural gas. The threat is as equally potent as their nuclear weapons. It is important to recall the events leading to the Euro-Arab Dialog (EAD), Oil Embargos, and European appeasement of the Islamic world following the Yon Kippur War in 1973 which lead to export of Islamization to Europe. See: Islamic Economics and the Final Jihad – The Muslim Brotherhood to the Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance by David J. Jonsson pg. 204-210.

The world’s natural gas exporting countries will gather in Doha on April 9 for a forum that may set the grounds for a new natural gas cartel built on the rules of OPEC. The cartel, which for a start would bring together Russia, Iran, Algeria, Qatar and Venezuela, aims at becoming the most important energy player worldwide. See: Europe's nightmare: A world natural gas cartel.

The most important supporter for such a cartel is Iran, the world’s second largest natural gas producer, which is forced especially by political reasons to create a mechanism of control over the international resources market. Iran and Russia can form an OPEC-like organization because these countries hold some half of the gas reserves in the world; Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was recently quoted as saying.

Without diminishing the threat posed by the near term events in the Middle East, it is important nonetheless to recognize that they are a distraction, a deliberate provocation designed to keep our eyes focused on the wrong enemy. The true threat is and always has been the worldwide communist movement joined by Islamists, spearheaded by Russia, and Communist China. While the Iraq and Iran crises continues, the strategy of the Grand Chess Masters—Russia the bear and China the dragon, along with their pawns the Leftists, Marxists and Islamists, continue to develop and put in place their strategy for the ultimate goal of world domination. See my article: The Grand Chess Masters—The Bear and the Dragon.

We have lived for some years of peace following the “End of the Cold War” and we are now facing the prospect of moving to a disordered world from which the West cannot hide.

All of us would prefer years of repose to years of conflict. But history will not allow it. And so it once again rests with us to do what we have done in the past: it is our duty. We must win and we will win.

Questions That Need to Addressed

  1. What do you the people of Europe and America want our future to be?

  2. What do you leave behind?

  3. Who are the potential enemies?

  4. What are the goals of our enemies?

When we have answered these questions, we can then discuss a strategy to maintain our faith, culture, freedom, liberty and Western Democracy as we know it.

Threats for Consideration

  1. The Conflict of ideologies

  2. Pacifism, Self-hatred, and Complacency

  3. The Increasing Number of Countries with Ballistic Weapons

  4. Nuclear Proliferation

  5. Increasing Military Strength of Russia And China and Now Joined by Middle East Countries and Even The Non-Aligned Nations.

  6. The Rise and Increased Strength Transnational Entities Utilizing Political Action and Potentially Weapons of Mass Destruction

  7. The Rise and Increased Strength Transnational Entities Utilizing Political Action and Potentially Weapons of Mass Destruction

  8. Conflicts Arising Over the Control of Natural Resources – Energy, Raw Materials

  9. The Disordered World Beyond

Conflict of Ideologies

Samuel Huntington wrote the popular book The Clash of Civilizations a few years ago. He spoke of the coming conflict between the West and Islam. As I see it we are now facing an even greater threat with the clash of ideologies. The conflict of ideologies extends beyond the conflicts with Islam and extends to the battles we are facing even within our own culture.

The Clash of Ideologies is often overlooked in both our political conflicts here in America as well as within the Jihadist movement.

The Jihadists drive to instill Islamic law into Muslim society, and ultimately recreate that society under their interpretation of the law, which often translates into an endorsement for violent jihad as practiced by bin Laden and others. Ideology is often overlooked and is considered separate from the strategic and operational aspects of Islamist militancy. The ideology of this movement is similar to, or even worse than, the Nazi ideology, and that it should be dealt accordingly. Therefore, I still believe that one of the primary missions of the international community today is to repeat its experience with Nazism and to deal with this dangerous barbarian culture exactly as it dealt with the Nazi culture. If this does not happen, the near future is liable to bring many events, the consequences of which will be far more severe for all of humanity than the consequences of World War II. See also: The War Against Global Jihadism by Peter Wehner deputy assistant to the President and director of the White House’s Office of Strategic Initiatives.

Now let’s go to the ideological movements in the U.S.

Dinesh D’Souza the Rishwain Fellow at the Hoover Institution commented in the article Pelosi’s crew and Osama bin Laden share common goalThe Pelosi Democrats sometimes appear to be just as eager as Osama bin Laden for President Bush to lose his war on terror. Why do I say this? Because if the Pelosi Democrats were seeking Bush’s success, then their rhetoric and actions now and over the past three years are pretty much incomprehensible. By contrast, if you presume that they want Bush’s war on terror to fail, then their words and behavior make perfect sense. From the point of view of new House Speaker Pelosi and her fellow liberal Democrats, bin Laden today is, well, a small problem…Listen to Pelosi and her colleagues on the left speaking about Bush, however, and it’s clear they regard him as a very big problem.”

“Sen. Robert Byrd compares Bush to Hermann Goering and the Nazis. Hillary Clinton accuses him of “turning back the clock on the 20th century ... systematically weakening the democratic tradition. ... There has never been an administration more intent upon consolidating and abusing power.” Sen. Ted Kennedy charges that “no president in America’s history has done more damage to our country than George W. Bush.””

“Whether it realizes this or not, the Bush administration is facing a kind of liberal-Islamic alliance: a sympathetic relationship that leading leftists in America have with Islamic radicals around the world. I’m not suggesting the two groups actually like each other. Actually, they despise each other. Leftists like Pelosi, Barney Frank and Michael Moore despise bin Laden and his fellow radicals because they are religious fundamentalists who want to impose Islamic [Shariah] holy law. That means goodbye to women’s rights and gay rights and, in all candor, goodbye to people like Pelosi, Frank and Moore. By the same token, Islamic radicals like bin Laden detest the American left because, as they see it, the left is the party of atheism, family breakdown and cultural depravity. The left is in the vanguard of imposing secularism and libertine social values not only in America but also abroad.”

“But the man who threatens the Islamic radicals and the American left even more than either group threatens the other is Bush. Leftists don’t like radical Muslims like bin Laden but they absolutely hate Bush. Why?

Because from the Cultural left’s point of view, bin Laden threatens to impose Shariah in Baghdad but Bush threatens to impose Shariah in Boston. Bin Laden is the far enemy but Bush is the near enemy.”

To quote Dinesh D’Souza in the introduction to his book: THE ENEMY AT HOME:

What they hate is conservative America. [They] are fiercely loyal to the American values that they cherish, and it is in the name of those values that they are ready to take on the Bush administration. The lesson of these examples is that the cultural left is unwilling to fight a serious and sustained battle against Islamic radicalism and fundamentalism because it is fighting a more threatening political battle against American conservatism and American fundamentalism. The left cannot support Bush’s efforts to promote liberal democracy abroad because it is more important for the left to reverse the nation’s conservative tide by defeating Bush and his socially conservatives allies at home. In other words, the left’s war is not against bearded Muslims who wear long robes and carry rifles; it is against pudgy white men who wear suits and carry bibles. While the left is certainly not comfortable with Islamic mullahs, it is vastly more terrified of George Bush, Dick Cheney, Antonin Scalia, James Dobson and Rush Limbaugh.”

See also Michael Medved’s article of March 21 The Essence of Liberalism: Embracing Life’s Losers which described what constitutes the essence of modern liberalism.

Fr. John Malloy, pastor of Saints Peter and Paul Church in San Francisco, penned an “Open letter to Nancy Pelosi,” on February 1, in the letter he commented:

“Nancy, you are fooling yourself and I fear fooling many good Catholics. You are simply not in sync with the Catholic Church. Until you change your non-Catholic positions, you should stop calling yourself Catholic. Your record shows that you support embryonic stem cell research, Planned Parenthood, contraception, family planning funding, allowing minors to have an abortion without parental consent, and are against making it a crime to harm a fetus, etc. etc.”

“Do we not elect politicians to make laws that help people honor their responsibilities, such as protecting life itself? Can politicians not tell someone else not to kill? If you can kill a baby in the womb, Nancy, why not outside of it? Oh wait, you are in favor of partial birth abortion, so-called because the baby sticks out of the “mother” about halfway, while the “doctor” sucks out the baby’s brain. That seems comparable to the choice the Nazis made killing six million Jews.”

“Yes, Nancy, we (together with your pro-life family) would all like it if you were not so vocally pro-choice, i.e. pro-death. Until your choice is in line with Catholic doctrine, please, Nancy, do not receive the Eucharist when you attend Mass.”

Why? From the vantage point of many cultural liberals, Christians are as dangerous as Islamists, and President Bush is no less a threat than Bin Laden.

Dr. Ayman al-Zawahiri Echoes the Mantra of the Cultural Liberals

There was a time after 9/11 when the release of an al-Qaeda videotape would create a major stir among Americans and would be covered by the major news networks. These days, many dismiss the tapes as little more than propaganda.

The voice of Dr. Ayman al-Zawahiri, the number two individual in al-Qaeda, is featured in a new twenty-one minute speech titled: “Palestine is Our Concern and the Concern of Every Muslim”, which was issued by al-Qaeda’s multimedia production arm, as-Sahab, on March 11, 2007.The SITE Institute has some relevant excerpts from the new tape.

In the tape Zawahiri argues “… for physical jihad [and] that American strength is waning and is suffering from defeats in Iraq and Afghanistan… Continuing to build a case against Western moral bankruptcy in its relationship with Muslims, Zawahiri cites hypocrisy in trials involving the International Criminal Court, particularly as it relates to genocide in Bosnia and war crimes in Darfur. He questions: “Who gave these murders the right to appoint judges to interfere in the affairs of Muslims? What right does the Security Council have to interfere in the affairs of Muslims, and set up the courts which acquit this one and condemn that one, when the hands of its criminal members drip with the blood of Muslims in Iraq, Afghanistan, Palestine, Algeria, Chechnya and East Turkistan? How can America refer the case of Darfur to an international court which it itself doesn’t recognize and refuses to be subject to? What sort of tyranny is this world ruled by?”

Zawahiri calls upon Muslims to reject politics and engage in jihad against the enemy. He states: “they must continue their Jihad in Allah’s path until the liberation of every land of Islam invaded by the infidels, from Spain to Iraq, and until the Word of Allah is supreme and the Caliphate returns to protect the sanctuary of Islam and spread its Shariah.”

President Bush’s plea for more patience with the Iraq war on March 19, as House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said the nation has lost confidence in the president’s “failed approach.” Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid added that Democrats won’t give up on efforts to bring an end to the war. Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid and the despicable John Murtha announce to the nation that we are losing the war, and moreover, can’t possibly win it. You really have to hate America and its people to lust after the defeat of your own country. Yet aside from Osama bin Laden and his crews of merciless killers, the people most dedicated to seeing the United States defeated in a battle for the future of the world are the liberal Democrats now feebly trying to run the Congress.

Decades from now, historians will discover that the United States, the West and the international community were being targeted by global ideologi­cal movements which emerged in the 1920s, survived World War II and the Cold War, and carefully chose the timing of its onslaught against democracy.

Pacifism, Self-hatred, and Complacency

If one looks at the military strength of the West compared to Iran, victory would seem to be inevitable, even if Iran acquires nuclear weapons. Iran does not have the military machine that the Axis powers had in World War II, nor the Soviet Union during the cold war. The Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance may be more effective than the earlier totalitarian movements operating individually. They could even win. That’s because, however strong the Western hardware, its software contains some potentially fatal bugs. Three of them – pacifism, self-hatred, and complacency combined with the Oil Weapon could provide needed horsepower to succeed. See also: How the West Could Lose by Daniel Pipes December 26, 2006.

“It’s always amazed me how quickly the American left managed to twist the 9/11 attacks into a club with which to beat their own country. I recall watching the smoke from the towers late in the day, exhausted from stress and emotions I could scarcely identify, and thinking,” They’ll never be able to defile this.” It was the end of the postwar flirtation with apostasy, I thought, the end of political frivolity, the birth of a new kind of patriotism, one annealed by fire, one that would become part of framework of the country, one that would last.” See: Breaking the Hold of Hegemonist Doctrine by J.R. Dunn writing in Real Clear Politics.

