World oil supplies are set to run out faster than expected, warn scientists Scientists have criticised a major review of the world's remaining oil reserves, warning that the end of oil is coming sooner than governments and oil companies are prepared to admit.
BP's Statistical Review of World Energy, published yesterday, appears to show that the world still has enough "proven" reserves to provide 40 years of consumption at current rates. The assessment, based on officially reported figures, has once again pushed back the estimate of when the world will run dry.
Import BingoLive by the imports or die by the imports. With US refineries continuing to struggle, our fortunes with gasoline supply and price are becoming increasingly dependant on imports. And if we aren’t breaking records we have to rely on our broken refinery system.
Where have all the imports gone? Long time passing: A drop in refinery runs and a drop in gasoline imports set the stage for a big up day in the petroleum complex. Traders convinced that gasoline supplies would increase by as much as 2 million barrels were stunned to see that supplies of gasoline basically flat from the dismally low levels from the week before. It's clear that US refiners are in disarray but you still have to give them an "A" for effort, or at least a smiley face and a gold star. Because even with refineries running at a dismal 89.2% of capacity they were able to up gasoline production from the week before to about 9.3 million barrels a day. It is amazing what you can do when margins are sky high. That of course is still short of the average daily demand of 9.5 million barrels a day but it shows that the refiners are focused on doing everything they can to produce as much gasoline as they possibly can.
Qantas' cold comfortIT was one of those mornings yesterday for hundreds of bleary-eyed passengers out at Melbourne Airport.
Having struggled through Melbourne's coldest morning of the year before dawn, most early passengers went nowhere due to ice on the aircraft.
20 years later, we still have 40 years of oil leftBP Statistical Review of World Energy released a report that estimated there are enough world petroleum reserves to last for 40 years, assuming we consume at our current rates. The article notes that in the 1980’s the amount of proven reserves was also 40 years. 20 years go by, consumption rates change, new customers change, new oil fields are found, old ones produce more, and voila, is we’re good to go for another 40 years of oil.
Peak Oil Update - June 2007: Production Forecasts and EIA Oil Production NumbersMonthly production records are unchanged except for NGPL:
All Liquids: the peak is still July 2006 at 85.43 mbpd, the year to date average production in 2007 (2 months) is 84.26 mbpd, up 0.2 mbpd from 2006.
Crude Oil + NGL: the peak date remains May 2005 at 82.08 mbpd, the year to date average production for 2007 (2 months) is 81.24 mbpd, down 0.06 mbpd from 2006.
Crude Oil + Condensate: the peak date remains May 2005 at 74.15 mbpd, the year to date average production for 2007 (2 months) is 73.09 mbpd, down 0.25 mbpd from 2006.
NGPL: the peak date is now February 2007 at 8.24 mbpd, the year to date average production for 2007 (2 months) is 8.15 mbpd, up 0.19 mbpd from 2006.
Global warming future: Drought, wildfire, floods, pestilenceTop climate scientists offered Western governors an assessment on the impacts of global warming that sounded like something out of the Old Testament: drought, wildfire, floods and pestilence.
More importantly, the governors themselves put to rest any remaining doubt on a human role in the problem.
"Are there any respected scientific organizations left that dispute what you are saying?" asked Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman Jr., adding, "and you can't say the White House and Congress."
Scientists warn that oil will start to run out in four years' timeScientists have criticised a major review of the world's remaining oil reserves, warning that the end of oil is coming sooner than governments and oil companies are prepared to admit.
BP's Statistical Review of World Energy, published yesterday, appears to show that the world still has enough "proven" reserves to provide 40 years of consumption at current rates. The assessment, based on officially reported figures, has once again pushed back the estimate of when the world will run dry.
Opec says oil demand at 1.5%Opec has left unchanged its estimate of 2007 world oil demand growth at 1.5%, or 1.3m bpd, in its June monthly report, according to MarketWatch. Opec has repeatedly resisted calls by oil consuming nations to put more crude on world markets. The group said the US downstream sector was tight, and the market is likely to remain exposed to refinery glitches.
Securing the future - An oil company perspectiveLadies and gentlemen. Good afternoon. It’s a great pleasure to be here today – in some senses returning to my roots. What I would like to do is to step back and reflect on the challenges the world faces in the matter of energy and what we as an industry might do to meet the challenge.
The 21st century dawned with a great sense of optimism. The Cold War, which had dominated the previous half-century, was over and with its end the spirits of the world were lifted. The battle of political ideas had apparently been won - free markets and democracy triumphed over the centrally planned state. A dynamic new information age offered enhanced freedom and prosperity. The revolution in the biological sciences promised health, beauty and longevity. World trade took off and, in the less developed nations, hundreds of millions of people were joining the world economy for the first time, seizing the chance to lift themselves out of poverty.
The future of North Sea oilWill June 14, 2007, be added to the list of defining dates in the history of North Sea oil? The doomsayers might think so. The chronology goes back to 1964, when the first UK offshore licence was granted. Other important dates include 1967 (when the first gas field started production) and 1975 (when it was oil's turn). Production is past its peak and those of a pessimistic disposition will interpret yesterday's announcement that Shell, along with Esso, are to sell most of their northern North Sea assets as confirmation that the North Sea basin is on a slippery slope of moribundity.
OPEC should raise output: Energy secretaryOPEC should weigh recent projections for higher crude demand this year and raise its output if appropriate, U.S. Energy Secretary Sam Bodman said Wednesday.
This week the International Energy Agency, adviser to 26 industrialized countries, and its U.S. counterpart, the federal Energy Information Administration, both accelerated the rate of oil use growth from the previous month's forecasts.
'Bomb, bomb, bomb Iran'US Senator Joseph Lieberman's call for cross-border bombing raids into Iran appears to be the culmination of a two-week campaign by proponents of war to put the military option center-stage in the US debate over Iran once more.
The immediate effect of reigniting the let's-bomb-Iran discussions is the undercutting of the recently initiated US-Iran talks over Iraq, which in turn will cause the military confrontation with Iran to be viewed in a new light.
Greenspan says oil output a threat to MexicoDeclining oil output in Mexico could spark a major fiscal crisis there, former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said Wednesday while also railing against U.S. immigration policy.
"There is no doubt that Mexican overall [oil] production is down and if it continues down, and prices don't continue up to offset that, then there is a huge fiscal crisis pending," the former U.S. central banker said via a video link to a business conference in Mexico City.
North Sea running dry says BPBritain only has enough gas and oil left under the North Sea to last six years at current production rates, leaving us increasingly exposed to volatile supplies from Russia and the Middle East.
The UK saw one of the most precipitous output declines of any nation last year, exceeded only by Saudi Arabia and Norway, BP's Statistical Review of World Energy revealed. The biggest jumps were achieved by the United Arab Emirates and Russia.
Labels: alternate energy, cantarell, climate change, iran, middle east, north sea, oil, opec, peak oil, uk, war