“But after what in retrospect appears to be a pitifully short period, they were back, and in force, and they have never retreated since. Contrary to consensus belief, it didn’t begin with Iraq. It began with Afghanistan, starting only a month after the attacks, and built up from there. The Leftists Michael Moore, the Dixie Chicks, Cindy Sheehan, Cynthia McKinney, Durbin, Murtha... The list could go on for page after page, all of them speaking in identical terms, all repeating the same code words - Halliburton, blood for oil, Abu Ghraib - all tearing into their country in a fashion unseen even in the Vietnam era.”


Dennis Prager writing on Townhall on July 6, 2004 Michael Moore and the Problem of American (And Jewish) Self-Hatred commented:

Many on the American Left loathe America (they love the Constitution and their vision of what America could be) and have contempt for the average American. That is why most of the Left has such admiration for Michael Moore… Elsewhere, he speaks of America as bringing immeasurable misery and sadness to the world and as essentially deserving attacks on it.

I would add that the supporters with the three fatal bugs have joined forces in the Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance and further they have joined in the supporting the apocalyptic ideologies. See: Iraq, Iran, Global Warming and The Apocalypse by David J. Jonsson. Both the Green and Islamist movements seek social transformation of society. The Islamist in seeking to establish the “Islamic kingdom of God on earth,” not necessary though military might but through gradual Islamization including economic means as described in the paper: Islamic Economics and Shariah Law: A Plan for World Domination by David J. Jonsson.

The Increasing Number of Countries with Ballistic Weapons

Iran’s push for nuclear weapons is accompanied by its development of ICBMs. The threat of a nuclear armed Iran is no longer just a problem for Israel and their Arab neighbors. Iran’s development of ICBMs that could reach Washington DC brings the threat home with added urgency. The nuclear Iran is not just a local issue.

Iran has just completed conversion of a powerful ballistic missile into a satellite launch vehicle. But the 25-30-ton rocket could be a wolf in sheep’s clothing to test longer-range Iranian missile technologies. The Bush administration will likely view the vehicle as a rogue rocket developed in a cabal of Iran and North Korea. The new launcher has recently been assembled and “will lift off soon,” says Alaoddin Boroujerdi, chairman of the Iranian parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Commission.” Said Aviation Week in their article of January 17, 2007, Shia Islamic satellite set for liftoff on ICBM cloaked as space booster,. And Iran did it!

An Iranian ICBM with a range of nearly 2,500 miles could reach as far west as Central Europe and well into Russia, China and India. The U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency has told Congress that Iran in fact may be capable of developing a 3,000-mi.-range ICBMs by 2015.

It is also troubling that Russia has provided $700 million in surface-to-air missiles to Iran and eight new aerial refueling tankers to China, according to a new Congressional study. A major strength of the U.S. military establishment is our ability to refuel our aircraft in flight and ships at sea. Russia is also providing weapons to Venezuela. The sales to improve Iran’s air-defense system are particularly troubling to the United States because they would complicate the task of Pentagon planners should the president order air strikes on Iran’s nuclear weapons facilities. The Russian weapon sales to improve Venezuela’s air-defense system are also troubling.

The Role of the Leftist

We can talk about ICBMs and all the other weapons being provided by Russia and China around the world. At the bottom line, the involvement of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and the Iranian’s close relations with Chavez in Venezuela, his relations with Cuba and Nicaragua, places the threat just 90 miles from the shores of America. And, this relationship is supported by the Leftists with the likes of Chindy Shaheen and the anti-war activist organizations including Code Pink and United for Peace and Justice, and radical environmental organizations including Oxfam, Global Exchange and the RainForest Action Network. These groups have intent of destroying America from the inside.

As Americans enjoyed their Independence Day fireworks last year, Lieutenant General Trey Obering, the Pentagon’s Missile Defense Agency chief, was watching the pyrotechnics display that Kim Jong-il was providing thousands of miles away in North Korea.

The air force general thought the launch by Pyongyang of its previously untested Taepodong-2, an intercontinental ballistic missile with the potential to reach the US, could even provide the first live use of America’s ballistic missile defense system.

We had turned the system on before but it was the first time that there was a credible threat,” says Gen Obering. The North Korean authorities “had put a missile out there that we felt was capable of reaching the U.S., and they were not telling us what was on top of that missile”.

The Taepodong-2 failed just seconds into flight. But eight months on, what refuses to die down is the controversy over the Pentagon program itself, in particular its roll-out to Eastern Europe. Despite enduring doubts about the scale of both the threat facing the US and the efficacy of missile defense, Washington’s wish to place interceptors for the system in Poland and radars in the Czech Republic has provoked a furious response from Russia and signs of cracks within NATO.

While the US argues that missile defense is essential to deal with the 21st century prospect of rogue states - such as North Korea or Iran - becoming armed with weapons of mass destruction, Moscow protests that the Pentagon’s scheme amounts to a remilitarization of Europe.

The Chinese Strategy for Sea-lane Denial

The Chinese strategy is control of space and sea-lanes. Therefore, it requires a sea-lane-denial strategy.

In January 2007, Aviation Week & Space Technology magazine, citing U.S. intelligence sources, has reported that China has successfully tested an anti-satellite (ASAT) system. According to the report, which U.S. officials later confirmed, a satellite was launched, intercepted and destroyed a Feng Yun 1C weather satellite, also belonging to China, on Jan. 11. The weather satellite was launched into polar orbit in 1999. The precise means of destruction is not clear, but it appears to have been a kinetic strike (meaning physical intercept, not laser) that broke the satellite into many pieces. The U.S. government wants to reveal as much information as possible about this event in order to show its concern -- and to show the Chinese how closely the Americans are monitoring their actions. This event opens up the totally new front to defend against. It is of the utmost concern to the United States military establishment. It is huge!

The Jan. 17 magazine report was not the first U.S. intelligence leak about Chinese ASAT capabilities. In August 2006, the usual sources reported China had directed lasers against U.S. satellites. It has become clear that China is in the process of acquiring the technology needed to destroy or blind satellites in at least low-Earth orbit, which is where intelligence-gathering satellites tend to operate.

Nuclear Proliferation

What is difficult to understand is that after the severe danger of nuclear war during the long decades of the Cold War, we are still only 30-minutes or less from nuclear incineration. The reason is that included among the 27,000 nuclear weapons stockpiled in the world, thousands of U.S. and Russian strategic nuclear warheads are on hair-trigger alert. The RAND Corporation reports these weapons could be launched in a few minutes notice destroying both countries in an hour.

Russia’s defense minister Sergei Ivanov on February 7 laid out a plan that aims to surpass Soviet-era military might. A rising tide of oil revenues has enabled Russia to boost defense spending following a squeeze on the military in the 1990s. Sergei Ivanov’s statements appeared aimed at raising his profile at home ahead of the 2008 election in which he is widely seen as a potential contender to succeed President Vladimir Putin. But they also seemed to reflect a growing chill in Russian-U.S. relations and the Kremlin’s concern about U.S. missile defense plans. See also the article: The Grand Chess Masters—The Bear and the Dragon by David J. Jonsson.

While Moscow has confronted fundamentalists at home head-on, it nonetheless pursues a policy of support for Iran and Syria—and, by extension, Hezbollah. In doing so, Russia’s foreign policy has become antithetical to its own national security.

The risk nuclear miscalculations is further increased by the expansion of the number of nuclear powers with the means available for delivery and transnational organizations such as Al Qaeda and Hezbollah acquiring nuclear materials.

Although some of the potential new entrants into the Nuclear Club are considered friendly, future regime change may make them unstable and future foes as occurred in Iran. Such a doomsday scenario could result from an accidental missile launch, an early warning system error, terrorism, miscalculation or simply desire for world domination.

The threat still posed by these stockpiles and the new entrants into the Nuclear Club, particularly in the wake of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, is so dire that Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists (BAS)--the keepers of the Doomsday Clock cited the issue as among their chief concerns last month when they moved the iconic measure of global security forward from seven to five minutes before midnight. The increasing danger is the proliferation of nuclear weapons states, now numbering eight or nine, along with the prospect of others joining this macabre club in the near future.

Nuclear arms races might emerge in regions other than the Middle East as well. Nuclear Armed Countries are arising in Asia. The Asian countries are becoming more nationalistic. Asia has many countries with major territorial or political disputes, including five with nuclear weapons (China, India, North Korea, Pakistan, and Russia). Japan and Taiwan could join the list. Most of these countries would have the resources to increase the size and quality of their nuclear arsenals indefinitely if they so chose. They also seem to be nationalist in a way that western European countries no longer are: they are particularly mindful of their sovereignty, relatively uninterested in international organizations, sensitive to slights, and wary about changes in the regional balance of military power.

Many of the components of the worldwide war with jihadism are con­centrated in Pakistan. So far, Paki­stan’s radical Islamists have been able to block their government from taking back control of the country’s western tribal areas and uprooting the funda­mentalist organizations in its east. But potentially even more dangerous is the possibility that jihadists could take control of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal. In this context, the most seri­ous threat to the United States would be the collapse of the Musharraf gov­ernment and the Pakistani military at the hands of radical Islamists. Should this happen, the U.S. would be under direct nuclear threat from a nuclear-armed al-Qaeda regime—one that would have tremendous control over many other Muslim countries. See: The Truth About Talibanistan, Time August 2, 2006.

Asia might well be, “ripe for rivalry” -- including nuclear rivalry if the United States were to stop serving as guarantor of the current order. In that case, the region would raise problems similar to those that would be posed by a nuclear Middle East.

If and when the U.S. is able to lift its attention from the Middle East, it will be finding itself a much better placed and more formidable China.

Six states -- Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates, according to the International Atomic Energy Agency are planning to go nuclear. In all six cases, they are talking only of developing civilian nuclear energy programs, as international law permits that. But no one doubts that this sudden interest in nuclear power has military implications.

Mark Fitzpatrick of the International Institute for Strategic Studies assumes these states want a “security hedge” vis-à-vis Tehran. “If Iran was not on the path to a nuclear weapons capability you would probably not see this sudden rush.” It also marks an abrupt reversal among states which until very recently had called for a nuclear-free Middle East, and for Israel to disarm.

Up to 30 more countries may develop atomic weapons if the proliferation of nuclear technology is not stopped, the IAEA—the UN’s nuclear watchdog has warned.

On February 6, 2007 according to the Burma Digest, Burma: A Potential Nuclear State (part-2) , the Foreign Minister of Burma claimed his support of nuclear proliferation of Iran. This is not the first time that the military regime of Burma openly mentions about its favor in nuclear technologies. It has announced to join the nuclear club since 2002.

Although its claims are based on civil use and medical research facilities, its actions to seek nuclear technologies and possible nuclear weapons are more obvious by means of sending the military engineers to Russia to study nuclear science and establishing the secret nuclear plants inside Burma.

Increasing Military Strength of Russia and China And Now Joined by Middle East Countries and Even The Non-Aligned Nations.

While we have addressed the buildup of weapons and military strength in the usually identified countries, the suppliers such as China, Russia, North Korea and Iran are providing weapons to the Non-Aligned Nations. Of particular importance to the United States is the buildup in Venezuela and Cuba.

While the Iraq crisis continues, the strategy of the Grand Chess Masters—Russia the bear and China the dragon along with their pawns the Leftists, Marxists and Islamists continue to develop and put in place their strategy for the ultimate goal of world domination.

“Ever since the continents started interacting politically, some 500 years ago, Eurasia has been the center of world power…For America, the chief geopolitical prize is Eurasia—and America’s global primacy is directly dependent on how long and how effectively its preponderance on the Eurasian continent is sustained….How America manages Eurasia is critical. Eurasia is the globe’s largest continent and is geopolitically axial. A power that dominates Eurasia would control two of the world’s three most advanced and economically productive regions. A mere glance at the map also suggests that control over Eurasia would almost automatically entail Africa’s subordination, rendering the Western Hemisphere and Oceania geopolitically peripheral to the world’s central continent. About 75% of the world’s people live in Eurasia and most of the world’s physical wealth as well, both in its enterprises and underneath its soil. Eurasia accounts for 60% of the world’s GNP and about three-fourths of the world’s known energy resources.”

The U.S. faces potential conflict in Eurasia, the Mediterranean/Iraq/Iran, and the Horn of Africa and also in the Pacific with events in North Korea. With the backing of Venezuela and Cuba by Iran/China/Russia, conflicts could also erupt in the Caribbean.

Lionel Beehner, Staff Writer Staff Writer for the Council on Foreign Affairs on November 1, 2006 wrote in the article Russia-Iran Arms Trade: “Last year, Russia surpassed the United States as the developing world’s leader in arms deals, according to a new report by the Congressional Research Service (CRS). But Russia has increased military shipments to anti-U.S. states like Iran and Venezuela, not to mention potential adversaries like China, which concerns U.S. policymakers far more. Experts say Iran—as well as Syria—may have transferred some of these small arms to groups like Hezbollah and Hamas. Also, Russia’s arms relationship with Iran, the thinking goes, further complicates efforts to impose punitive sanctions against Tehran for its alleged pursuit of nuclear weapons.”

Russia, in addition to control of gas shipments to Europe from Central Asia, has also signed on to supplying weapons and security alignment with the Collective Security Treaty Organization, (CSTO). CSTO countries include Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Belarus and Armenia. CSTO has also formed a military cooperation agreement with India. India and Russia have signed on August 20th, a far-reaching military cooperation agreement. Although not officially directed against the U.S., the purpose of this agreement is understood. The two countries have “agreed to focus on joint war games in services-to-services interaction, joint development of new weapons systems and training of Indian military personnel”, (Press Trust of India, 21 August 2006). Military-technical cooperation between Russia and India is worth $1.5 billion a year. The MiG Corporation is also taking part in an Indian tender to deliver 126 fighter aircraft valued at $6.5 billion. See also the article in Global Politician: Nuclear Proliferation — Options In A Perfect Storm by David J. Jonsson.

Beijing plans to build three aircraft carriers by 2016 and is putting the finishing touches with Rosoboronexport for the supply of 12 more SU-33s fighters, Ria Novosti reported. The contract can grow to 48 aircraft that would increase costs up to 2.5 billion dollars.

This agreement would be the second largest signed by Moscow in the field of military technical cooperation only surpassed by the authorized assembly, under license, of SU-30MKI fighters with India.

The Rise and Increased Strength Transnational Entities Utilizing Political Action and Potentially Weapons of Mass Destruction

Transnational entities such as al-Qaeda, Hezbollah, Hamas, the Muslim Brotherhood, the International Solidarity Movement (ISM) and their related organizations are gaining strength worldwide. They may achieve their goal of ultimately obtaining and ultimately using WMD. In some cases they are intimately linked with the Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance. The mode of operation is to use terrorism, threats of terrorism, political action and participation in the “democratic process”. Their goal is to create a totalitarian new world order. The actions are occurring worldwide as seen in the elections in Lebanon, Palestine, Egypt, Pakistan, Bangladesh, and even in Spain.

Transnational Jihadist groups are operating worldwide. An example of such an organization is Hizb-ut-Tahrir -- Literally translated as “the party of liberation.” Reference: Critical Mass: Hiib rrt-Tahrir al-Islami and the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan by Don Rassler at Columbia University December 3, 2006.

HT aims to reestablish an Islamic caliphate, which would be modeled after the unified Islamic State established by the Prophet during the seventh century. The method, “the only way to reestablish the kind of Islamic society promulgated by the Prophet,” al-Nabhani argued, “was to liberate Muslims from the thoughts, systems, and laws of kufr (nonbelievers) and replace the Judeo-Christian-dominated nation-state-system with a borderless ummah [community of believers] ruled by a new caliph.” [Creating the Islamic kingdom of God on Earth.]

Founded as a more nationalistic alternative to the Muslim Brotherhood by a Palestinian judge named Sheikh Taquiddin al-Nabhani the group defines itself as a nonviolent political organization, but allegedly “denounces all existing political systems."

The party’s general goal is to "resume the Islamic Way of Life and convey the Islamic call to the world. On a more specific level, however, HT aims to reestablish an Islamic caliphate, which would be modeled after the unified Islamic State established by the Prophet during the seventh century. The method, "the only way to reestablish the kind of Islamic society promulgated by the Prophet," al-Nabhani argued, "was to liberate Muslims from the thoughts, systems, and laws of kufr (nonbelievers) and replace the Judeo-Christian-dominated nation-state-system with a borderless ummah [community of believers] ruled by a new caliph.” See also: Caliphatism - Establishing the “Islamic Kingdom of God on Earth by David J. Jonsson.

Steps for the Destruction of the Existing International Order

Although authors differ about HT’s approach and commitment to a gradual and nonviolent process, it is clear that HT is dedicated to a radical goal: the destruction of the existing international order. In order to obtain their goal, the establishment of the caliphate and eventual Muslin rule, the leaders of HT believe they must follow three precise steps:

  • First, the group must build the strength of the party by “cultivating individuals” through recruitment, propaganda and the establishment of study groups.

  • Secondly, through more robust recruitment and encouraging “the ummah to embrace Islam” the group aims to covertly infiltrate government institutions and increase their efforts to create tension between society and those in power.

  • The third and final step is the establishment of an Islamic state based on Shuria, which would unite the Islamic world, enabling it to spark a worldwide Islamic revolution.

The London website about Hizb ut-Tahrir is < http://www.hizb.org.uk/hizb/ht-britain.html>. On March 19, HTB launches Iraq report-exposing myths of occupation & charting new way forward for the Middle East. The report is being widely circulated amongst thinkers, academics, journalists, columnists, politicians and think tanks.

“The report also argues that “any discussion of withdrawal from only Iraq will not serve to end the legacy of Western colonialism in the Middle East” because “for the long term stability of the region it is essential that foreign troops withdraw from the entire region, for their meddling has led to almost a century of tyrannical rule, brutal occupation and instability.””

“The report advocates the withdrawal of all foreign military personnel in Iraq and the wider region, an end to the West’s support of dictatorial leaders in the region, allowing the Muslim world to decide its own political destiny without interference, freeing the region’s vast energy reserves from the control of monarchies and multinationals, recognition of the illegality of the occupation of Palestine and an end to double standards over nuclear power in the region.”

“In the light of this report, Hizb ut-Tahrir Britain and the Muslims of Britain call for the return of the Islamic Caliphate which will end the cycle of foreign occupation, dictatorship and war which has ravaged a region that previously prospered for over a thousand years under the stability of Islamic governance.”

According to Heritage Foundation in the article: Hizb ut-Tahrir: An Emerging Threat to U.S. Interests in Central Asia by Ariel Cohen, Hizb-ut-Tahrir is a “totalitarian organization, akin to a disciplined Marxist-Leninist party, in which internal dissent is neither encouraged nor tolerated.” A candidate member undergoes two years of indoctrination, becoming a full member only after he “melts with the Party.” Members belong to compartmentalized cells and know the identities of only the others in that cell. “When a critical mass of cells is achieved,” writes Cohen, “according to its doctrine, Hizb may move to take over a country in preparation for the establishment of the Caliphate.”

According to Zeyno Baran in the article Fighting the War of Ideas from the Foreign Affairs Journal November/December 2005:

HT is not itself a terrorist organization, but it can usefully be thought of as a conveyor belt for terrorists. It indoctrinates individuals with radical ideology, priming them for recruitment by more extreme organizations where they can take part in actual operations. By combining fascist rhetoric, Leninist strategy, and Western sloganeering with Wahhabi theology, HT has made itself into a very real and potent threat that is extremely difficult for liberal societies to counter.

“The original Columbus Free Press grew out of the anti-war movement on the campus of Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio in October 1970. Inspired by the activism against the Vietnam War and the senseless killings at Kent State, the underground paper was published for a 25-year tumultuous history (1970-1995). Like other underground alternative publications around the country, the Free Press went through many changes through the years. It served as the voice of the students in the early 70’s, reporting on social justice issues such as sexism, racism, peace activism, corporate misdeeds, politics and the counterculture. Constantly struggling to survive on a shoestring budget, it encountered opposition from without and within. Internal ideological struggles were compounded, for example, when police arrested four of the editors in 1971 for “inciting riot.””

On March 7, 2005 they published an article Senator Byrd is correct to equate Bush with Hitler.

“Bush now holds some 2.2 million prisoners in the US gulag, the world’s biggest prison population since the Nazis both by absolute number and by percentage of population. At least 800,000 Americans are held for victimless “drug” crimes, including marijuana. Thousands die each year from torture, rape, suicide and treatable disease. The system is designed to remove from the political process and, in many cases, exterminate people of color, alternative life style and political dissidence.”

“Is this worthy of the Nazi label?”

“Fascism has long been clearly and simply defined as corporate control of the state, with strong totalitarian, militaristic, anti-feminist and anti-gay characteristics.”

“Both Mussolini’s Fascists and Hitler’s Nazis used acts of terror and alleged terror to grab absolute power. Ranting at Bolshevism as the GOP now does against Islam, the Nazis used the burning of the Reichstag much as the GOP has capitalized on the terror attacks of September 11.”

Senator Byrd’s invocation of the Nazis to describe the Bush regime may be considered impolitic. But it’s folly to ignore the important parallels.

“By all accounts American democracy is hanging by a thin thread which Bush/Rove is laboring mightily to cut.”

“Sen. Robert Byrd is a conservative, uniquely learned man. When he equates Bush with Hitler, he speaks with great sadness and scholarship -- and must be heeded.”

It is important to look at some of strikingly similar with banners displayed in the March along Edgware road to US Embassy, London, on 19 August 2006. See the photographs displayed in the article: HIZB UT-TAHRIR PROTEST AGAINST AMERICA <http://moonbatmedia.com/hizb_ut_tahrir_190806/> Here we see the banners also proclaiming “Bush is the real Fascist”, “America – Stop Your Warmongering”, Neo-Conservatives are the New Fascists”, “and Stop Israel’s Terrorism” and “Cut all ties with Israel.”

The Rhetoric For Political Gain Has Global Implications.

Just as the Hizb ut-Tahrir report advocates the withdrawal of all foreign military personnel in Iraq the US House of Representatives voted for the first time Friday to link funding for the Iraq war to a timeline for withdrawing combat troops by August 21, 2008, defying a veto threat from President George W. Bush. Are not these events are creating tension between society and those in power as called for in the strategy above?

On March 23, 2007 House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif said “The American people have lost faith in the president’s conduct of this war,” “The American people see the reality of the war, the president does not.” “It’s a historic moment for our party and a historic moment for our country,” “If you want peace, stop funding this war,” said Rep. Dennis Kucinich, D-Ohio. Democratic Representative John Murtha, a passionate advocate of a US withdrawal from Iraq, said: “We are going to bring those troops home; we are going to start changing the direction of this great country.”

Conflicts Arising Over the Control of Natural Resources – Energy, Raw Materials

Conflicts over the control of natural resources will be a driving force in the world geopolitical events in the future. The major powers will seek control at any cost. The disordered spaces in the world are where states have lost the monopoly of force needed to sustain order and the rule of law, where poverty and disease are endemic, centers of extremism, insurgency and political violence, those regions with young and mobile populations and finally in the series delineates rich concentrations of natural resources - oil, minerals and the rest.

.And, yes, these troubled parts of the world are places upon which we, the inhabitants of ordered and prosperous countries depend for the raw materials to feed our economies. Unsurprisingly, the Middle East and Africa loom large.

The leading players seeking the natural resources include the United States, Europe, Russia, China and India. The events will result in potential wars and at the very least destabilizing the world.

The U.S. and Europe are reliant on imported energy and critical raw materials; we are living in a time of interdependence. The reliance on interdependence requires the defense of potential suppliers and most importantly the delivery systems and the transport lanes – sea lanes. The cost in monetary terms is huge, but the potential in terms of life may be even greater.

The companies seeking foreign supply of new sources are major investors in the countries that are potentially the greatest threat to the West, such as Iran. These investments will result in the countries using these funds to build nuclear weapons potentially to cause a nuclear holocaust.

We commonly only think in terms of oil and fuel for automobiles, but we are also importing energy in the form of the materials we commonly use such as plastics, aluminum, copper, steel and most importantly fertilizer. The U.S. currently imports over 50% of their ammonia—urea used to grow our crops. Increasing the production of ethanol jeopardizes both our energy and our food supply.

The U.S. also needs materials and metals, such as rare earths from China and titanium from Russia to maintain our weapons program. Unless we have plans for our security, we are at risk for defense. Shutting down a mining operation for Rare Earth in the U.S. because of an environmental concern can be just as devastating to security as the transfer of nuclear material to a rogue nation.

Similar conditions also exist for other basic materials.

The Disordered World Beyond

For 60 years the transatlantic alliance had been the pillar of European security, the bridge uniting the two great centers of Western civilization. Four years ago this month it nearly collapsed amid the diplomatic traumas that preceded the Iraq war. Diplomats on both sides say, and many even seem to believe, that the transatlantic partnership has been brought back from the brink, and is once again playing a central role in global security. They speak of progress in transatlantic efforts to defuse Iran’s nuclear program, to bring a lasting peace to Lebanon, and to move the Balkans steadily toward a lasting stability.

Last month in Seville, Spain, NATO’s defense ministers met to discuss an urgent request to commit more troops and equipment to the war in Afghanistan from General Bantz Craddock. The ministers heard a sobering assessment from Gen. Craddock of the stalled progress in Afghanistan and of the probability of a spring offensive against the United States and NATO forces by the Taliban and al Qaeda. The response, according to one official present, was negative. “They don’t share our view of the scale and nature of the threat that Afghanistan represents,” says a U.S. official who was there. This, remember, is not Iraq, which many European governments opposed, but Afghanistan, “the good war,” the fight against the people who gave us September 11. This is the struggle that was prefigured when the NATO governments invoked for the first time in the alliance’s history Article V, the collective defense clause, pledging to do what was necessary to defend their allies.

This gulf applies not just to Afghanistan. Consider European responses to the deteriorating situation in Russia. Last month Vladimir Putin marched into the very cockpit of the transatlantic alliance, the annual Munich Security Conference, and flipped a frosty Moscow finger at the assembled Europeans and Americans.

He attacked the United States as a bullying unilateralist that was tearing up international law. But just as the Europeans in the audience were nodding in approval, the Russian president turned on them too. He denounced NATO’s expansion to Russia’s borders and even found time to insult the Organization for Security Cooperation in Europe, the stately body that has been aiding and promoting democratic reform in the former Soviet bloc, as a “vulgar” institution. The carefully structured world imagined by the west’s leaders after the collapse of communism has proved a mirage.

The initial reaction, even from Europeans, was hostile. But on reflection, they seemed to decide that a supportive cringe would be more appropriate. A senior German official commented that there was much in what Putin had said that would resonate in Europe. The Süddeutsche Zeitung, a supposedly sober newspaper, blamed the United States for the new Cold War atmosphere, saying it had created “the opportunity for Putin to set himself up as the powerful voice of the growing number of countries and peoples who are stricken by doubt in the wisdom of Western policies.” This, sadly, for all the continent’s boastful claims of a new transatlantic partnership, is the true voice of modern Europe: a Europe that refuses to fight a war, to which it has pledged itself, against terrorists in Afghanistan; a Europe that declines to stand up to a Russian president who condemns its efforts to spread democracy even as his KGB friends eliminate their critics in European capitals. The transatlantic partnership may be back together again. Whether it stands for anything is much less clear.

Later the German government hosted celebrations to mark the 50th anniversary of the Treaty of Rome, the covenant that marked the birth of the institution that became the European Union. Chancellor Merkel and her 26 fellow heads of government used the occasion to launch the Berlin Declaration, a document intended to serve as the signposts for the future evolution of the E.U. The final details of the declaration are still under negotiation but the outlines are clear.

After the usual self-congratulatory preamble paying stirring tribute to the E.U.’s role in preserving the peace and generating prosperity over the last 50 years, the document will address the challenges of the future. What challenges are these? Terrorism, perhaps nuclear proliferation, the spread in Europe and the Middle East of Islamist ideology? Wrong on all counts.

On its 50th birthday, the E.U. will commit itself to fighting global warming, the economic dislocations caused by globalization and, most courageous of all, the institutional shortcomings of the union itself. This last means, by the way, at least in the German view, a resurrection of the European constitution, the blueprint for a nascent federal European state that was, you may remember, roundly rejected by voters in France and the Netherlands two years ago. Europeans will try hard to continue believing that they can huddle in their comfortable corner against the storms.

Opinion polls show that an overwhelming majority of European voters and a growing percentage in Americas believe “peace” comes before all else. Nothing wrong with that -- except when the inference is that Europe’s eternal role is that of the concerned bystander; and sometimes even Americans are not even overly concerned. Thoughtful policymakers have been struck, and dismayed, by apparent public indifference towards the plight of Darfur. As depressing, is a visible weakening in the resolve of European governments and Americans to defeat the ‘defeat of forces’ threatening to destroy Western civilization.

The Islamic radicals we are fighting know they are far less wealthy and far less advanced in technology and weaponry than the United States. But they believe they will prevail in this war, as they did against the Soviet Union in Afghanistan, by wearing us down and breaking our will. They believe America and the West are “the weak horse” -- soft, irresolute, and decadent. Al-Zarqawi once said Americans are the most cowardly of God’s creatures,”

The war against global jihadism will be long, and we will experience success and setbacks along the way. The temptation of the West will be to grow impatient and, in the face of this long struggle, to grow weary. Some will demand a quick victory and, absent that, they will want to withdraw from the battle. But this is a war from which we cannot withdraw. As we saw on September 11th, there are no safe harbors in which to hide. Our enemies have declared war on us, and their hatreds cannot be sated. We will either defeat them, or they will come after us with the unsheathed sword.

They will discover otherwise. The west’s interests as it navigates this rugged geopolitical terrain are as they have ever been: to export security, prosperity and, yes, liberal democratic values beyond its frontiers. On this, moral impulse, and hard headed interests are one. As it happens, the rising powers will discover over time that they have the same stake in an ordered world. But getting from here to there will not be an easy journey.



With every passing year following the events of 9/11 the rise of Leftist/Marxist-Islamist Alliance has increased global instability. By the beginning of 2006, nearly all the combustible ingredients–far bigger in scale than those leading to World Wars I and II and the Gulf Wars of 1991 or 2003–were in place.”

All of us would prefer years of repose to years of conflict. But history will not allow it. And so it once again rests with us to do what we have done in the past: it is our duty. We must win and we will win.

David J. Jonsson is the author of Clash of Ideologies –The Making of the Christian and Islamic Worlds, Xulon Press 2005. His new book: Islamic Economics and the Final Jihad: The Muslim Brotherhood to the Leftist/Marxist - Islamist Alliance (Salem Communications (May 30, 2006). He received his undergraduate and graduate degrees in physics. He worked for major corporations in the United States and Japan and with multilateral agencies that brought him to more that fifteen countries with significant or majority populations who are Muslim. These exposures provided insight into the basic tenants of Islam as a political, economic and religious system. He became proficient in Islamic law (Shariah) through contract negotiation and personal encounter. David can be reached at: djonsson2000@yahoo.co.uk

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Saturday, March 31, 2007

Will Arab Muslim “Allies” Support the West in a Time of Crisis?

by David J. Jonsson

Iran captured 15 British military personnel last week, accusing them of illegally entering Iranian waters, and British Prime Minister Tony Blair has warned that the dispute would enter a “different phase” unless they are freed. Iran has denounced the U.N. resolution as illegal and has vowed not to suspend its nuclear work, denying Western accusations it is seeking to develop nuclear weapons. Putin, according to the Kremlin, said the recent U.N. Security Council vote on a new resolution expanding sanctions on Iran over its nuclear program had sent Iran a "serious political signal of the need for cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency and the international community." Putin also said the resolution "unambiguously rules out the use of force." British embassy spokesman said Wednesday that a freeze of relations with Iran will include bilateral formal meetings and all the state-sponsored commercial activities.

Two US, one French aircraft carrier in Gulf region- The United States and France have three aircraft carrier battle groups in the Gulf region, U.S. and French naval sources said on Monday. The USS Stennis carrier strike group arrived in late February with an additional 6,500 sailors to join the USS Dwight D Eisenhower carrier strike group. The West needs access to their ports and airbases in the Gulf to execute operations. This raises the questions:

  • Can the West count on Gulf countries to support the West in a time of crisis?

  • Should the West provide weapons to these states?

  • Should the state owned companies be trusted to own critical industries in the West?

  • Can the West count on their military being able to use the ports, shipping and airports owned by these countries.

In my article Dubai Ports – Strategic Implications I wrote; “The goal of Islamists, following in the footsteps of Muhammad is to create the Islamic kingdom of God on earth. The strategy to obtain this goal in our lifetime includes the control of the world's energy infrastructure, the transportation systems, currency, media, elections, immigration and education. The control of the port facilities is hence a critical element. Foreign ownership, in and of itself, although important, is not as significant as the strategy and goals of the owner. In the case of DP World ownership, my hypothesis is that their plan for utilization of these strategic infrastructure resources is to accomplish the ultimate goal of world domination of the sea borne transportation infrastructure. In similar moves, a newly-formed Dubai consortium unveiled plans to bid for the development and operation of airports in China, India and the Middle East, a market they estimate to be worth $400bln. The consortium comprises DAE Airports and six other top companies in the United Arab Emirates.

After buying sensitive access to world and American ports last year, Sheik Mo, the prime minister and vice president of the United Arab Emirates and the ruler of Dubai — also known as the man who will never be turned down by an American president — now is planning to get into the American defense-related aerospace industry and airports.

According to Bloomberg: Dubai Plans to Buy Two Aviation Firms From Carlyle Dubai, the Gulf sheikhdom forced to sell its U.S. port assets last year on security fears, aims to buy two U.S. aircraft repair companies operating in the U.S. and is wooing American lawmakers to avoid a political backlash.”

State-owned Dubai Aerospace Enterprise plans to buy Landmark Aviation and Standard Aero Holdings Inc. from the Carlyle Group in “a couple of weeks,” Chief Executive Officer Bob Johnson said in a phone interview today. It has hired advisers to help it “carve out” parts of the deal that might concern U.S. politicians as Standard Aero has some defense contracts, he said.

Landmark calls itself one of North America's largest providers of services for the business aviation industry and has repair facilities at 19 U.S. locations. Winnipeg, Manitoba- based Standard Aero repairs military and business aircraft for 1,400 customers, the biggest of which are Lockheed Martin Corp. and Rolls Royce Group Plc.

The sheik and his family own everything that matters in Dubai, including all the land. His new targets are Landmark Aviation and Standard Aero Holdings Inc. which provide repair and overhaul services at 33 American airport terminals for small-jet aviation, including some military transports, according to news reports. Their activities include fueling, flight-scheduling services, maintenance operations, and repairs on jet aircraft.

Why is one opaque ruler from a little-known place like Dubai buying access to world seaports and airports with such determination?

Youssef Ibrahim writing in the New Your Sun Article: Where Are Clinton, Schumer? “He is closely managed by a group of equally opaque British and Palestinian Arab expatriate mercenaries who have created a well-crafted image him as a horseman and visionary. In effect virtually nothing reliable is known of the man. Dubai's population is almost entirely made up of expatriates — at least 300,000 are Iranian citizens. Only 10% are natives of the UAE… It is an open secret that Iran maintains one of its biggest spying and intelligence operations abroad in Dubai, as do, in all fairness, the CIA, the British, the Russians, and the French.

Almost a whole floor of the American Consulate in the World Trade Center building of Dubai is populated with intelligence agents fluent in Farsi. Iranian spies make their headquarters in an entire floor of the enormous Iranian hospital of Dubai. Many of the captains who sail back and forth on dhows to Iran from Dubai Creek maintain a wife in each port. Farsi is the second language of Dubai, after English.

We do know this about the UAE: It was one of three countries in the world to recognize the Taliban as the legitimate government of Afghanistan. It has been a key transfer point for illegal shipments of nuclear components to Iran, North Korea, and Libya. And, according to the FBI, money was transferred to the terrorists behind the attacks of September 11, 2001, through the UAE banking system, which is nothing but a huge money-laundering operation.

In the Whitehouse Fact Sheet: The United States–UAE Bilateral Relationship General Peter Pace, Chairman Of The Joint Chiefs Of Staff, 2/21/06 said: “[T]he military-to-military relationship with the United Arab Emirates is superb. ... They've got airfields that they allow us to use, and their airspace, their logistics support. They've got a world-class air-to-air training facility that they let us use and cooperate with them in the training of our pilots. In everything that we have asked and work with them on, they have proven to be very, very solid partners.”

  • UAE Ports Host More U.S. Navy Ships Than Any Port Outside The United States. The UAE provides outstanding support for the U.S. Navy at the ports of Jebel Ali - which is managed by DP World - and Fujairah and for the U.S. Air Force at al Dhafra Air Base (tankers and surveillance and reconnaissance aircraft). The UAE also hosts the UAE Air Warfare Center, the leading fighter training center in the Middle East.

  • The UAE Is Supporting Middle East Peace Efforts. The UAE is a moderate Arab state and a long-time supporter of all aspects of Middle East peace efforts. The U.S. and the UAE are also working together to create a stable economic, political and security environment in the Middle East.

The UAE Air Force and Air Defense Force (UAE AF&AD) has commanded the lion's share of new procurement funding over the past decade, including major programs to buy 80 new Lockheed Martin F-16E/F Block 60 Desert Falcon multi-role combat aircraft. Both new F-16 versions have the latest technology in avionics, weapons, sensors and systems integration that provide pilots with increased situational awareness. Block 50 aircraft were sold to Oman. Oman is the fifth Arab nation and the third member of the Gulf Cooperation Council to acquire the F-16. This follows UAE deals with France to acquire new Mirage 2000-9-combat jets and upgrade the UAE AF&AD's existing Mirage 2000 fleet to this new standard. These projects will give the UAE AF&AD long-range precision strike and beyond-visual-range air-to-air combat capabilities, making it one of the most advanced air forces in the Middle East.

In the article published in the Khaleej Times on March 28: UAE won’t be used for attack on Iran: KhalifaThe President, His Highness Shaikh Khalifa bin Zayed Al Nahyan, looks forward to pro-active participation in the Arab Summit in Riyadh and expressed the hope that the summit, would succeed in uniting Arabs, resolve existing differences and help tackle the many challenges facing Arab nations. He also said the country would not be used as a base for any US attack on Iran.”

Shaikh Khalifa reiterated that the UAE totally rejects the use of its land, air and territorial waters to attack any country. “We have reiterated to our Iranian brothers in a letter delivered recently by the foreign minister that we are not a party to the conflict between Iran and the United States and that we shall never allow the use of our soil for any military, security or intelligence activities against them,” he said.

The Gulf Cooperation Council, a loose alliance of six Gulf Arab states, has also called on its members not to offer support to any U.S. action against Iran.

The U.S. has denied any intention to attack Iran. But the public refusals of several countries to allow the United States to use their lands if any such action looms could affect U.S. military options, or require shifting of resources, if tensions did seriously escalate.

In the article from Air Force Times of March 28 U.A.E. ban may complicate U-2 mission “The president of the United Arab Emirates forbade the U.S. military from using bases in his country to attack or spy on Iran as mammoth Navy maneuvers in the Gulf entered their second day. Sheik Khalifa bin Zayed Al Nahyan, who leads this key U.S. ally, said Tuesday that the Emirates had assured Iran that it was not siding with Washington in its dispute over Tehran’s nuclear program.

The Emirates “refuses to use its territorial lands, air or waters for aggression against any other country, let alone a neighboring Muslim country with which we maintain historic and economic ties,” Sheik Khalifa said in a statement carried on Emirates news agency WAM.

“We have assured the brothers in Iran ... that we are not a party in its dispute with the United States, that we will not allow any force to use our territories for military, security and espionage activities against Iran,” Sheik Khalifa said.

The statement could prevent the Air Force from flying intelligence missions over Iran with its squadron of U-2 and Global Hawk spy planes based at al-Dhafra Air Base near the Emirates capital Abu Dhabi.

Earlier this month, Qatari Foreign Minister Sheik Hamad bin Jassem Al Thani issued a similar message, saying Qatar wouldn’t permit an attack on Iran to be launched from its soil.

Qatar is home to the enormous al-Udeid Air Base, from where Air Force Lt. Gen. Gary North commands all American air operations over the Middle East.

The U.S. maintains nearly 40,000 troops on bases in allied Arab countries that face Iran across the Persian Gulf, including about 25,000 in Kuwait, 6,500 in Qatar, 3,000 in Bahrain, 1,300 in the United Arab Emirates and a few hundred in Oman and Saudi Arabia, according to figures from the Dubai-based Gulf Research Center.

The Fifth Fleet base in Bahrain is the command center for the roughly 30 U.S. and 15 allied ships patrolling regional waters, including areas right on Iran's doorstep.

In February Iran said it had tested missiles that could sink “big warships” in the Gulf.

In the article by PressTV of March 27: Iran, UAE keen on expanding ties “Iran's ambassador to the UAE, Hamid-Reza Asefi, says he hopes the sound relations between the parliaments of the two countries will lead to further expand bilateral ties. Asefi made the comment in a meeting with the United Arab Emirates National Assembly Speaker, Abd al-Qarir. “Islamic Republic of Iran's policy is to expand its relations with the UAE and we are prepared to use all our potentials in this regard,” he added.

The UAE National Assembly Speaker, for his part, said the two countries should work to further expand bilateral ties, citing the role Iran's Majlis and the UAE Parliament can play in realizing that goal.”

Leon Trotsky was a Russian Communist theorist and agitator, and a leader in Russia's October Revolution in 1917. “The end may justify the means as long as there is something that justifies the end.”

Without diminishing the threat posed by the near term events in the Middle East, it is important nonetheless to recognize that they are a distraction, a deliberate provocation designed to keep our eyes focused on the wrong enemy. The true threat is and always has been the worldwide communist movement, spearheaded by Russia, and Communist China. While the Iraq and Iran crises continues, the strategy of the Grand Chess Masters—Russia the bear and China the dragon, along with their pawns the Leftists, Marxists and Islamists, continue to develop and put in place their strategy for the ultimate goal of world domination. See my article: The Grand Chess Masters—The Bear and the Dragon..

David J. Jonsson is the author of Clash of Ideologies —The Making of the Christian and Islamic Worlds, Xulon Press 2005. His new book: Islamic Economics and the Final Jihad: The Muslim Brotherhood to the Leftist/Marxist - Islamist Alliance (Salem Communications (May 30, 2006). He received his undergraduate and graduate degrees in physics. He worked for major corporations in the United States and Japan and with multilateral agencies that brought him to more that fifteen countries with significant or majority populations who are Muslim. These exposures provided insight into the basic tenants of Islam as a political, economic and religious system. He became proficient in Islamic law (Shariah) through contract negotiation and personal encounter. David can be reached at: djonsson2000@yahoo.co.uk

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Monday, March 05, 2007

IRAQ, IRAN, GLOBAL WARMING AND THE APOCALYPSE

by David J. Jonsson
Islam has many apocalyptic prophecies; this aspect of Islam contributes to the driving force of Islam. Iran joined by Syria wants to end the democratic experiment in Iraq. Iranian money, weapons and expertise are used by terrorists to kill Americans in Iraq. Iran’s support of Hamas disrupts Palestinian peace efforts. Hezbollah, a group also backed by Iran and Syria, seeks to destabilize Lebanese democracy and restart a border war with Israel. Iran which denies that a European Holocaust ever took place is now planning to create a second Holocaust in Europe and in the U.S. with the development of nuclear weapons and the missiles to deliver the weapons.

Only the sustained American policy of ostracizing Iran and Syria, galvanizing the international community to enforce financial and trading sanctions, supporting Iranian and Syrian reformers, and keeping all options for war on the table including a high-profile presence in the area offers any hope containing a potential holocaust.

In order to understand the issues faced by the Administration it is necessary to review history and look at the many factors that are currently leading to the almost intractable solution to the crisis developing in the Middle East. The solution requires thinking outside the current events in Iraq. It requires abandoning the ‘silo’ approach of addressing foreign policy, energy, environment—Global Warming, homeland security, and defense as separate issues. The solution also requires the integration of commercial/business and government sectors in the solution. Without addressing the geopolitical ramifications to the U.S., EU, Russia and China beyond the immediate crisis in Iraq and Iran; a solution cannot be found.

Exclusively increasing military strength, diplomacy or withdrawing from Iraq will not defer or result in a lasting peace. Whatever way the Iran and Iraq crisis is resolved, it will lead to a major shift in the geopolitical landscape. The goal is to have a soft landing. This will require sacrifice, compromise but not appeasement, and most importantly prioritizing the most important elements of our culture – faith, freedom, liberty, and democracy, as we know it in America. Decision time is fast approaching. Unfortunately both Iran and the U.S. may be underestimating the power of the other side and overestimating their own. Iran thinks it has a lot of deterrents, in Iraq and elsewhere, and in the armed forces - and it sees the US bogged down in Iraq, Washington divided and public opinion in the Muslim world opposed to war.
The Power of Apocalyptic Teaching
There is power in apocalypse. Fundamentally, the belief in the imminent end of the world changes people and gives them the strength of an absolute conviction that God is on the side of the believer, a very definite goal, and the impetus to excel above and beyond their ordinary abilities. All three of these components are present in a truly apocalyptic group and serve to mold it together into a possibly, though not necessarily, destructive organism, to which the outside world is an enemy to be conquered and dominated. While all of the above is well known and obvious after studying any of the apocalyptic groups, the question before us is: Is Islam an apocalyptic faith, and if it is, then what were and still are the ramifications for the outside world? How does the Global Warming Apocalypse relate? The ideologies are political religions that substitute the state for divine reality. Pantheist-environmentalism is apocalyptic and is a form of Gnosticism. This religion worships mother earth and its members proudly slander Jesus the Messiah and Christian sexual morals.

Global Warming Apocalypse
Ironically, the Hedonistic Left led by ex-President Al Gore supports another doctrine of apocalypses that is the Global Warming Apocalypse. Al Gore has been busy returning global warming to center stage with terrifying warnings of disaster with his best-selling book, An Inconvenient Truth, and the popular companion documentary. This same left has become key participants in the Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance. This is a little hard to take from the global warming alarmists, given that they normally support live-for-today hedonism. It is further difficult in that the implementation of Shariah law would be the end for their hedonism and potentially their lives. Can a decadent elite which ushered in decades of self-indulgent, drugs-and-promiscuity-laden lifestyles credibly warn of “death and destruction,” civilizational collapse and the need for abstemiousness? Ellen Goodman of the Boston Globe has now famously compared global warming skeptics to Holocaust deniers, bringing to bear a stern moral certainty about protecting the earth she can't find in her heart for the protection of unborn children. Like Marxism, this Global Warming Apocalypse pronouncement is supposed to sustain civilization not through individual virtue but through regulation and centralized planning. Their elite whose goodness is measured not by their own moral behavior but by the brilliance of their statist schemes will apparently save the earth. And through the Leftist/Marxist – Islamist Alliance they promote appeasement with the vary forces seeking their own destruction.

The Hedonistic Left revolutionaries have a vision of the new and perfect world, the beginning of a new age when all would be different. The hedonistic left promotes ideologies which encompass political secular religions—the belief in the spirit of Gaia—the Mother Earth and that substitutes the state for divine reality.

Maurice Strong previously a senior advisor to United Nations' Secretary General Kofi Annan is also a key participant with his involvement in the U.N. Education Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO). Strong's most significant role at the U.N. to-date has been his position as Secretary General of the 1992 U.N. Conference on the Environment and Development, the Rio Earth Summit. At the core of the UN-NGO alliance is Maurice Strong, a multimillionaire Canadian-born businessman who has devoted much of the last 30 years to orchestrating the alliance's "global governance" campaign. Through his work in UNESCO, Strong promotes Gaia, the Earth God, among the world's youth. Strong is also a part of The Temple of Understanding in New York a global interfaith organization with NGO consultative status with the United Nations Economic and Social Council and has had representation at all of the major international conferences. He uses The Temple to encourage Americans concerned about the environment to replace Christianity with the worship of "mother earth." See also my article: Axis of Appeasement — The Inconvenient Truth
What Part Will Religion Play in Emerging Global Warming Struggles?
It is important to review the history of Global Warming Apocalypse development.

The Global Forum of Spiritual and Parliamentary Leaders on Human Survival began in October 1985. While the United Nations was celebrating its 40th anniversary, ten "spiritual leaders," two each from the world's five major religions, and eight elected officials from parliaments on five continents, met together at psychology's New Age center in Tarrytown, New York to explore ideas for ecological salvation and world peace. Out of this meeting grew a working partnership between the world's religious and political leaders—something which had been unthinkable since ancient Rome.

The politicians belonged to the Global Committee of Parliamentarians on Population and Development. The religious leaders had been invited by the Temple of Understanding, long headquartered at the then "Very Reverend" James Parks Morton's infamous Cathedral of St. John the Divine in New York City. As early as 1975 the Temple (Morton was president), known as "the spiritual UN," had sponsored a week-long "Spiritual Summit Conference" which culminated in "addresses at the United Nations by representatives of five major faiths," with Mother Teresa as the keynote speaker.

Bishop Moore transformed the Cathedral of St. John the Divine into a Gnostic stronghold for such organizations as: The Lucis Trust, founded in 1922 by Alice Bailey, a disciple of Theosophist Madame Helena Blavatsky. Originally named the Lucifer Trust, it became a mother institution of the modern New Age movement. Moore, who entered the 1970s "peace movement" by visiting with the Vietcong-controlled, underground peace movement in Vietnam, had by 1983 joined with the pro-terrorist Institute for Policy Studies and the U.S.A.-Canada Institute of the U.S.S.R. Academy of Sciences, to mobilize the American peace movement to stop the Strategic Defense Initiative. Thirty top Soviet intelligence officers, who were joined by Bishop Moore, gave marching orders to the American peace leadership to this effect in Minneapolis, Minnesota in 1983.

In April 1988 the UN Global Forum on Human Survival held in Oxford, England was Co-sponsored by the Temple of Understanding and the UN Committee on Parliamentarians and Population, chaired by James Parks Morton. , Gaia scientist James Lovelock
[Gaia: A New Look at Life on Earth by James Lovelock], was the featured speaker. It brought together about 200 spiritual and legislative leaders from 52 countries. "For five days parliamentarians and cabinet members met with cardinals, swamis, bishops, rabbis, imams, monks....Among them: the Dalai Lama, Mother Teresa, the Archbishop of Canterbury...Cardinal Koenig of Vienna...Carl Sagan, Vice-Chairman of the Soviet Academy of Sciences Evguenij Velikhov, Cosmonaut Valentina Tereshkova." The conference was covered by media teams from 35 countries. The same year the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) established the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)

The Global Forum on Human Survival held in Moscow January 15-19, 1990 was, hosted by Mikhail Gorbachev and Javier Perez de Cuellar, chaired by James Parks Morton. Other co-hosts included what the program called a "unique alliance": "the Supreme Soviet, the country's first freely elected parliament; all faith communities of the USSR, coordinated by the Russian Orthodox Church; the USSR Academy of Sciences; and the International Foundation for the Survival and Development of Humanity." Moscow saw more than 1,000 participants from 83 countries call for a "new planetary perspective" involving a "new spiritual and ethical basis for human activities on earth." In his address to the Forum, Mikhail Gorbachev called it "a major step in the ecological consciousness of humanity." He drew cheers from delegates when he pledged "to ban nuclear tests completely, for all times, and at any moment, if the U.S. does the same...[and] to open our territory for inspection...." See also my article:
Nuclear Proliferation—Options In A Perfect Storm.

Laying the foundation for the coming world religion, ecological concerns are being expressed increasingly in pantheistic/New Age terms as though the universe were a living and even conscious entity (the Gaia hypothesis) with whom we must make peace and live in harmony. Calling spirituality "common to all humanity," New Age physicist Fritjof Capra defined it at the Moscow Global Forum as "the experience of being connected to the cosmos as a whole...a sense of belonging that gives meaning to life." Capra recently founded The Elmwood Institute, dedicated to "the convergence of politics, ecology and spirituality."

In his keynote speech at Moscow, then U.S. Senator Al Gore declared: "I do not see how the environmental problem can be solved without reference to spiritual values found in every faith." He is not referring to biblical Christianity, but to an ecumenical world "spirituality" based upon what he called a "new faith in the future of life on earth...[providing] higher values in the conduct of human affairs." The final "Moscow Declaration" called for "a global council of spiritual leaders" and the "creation of an inter-faith prayer...." It declared, "We must find a new spiritual and ethical basis for human activities on Earth: Humankind must enter into a new communion with nature...."

Strong is also associated with the
United Religions Initiative (URI), a movement to “…promote an enduring, daily, interfaith cooperation, to end religiously motivated violence and to create cultures of peace, justice and healing for the earth and all living beings.” The founding Trustee and President is The Rt. Rev. William E. Swing-Episcopal Bishop of California. Naturally, interfaith cooperation implies a one world religion. A one world secular, godless religion for a one world government is the objective.

Maurice Strong stated “The real goal of the
Earth Charter is that it will in fact become like the Ten Commandments, like the Universal Declaration of Human Rights.” For supporters of the URI an ecumenical union of all religions is seen to be essential, for there can be no political peace without religious peace as well.

U.S. taxpayers are being forced to subsidize a new form of state religion which holds that natural resources have to be protected for the sake of Gaia, a so-called Earth spirit. This religious movement, which has cult-like qualities, is being promoted by leading figures and organizations such as Vice President Albert Gore, broadcaster Ted Turner, and the United Nations.

The Judeo-Christian culture and religion must be destroyed and replaced by the new one-world religion as a precursor for fall of the West and usher in the Islamic kingdom of God on Earth. The new world order will be a global community where our spiritual lives and our economic, legal, and governmental systems will be dictated to us all in the name of the greater good. All of these forces, in the form of NGO's, business, non-profit organizations, media, academia, and New Age cults will be working closely with the United Nations to usher in the New Age. Right under our noses the way is being paved for the prophesied one world religion and huge armies of volunteers are being amassed to usher it in.

The transformation brought about by the Global Warming doctrines had a number of consequences:
1. The power of the ruling elite rested in Environmentalism ideology as the main source of legitimacy.
2. It increased the role of Environmentalism ideology (Worship of Gaia) in the country’s internal and international politics.
3. Environmentalist revolutionaries had a vision of a new and perfect world, a New Word Order the beginning of an age when all would be different.

The elite are careful about letting Westerners know what their real goal is.
The Modern Apocalyptic Muslim

A grasp of history is crucial to the understanding of the modern apocalyptic Muslim, because of the living nature of this past for him. Therefore, our discussion must start at the dawn of Muslim history. Many theories have been proposed to explain the phenomenal Muslim conquest of the entire ancient world, from Tours in France to the borders of China in Central Asia, during the period of a century. Some scholars dismiss the idea that religious belief was a primary or even a secondary contributing factor in these conquests. Yet this prejudice is very damaging to our present-day understanding, if only because contemporary Muslims themselves believe that their absolute faith in Allah and the unifying nature of Islam are the most important reasons for their successes. Here, one must read between the lines and understand that absolute faith and unity was not enough to embark on the jihad. There had to be a third component to this equation: the imperative to conquer the world before the expected Hour of Judgment. This is the component that will interest us here.

It is not as important for us to know what impelled this conquest historically, as to understand how the modern Muslim feels about his history. This conquest, called the jihad, is closely connected in the sources to apocalyptic beliefs. In this regard, a tradition should be quoted: Behold! God sent me [the Prophet Muhammad] with a sword, just before the Hour [of Judgment], and placed my daily sustenance beneath the shadow of my spear, and humiliation and contempt upon those who oppose me. Muslims, according to this understanding, did not try to conquer the world for the sake of domination, but because God commanded them to do it before the imminent end of the world.

In Islam we have the first example of what an apocalyptic group can achieve when given a limited time frame to accomplish an impossible task: world conquest. They almost made it. Since the most revolutionary idea present in fundamentalist Islam is that modern Muslims are reenacting the situation of the Prophet Muhammad during the seventh century and that all of the rest of the world, including the so-called Muslim countries, are infidel. Therefore, it should come as no surprise that the feeling that an apocalyptic-jihad is necessary to correct things is very strong.

Likud leader Benjamin Netanyahu Comments on the Similarity to Events Preceding World War ll

Likud leader Benjamin Netanyahu on November 13, 2006 drew a direct analogy between Iran and Nazi Germany.
“It’s 1938 and Iran is Germany. And Iran is racing to arm itself with atomic bombs,” Netanyahu told delegates to the annual United Jewish Communities General Assembly, repeating the line several times, like a chorus, during his address. “Believe him and stop him,” the opposition leader said of Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. “This is what we must do. Everything else pales before this.”

“Bernard Lewis, the influential Princeton scholar of Islam, claimed earlier Mr. Ahmadinejad and a powerful coterie around him actually wanted to provoke nuclear conflict as a means of hastening the arrival of the Mahdi, the Muslim messiah. “It would seem that he and his immediate circle really believe that the apocalyptic age is now,” he told an audience at Tel Aviv University.” … “Tel Aviv University’s Institute for National Security Studies set the tone at the turn of the year with publication of its annual strategic balance, in which it warned: “Time is working in Iran’s favor and, barring military action, Iran’s possession of nuclear weapons is only a matter of time.” Reference: Financial Times, January 12, 2007, Israel braced for action.

While Iran is developing WMD and forming alliances throughout the world including Cuba just 90 miles off the coast of America, Russia and China are providing arms for the alliance and equally important Russia is finalizing the energy noose around Europe. The Islamists along with their Leftist/Marxist alliance partners meanwhile are quietly assuming key positions in the governments, the media and even financial institutions. See also: Islamic Economics and the Final Jihad: The Muslim Brotherhood to the Leftist/Marxist - Islamist Alliance by David J. Jonsson
In the article of August 7: The Origins of the Next Great War are Visible I commented:

“With every passing year following the events of 9/11 the rise of Leftist/Marxist-Islamist Alliance has increased global instability. By the beginning of 2006, nearly all the combustible ingredients–far bigger in scale than those leading to World Wars 1 and 11 and the Gulf Wars of 1991 or 2003–were in place.”

Kofi Annan Learns of the Intent of Iran
In early September of 2006, as Kofi Annan passed through the Middle East on a farewell journey as United Nations secretary general, he made a stop in Tehran. There, in a meeting with Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, Iran’s president, he heard something startling.

As later recounted to the New York Times by an Annan aide, Ahmadinejad told Annan that though Britain and the United States had won the last world war; Iran would win the next. “It wasn’t the tone and the content that stunned us,” the aide told the Times. “It was the fact that he talked like he meant it and believed it.” After all, Annan and his colleagues hadn’t realized there would be a next world war.

The War has Already Begun
In the eyes of the Ahmadinejad and his supporters, however, that war has already begun. In their way of thinking, radical Islamists have already brought the collapse of one superpower (the Soviet Union, which they believe fell because of the Afghan war) and are on route to victory in Europe. America is next.

The good news about the Iranian Ahmadinejad’s wild rhetoric is that he is not a particularly important figure in Iran’s peculiar system in which the revolutionary institutions matter more than the state. Real power is wielded by the hard-line clerics, especially Supreme Leader Ayatalloh Ali Khamenei, whose title accurately reflects his unchecked authority.

The post of Supreme Leader is literally the Leader of the Revolution. Leadership Authority, or Valî-ye Faqîh or Guardian Jurisprudent was created in the constitution of the Islamic Republic of Iran as the highest-ranking political and religious authority of the nation. The Assembly of Experts appoints the Supreme Leader and is also in charge of overseeing the Supreme Leader and has the power to dismiss and replace him at any time. Members are elected for an eight year term. Only clerics can join the assembly and candidates for election are vetted by the Guardian Council.

Hashemi Rafsanjani is the Expediency Council Chairman. Expediency Discernment Council of the System is an unelected establishment in the Constitution of Islamic Republic of Iran created on 6 February 1988. Its purpose is to resolve differences or conflicts between the Majlis and the Council of Guardians [The most influential body in Iran.], and also to serve as a consultative council to the Supreme Leader. The Guardian Council of the Constitution is an unelected high chamber within the constitution of the Islamic Republic of Iran. It has legislative, judicial, and electoral powers. This reflects the difference between the Islamic Republic of Iran and democratic states, such as the United States, which have separation of the branches of government. Guardian council represents the official will of the Supreme Leader.

The transformation brought about by the Iranian Revolution of 1979 had a number of consequences:

4. The power of the ruling elite rested in Islamic ideology as the main source of legitimacy.
5. It increased the role of Islamic ideology in the country’s internal and international politics.
6. Islamic revolutionaries had a vision of a new and perfect world, the beginning of an age when all would be different.

The bad news is that Khamenei and the other hard-line clerics entirely agree with Ahmadinezhad’s dangerous views. They are just more careful about letting Westerners know what they really think.

To audiences in the Middle East, Khamenei is more open. He has long met with Holocaust deniers and warmly endorsed their disgusting lies. In Persian, he regularly calls the state of Israel a “cancer” that must be cut out and urges Muslims never to accept the existence of the Jewish state. He has been the force behind Iran’s longstanding arms supplies to Lebanon’s Hezbollah terrorist group, and he has constantly urged that group to keep up the fight against Israel no matter what concessions Israel might make. He has pushed Iran to provide more support for Hamas in the West Bank and Gaza because of the group’s refusal to accept the state of Israel. Iran has pledged to give Hamas $250 million this year, about half of which has been delivered, making Iran by far the largest funder of the Hamas-led Palestinian Authority.

According to a report in the Iran News & Cultural Journal of January 6, Iran’s Supreme Mullah Leader Will Be Dead Soon. “Iran’s Supreme Mullah Leader, Ali Khamenei is seriously ill and will have to be replaced in the coming months, as he is no longer capable of holding office, according to Assembly of Experts member mullah Nasseri. The powerful mullah body appoints and oversees the country’s supreme leader. “Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei is gravely ill - he can no longer see very well, has difficulty hearing, and is no longer able to properly perform his duties,” Nasseri told a women‘s group.”

“The country’s supreme leader since 1989, Khamenei succeeded the founder of the Islamic Republic of Iran, infamous mullah Khomeini, as president in 1981 and served two terms. His death or removal from office by the Assembly of Experts will trigger a power struggle within the mullahs’ regime, according to observers.”

“The names of three possible successors to Khamenei are currently on the lips of Iranians: Khamenei’s son, Mojtaba; Iran’s former reformist president, Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani-Expediency Council Chairman; and Gholam Ali Mesbah Yazdi, the ultra-conservative ayatollah who is considered the spiritual father of Iran’s current hard-line president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad.”

As commented by Haaretz, January 5, 2007, Bringing Ahmadinejad to justice: “The win of Hashemi Rafsanjani in the recent elections was characterized as the “moderate” victor in the recent Iranian elections. However, the Argentinean judiciary recently determined that it was this same Rafsanjani who planned, organized and ordered the mass terrorist bombing of the Argentinean Jewish community center (AMIA) in 1994, resulting in the death of 85 people and 300 wounded. In a fortuitous yet chilling reminder, the Argentinean prosecutors’ decision calling for arrest warrants to be issued against the Iranian leadership was released on the same day that President Ahmadinejad called yet again for the disappearance of Israel, and on the anniversary of his first public and direct call for the destruction of Israel (on October 25, 2005) when, as he put it, “Israel must be wiped off the map, as the imam says.”

“The imam, in this instance, is former Ayatollah Ali Khameini, the supreme leader of Iran, who had declared in 2000 that “there is only one solution to the Middle East problem, namely the annihilation and destruction of the Jewish state,” while otherwise using epidemiological metaphors in calling for Israel, “the cancerous tumor of a state,” to be ‘removed from the region.’”

Iran’s revolutionary leaders deeply believe they can carry out their ambitious agenda. To us, that sounds bizarre because we see Iran as a middle-sized country that causes an amazing amount of trouble. Things look very different to Iran’s hardliners. They see themselves as the leaders of the world’s 1.2 billion Muslims who are destined to dominate the world.

Persia is an Ancient Country with a Great Tradition
To their conviction that Allah is on their side, Iran’s hardliners add a strong dose of nationalism. Iran’s history is 2,500 years old; by contrast, Islam has been around for a mere 1,300 years. For most of that time, Iran (the ancient Persia) has been a much larger country than it is today. After all, the Bible tells us that it was the Persian Emperor who ended the Jews’ Babylonian captivity, freeing them to return to build the Temple in Jerusalem and giving them the money with which to do so. Coming to a more recent time, only 200 years ago, Iran was more than twice its present size. No wonder Iran expects to be the regional superpower, especially when its population is three times that of Saudi Arabia and all the other Gulf Arab monarchies combined.

While its self-conceit may be impressive, Iran’s only real chance to be able to dominate its neighborhood, much less to accomplish its often-stated goal of eliminating Israel, is through its nuclear program. That is why U.S. policy toward Iran has appropriately focused on the nuclear issue. President Bush and his top officials have made many strong statements about the dangers from Iran, calling a nuclear-armed Iran unacceptable. But the sad reality is that over the last year, Iran has made slow but steady progress with its nuclear program, creating facts that will be hard to reverse. Perhaps diplomacy can rescue the situation, but only stronger pressure can produce results.

Russia and China, who have so far blocked Security Council action on Iran, are hard to read. The pessimistic view is that they do not care much about a nuclear Iran: yes, a militant Islamist Iran could threaten them (both have large Muslim populations), but a nuclear Tehran’s greater threat to the West would be welcomed by some in Moscow and Beijing.

The Role of Propaganda—Saying What the Listener Want to Hear

We must realize that within the Middle Eastern culture, saying what your listener wants to hear is more important than telling the truth. For a Middle Easterner, words are more important than ideas, and ideas are more important than facts. It is this trait that has caused many Americans to wonder how such outlandish statements can be made that are patently false. For example, when Saddam Hussein said that the battle of the first Gulf War (Desert Storm) would be the “mother of all battles” and claimed victory before anything started, it was the words and ideas that were embraced by his followers. The facts were not important. Predominantly Muslim nations with state-controlled media—virtually all of them—exhibit this mentality most powerfully.

Germany’s Four-Year Plan a Precursor for World War ll

Just as the West may now not recognize the planning and sincerity of Iran’s preparations for war, it is important to review the history of Germany during the period before World War ll.

In reading the excellent book The War of the World: Twentieth-Century Conflict and the Descent of the West by Niall Fergurson, I noticed the striking similarity to the events occurring prior to World War II and the events occurring in Iran and Europe. I refer specifically to pages 441-6.

“Later, after it was all over, the historian Friedrich Meinecke tried to explain ‘the German catastrophe’ by arguing that technical specialization had caused some educated Germans (not him, needless to say) to lose sight of the humanistic values of Goethe and Schiller; thus they were unable to resist Hitler’s ‘mass Machiavellianism’. Thomas Mann was unusual in being able to recognize even at the time that, in ‘Brother Hitler’, the entire German Bildungsbilrgertum possessed a monstrous younger sibling who embodied some of their deepest-rooted aspirations. An academic education, far from inoculat­ing people against Nazism, made them more likely to embrace it. So much for the greatness of the German universities. Their fall from grace was personified by the readiness of Martin Heidegger, the greatest German philosopher of his generation, to jump on the Nazi bandwagon, a swastika pin in his lapel.”

“Were German intellectuals worse in these respects than their counterparts elsewhere? Possibly. Yet other intellectuals were never exposed to Hitler’s supernatural magnetism - and that, surely, was the crucial factor. For, on closer inspection, what Hitler offered Ger­mans was something much more than Roosevelt was offering Ameri­cans. Roosevelt spoke of frankness, action and leadership in a national emergency. But he emphasized in his inaugural address that the nature of that emergency was purely material; spiritually and morally there was nothing wrong with American society. Hitler, by contrast, saw Germany’s economic problems as mere symptoms of a more profound national malaise. Roosevelt made eight references in his speech to the ‘people’; Hitler used the word Volk no fewer than eighteen times. His role was not just to restart the economy but to be the nation’s savior, the redeemer who would end years of national division by forging a Volksgemeinschaft-a folk-community.” [The folk-community has striking similarity to the Islamic concept of Ummah.] Tellingly, His first speech as Chancellor ended as follows:

I cherish the firm conviction that the hour will come at last in which the millions who despise us today will stand by us and with us hail the new, hard-won and painfully acquired German Reich we have created together, the new German kingdom of greatness and power and glory and justice. Amen.

The Rise of Messianic Populism

The response that this messianic proposition elicited was quasi-­religious in its fervor. As an SA sergeant explained: ‘Our opponents ... committed a fundamental error when equating us as a party with the Economic Party, the Democrats or the Marxist parties. All these parties were only interest groups; they lacked soul, spiritual ties. Adolf Hitler emerged as bearer of a new political religion. [Just as we see today the rise of Political Islam.] See Islamic Economics and Shariah Law: A Plan for World Domination by David J. Jonsson.] ‘The Nazis developed a self-conscious liturgy, with November 9 (the date of the 1918 Revolution and the failed 1923 Beer Hall putsch) as a Day of Mourning, complete with fires, wreaths, altars, blood-stained relics and even a Nazi book of martyrs. Initiates into the elite Schutzstaffel (SS) had to incant a catechism with lines like:

‘We believe in God, we believe in Germany which He created ... and in the Führer
... whom He has sent us.’
Mohammad Amin al-Husayni, (alternatively spelt al-Husseini), the Mufti of Jerusalem, was a Palestinian Arab nationalist and a Muslim religious leader. Known for his anti-Zionism and anti-Semitism, al-Husayni fought against the establishment of a Jewish state in the territory of the British Mandate of Palestine. Husayni collaborated with Nazi Germany, becoming a resident in Berlin during World War II, where upon being granted a rank of SS Gruppenführer by Heinrich Himmler, he helped recruit Muslims for the Waffen-SS.

It was not just that Hitler more or less overtly supplanted Christ in the iconography and liturgy of ‘the brown cult’. As the SS magazine Das Schwarze Korps argued, the very ethical foundation of Christianity had to go too: ‘The abstruse doctrine of Original Sin ... indeed the whole notion of sin as set forth by the Church ... is something intolerable to Nordic man, since it is incompatible with the ‘heroic’ ideology of our blood.” [This parallels in many respects the teaching of the Qur’an.]

Social Transformation

‘The Nazis’ opponents also recognized the pseudo-religious charac­ter of the movement. As the Catholic exile Eric Voegelin put it, Nazism was ‘an ideology akin to Christian heresies of redemption in the here and now ... fused with post-Enlightenment doctrines of social transformation’.

As Clifford F. Porter in his article “Eric Voegelin on Nazi Political Extremism” Journal of the History of Ideas - Volume 63, Number 1, January 2002, pp. 151-171 commented: Voegelin’s analysis of Nazism is worth revisiting by historians because it delineated the Nazi rationale for the Holocaust in the early 1930s, even if the Nazis themselves had yet to move towards mass murder early in the regime. Voegelin was not prescient enough to predict the extent of the Holocaust, but he understood that the ideological rationale of Nazi violence was unlimited. Furthermore, his description of political extremism as Gnosticism in 1952 is valid for explaining why an individual might support the Nazis and then voluntarily commit extraordinarily vicious acts to try to realize the dream-world [social transformation] of the Third Reich. … By 1938 he had theorized that ideologies were political secular religions that substituted the state for divine reality.

The journalist Konrad Heiden called Hitler ‘a pure fragment of the modern mass soul’ whose speeches always ended ‘in overjoyed redemption’.

“Hitler had provided them with a suitable formula: ‘we know two Gods: one in heaven and another on earth; the second is Germany.’ But ‘we’ are Germany, Hitler had said on another occasion, and ‘we’ meant ‘I.’ And so there were people who prayed to Hitler, perhaps without realizing that this was prayer”. [Der Fuehrer by Konrad Heiden, pp 631]

An anonymous Social Democrat called the Nazi regime a ‘counter-church’. Two individuals as different as Eva Klemperer, wife of the Jewish-born philologist Victor, and the East Prussian conservative Friedrich Reck-Malleczewen could agree in likening Hitler to the sixteenth-century Anabaptist Jan of Leyden. (Niall Fergurson)

As in our case, a misbegotten failure conceived, so to speak, in the gutter, became the great prophet, and the opposition simply disintegrated, while the rest of the world looked on in astonishment and incomprehension. As with us ... hysterical females, schoolmasters, renegade priests, the dregs and outsiders from everywhere formed the main supports of the regime ... A thin sauce of ideology covered lewdness, greed, sadism, and fathomless lust for power ... and whoever would not completely accept the new teaching was turned over to the executioner.

Still, all this leaves one question unanswered: What had gone wrong with the existing religions in Germany? For if National Socialism was a political religion, the fragmentation of the old political parties can­not satisfactorily be presented as the essential precondition for its success. Evidence of declining religious belief among German Chris­tians is in fact not hard to find: a substantial proportion of Germans exercised the option to be registered as konfessionslos (without a religion) in the 1920s. There were marked declines in church attendance, particularly in North German cities. Significantly, unlike the Catholic Church, the Lutheran Church had suffered very heavy financial losses in the hyper­inflation. Morale among the Protestant clergy was low; many were attracted to the Nazi notion of a new ‘Positive Christianity’. All this may offer a clue as to why the farmer were more likely than the latter to vote Nazi in the crucial elections of 1930-33 - as we have seen, the single most striking sociological characteristic of NSDAP support, though here too there was considerable regional variation and it would be quite wrong to infer from this anything stronger than inertia in Catholic voting patterns. After all, Austrians were scarcely less enthusiastic about National Socialism and they were virtually all Cath­olic. And nearly all the fascist dictators were themselves raised as Catholics: Franco, Hitler, Mussolini, to say nothing of wartime pup­pets like Ante Pavelic in Croatia and Jozef Tiso in Slovakia, who was himself a priest. (Niall Fergurson)

In the article on Wesley Center Online by Leon O. Hynson, THE CHURCH AND SOCIAL TRANSFORMATION: An Ethics of the Spirit “We may call the Church to a Christian discipleship in all spheres of life. If the Church, with its vision of righteousness and wholeness, is excluded from social involvement, then whom will the Church suggest for the task? The sectors of power and influence, professions and business, labor and politics, have no adequate ethical ground from which to re-create, sanctify, and energize. These sectors of power all have particularized ethical norms for self-regulation, but lack an ethic equal to the depth of human demand and need.”

George Forell - Distinguished Professor Emeritus in the School of Religion at the University of Iowa, in answering the question: “Why did the church not speak up against Nazism?” said, “Now, this church should have probably said more. But when all is said and done, the only people that said anything were the churches. Certainly the legal profession said nothing. Certainly the medical profession said nothing. Certainly the schools and the university professors said nothing.” There was no university Kampf, or a medical association Kampf. The only Kampf in Germany was the Kirchenkampf. This illustrates my claim that the community of the Spirit is able to speak because it possesses the moral force. The ethic of the Spirit offers both the structure and substance of a “categorical imperative” to humankind. The ethics of the Spirit offers the dynamic for its actualization. This ethics of the Spirit is the ethics of the Church. Even now in our apocalyptic time, the Spirit is moving over the face of the world; and through the community of the Spirit, God is commanding: “Let there be light”; and behold, light breaks forth, and God says. “It is good.”

George Forell writing in the article Admonition in 2002 “The center of the Christian Faith is the Lord Jesus Christ who was crucified for our sins and raised for our salvation. Without Christ there is no Christianity. This might seem obvious to most of us but we live in a time in which there are some, claiming to be Christians, who believe that the overwhelming centrality of Christ for Christians is an embarrassment in a pluralistic world. They say, “We should consider all founders of religion and important religious leaders of equal significance.” Our answer must be our Lord Jesus Christ for he is not just the founder of a religion or a great religious leader. He is the second person of God, the Holy Trinity. To downgrade Jesus to a religious leader or prophet is for Christian’s blasphemy. Christ is our only savior. We are saved by faith alone through Christ alone.”

Implications of the Immanent Return of the Twelfth Imam
An official Iranian State media website, The World toward Illumination predicts the coming of both the Imam Mahdi, the Shiite messiah, and Jesus by the spring equinox. ‘Imam Mahdi (may God hasten his reappearance) will appear all of a sudden on the world scene with a voice from the skies announcing his reappearance at the holy Ka’ba in Mecca,’ the message says.

The website said the Mahdi will form an army to defeat Islam’s enemies in a series of apocalyptic battles, overcoming his archenemy in Jerusalem, WorldNetDaily.com reported on December 31 in the article, Iran website heralding ‘Mahdi’ by springtime.

In a greeting to the world’s Christians for the coming New Year, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said he expects both Jesus and the Mahdi to return and ‘wipe away oppression,’ WND reported last month.

‘I wish all the Christians a very happy new year and I wish to ask them a question as well,’ said Ahmadinejad, according to an Iranian Student News Agency report cited by YnetNews.com.

Ahmadinejad’s mystical obsession with the coming of the Mahdi raises concerns that a nuclear-armed Iran could trigger the very conflagration he envisions for the end of the world.

In a videotaped meeting with Ayatollah Javadi-Amoli in Tehran, Ahmadinejad discussed a paranormal experience he had while addressing the United Nations in New York last September. He says he found himself bathed in light from heaven throughout the speech.

‘People are anxious to know when and how will He will rise; what they must do to receive this worldwide salvation,’ says Ali Lari, a cleric at the Bright Future Institute in Iran’s religious center of Qom. ‘The timing is not clear, but the conditions are more specific,’ he adds. There is a saying: ‘When the students are ready, the teacher will come.’

“The Bright Future Institute was established in early 2004 by a number of scholars and masters of Islamic seminaries in the holy city of Qom with a view to develop the culture of Intizar or Awaiting Imam Mahdi a.s and to increase the knowledge about him both in Iran and abroad by supporting research and cultural works of other scholars. this institute is a non-profit making, independent research centre which promotes efforts to reject wrong ideas about imam Mahdi by holding discussion sessions and also by preparing scientific answers to respond to superstitions surrounding him.The Bright Future Institute is to hold an international Seminar every year about the fifteenth of Sha’ban, the auspicious birthday of Imam Mahdi (May God hasten His reappearance) to bring together researchers in messianic science.”

“The institute is the eighth of its kind in Iran to study and even speed the Mahdi’s return. But it is the largest and most influential, with 160 staff, a growing reach in local schools, children’s and teen magazines, and unlimited ambition to spread the word.”

“Mahdaviat is a code for the revolution, and is the spirit of the revolution,” says cleric Masoud Poursayed-Aghaie, head of the institute. “It’s the code of our identity, [and] I think this belief has been increasing.”

Critics in Iran and outside dismiss end-of-timers as unscientific, traditional followers of myths. To counter those critics, the institute’s news agency, online at www.bfnews.ir, began churning out reports three months ago.

“There is a gap between us and the popular media,” says editor-in-chief Sayed Ali Pourtabatabaie. “We started the idea of a messiah news agency of the Mahdi [because] we thought we needed a news agency to publish His news.”

According to an article in the Christian Science Monitor of January 4, 2006, True believers dial messiah hotline in Iran “Have a quick question about when the Mahdi is coming to save mankind, according to Shiite Muslim adherents? Need to know the signs?”

The 12th Imam is Expected to Return to Impose Justice and Spread Peace

“Just call the new messiah “hotline.” Or log on to Bright Future News Agency to get the latest religious readout - all part of the effort by freshly rejuvenated true believers in Iran to spread their message of the imminent return of the Mahdi, the 12th Imam who is expected to return to impose justice and spread peace.”

The Prophetic Messages of Christianity and Islam
In Matthew 24:3-8 (Holy Bible, NIV), we find Jesus sitting on the Mount of Olives, where the disciples came to him privately.

“Tell us,” they said, “when will this happen, and what will be the sign of your coming and of the end of the age?” Jesus answered, “Watch out that no one deceives you. For many will come in my name, claiming, ‘I am the Christ,’ and they will deceive many. You will hear of wars and rumors of wars, but see to it that you are not alarmed. Such things must happen, but the end is still to come. Nation will rise against nation, and kingdom against kingdom. There will be famines and earthquakes in various places. All these are the beginning of birth pains.”

By contrast, Muhammad said:

I have been ordered to fight against people until they say that there is no god but Allah. “That Muhammad is the messenger of Allah,” they pray, and pay religious taxes. If they do that, their lives and property are safe. Sahih Muslim, #0033, and Sahih Bukhari, volume 1, #387

You shall fight back against those (i.e., Christians and Jews) who do not believe in GOD, nor in the Last Day, nor do they prohibit what GOD and His messenger have prohibited, nor do they abide by the religion of truth—among those who received the scripture—until they pay the due tax, willingly or unwillingly (until they pay tribute out of hand, and they be humbled). The Jews said, “Ezra is the son of GOD,” while the Christians said, “Jesus is the son of GOD!” These are blasphemies uttered by their mouths. They thus match the blasphemies of those who have disbelieved in the past. GOD condemns them. They have surely deviated. Qur’an 9:29-30

Shiite and Sunni Apocalyptic Teaching
It is important to recognize that both the Shiites and Sunni sects have teaching related to the End Times. While the teaching of Shiite Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad considers that the return of the Mahdi, the 12th Imam as ushering in the End Times, the Sunni scholar, Sheikh Al-Qaradhawi, in a fatwa posted on the website www.islamonline.net, (December 2, 2002) in response to a reader’s question, wrote of the “signs of the victory of Islam,” citing a well-known Hadith: “… The Prophet Muhammad was asked: ‘What city will be conquered first, Constantinople or Romiyya?’ He answered: ‘The city of Hirqil [i.e. the Byzantine emperor Heraclius] will be conquered first’ - that is, Constantinople… Romiyya is the city called today ‘Rome,’ the capital of Italy. The city of Hirqil [that is, Constantinople] was conquered by the young 23-year-old Ottoman Muhammad bin Morad, known in history as Muhammad the Conqueror, in 1453. The other city, Romiyya, remains, and we hope and believe [that it too will be conquered].” (See: Al-Qaradhawi: “Islam will Return to Europe as a Conqueror” MEMRI Special Dispatch No. 447, December 6, 2002.)

“This means that Islam will return to Europe as a conqueror and victor, after being expelled from it twice - once from the South, from Andalusia, and a second time from the East, when it knocked several times on the door of Athens.”

Sheikh Al-Qaradhawi qualified his statement: “I maintain that the conquest this time will not be by the sword but by preaching and ideology…”
http://www.islamonline.net/fatwa/arabic/FatwaDisplay.asp?hFatwaID=2042

Al-Qaradhawi made similar statements on other occasions, on his weekly religious program on Al-Jazeera. He declared: “This means that the friends of the Prophet heard that two cities would be conquered by Islam, Romiyya and Constantinople, and the Prophet said that ‘Hirqil [i.e. Constantinople] would be conquered first.’ Romiyya is Rome, the capital of Italy, and Constantinople was the capital of the state of Byzantine Rome, which today is Istanbul. He said that Hirqil which is Constantinople would be conquered first and this is what happened…”

Scott Peterson-Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor in the article
True believers dial messiah hotline in Iran writes: “Shiite writings describe events surrounding the return in apocalyptic terms, similar to those used in Revelations, which some Christian evangelicals believe predicts a final world war during which Jesus returns to win and reign for 1,000 years.

In one script, forces of evil would come from Syria and Iraq and clash with forces of good from Iran. The battle would commence at Kufa - the Iraqi town near the holy city of Najaf (and home to the anti-US Iraqi cleric, Moqtada al-Sadr).

“The evil commander named Sofiani and the anti-Mahdi known as